2023 SAISA Fall Open at Columbia Sailing Club

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Gold 6 13 19
2 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 9 13 22
3 River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Red 24 11 35
4 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Green 16 20 36
5 Chapin High School Chapin High School Talons 26 11 37
6 Chapin High School Chapin High School Eagles 25 24 49
7 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 18 32 50
8 River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Blue 26 27 53
9 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Black 34 32 66
10 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 37 37 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Gold 1 1 2 2 6 Reece Brown '24
Cooper Denny '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 2 5 1 1 9 Jackson Fisher '26
Charlie Bell '25
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Green 3 2 8 3 16 Zihao Feng '28
Haolin Chen '28
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 4 3 7 4 18 Camden Majocha '26
Jack Bosser '25
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Red 5 8 6 5 24 Scott Thomas '26
Cecelia Stewart '25
Chapin High School Chapin High School Eagles 7 9 3 6 25 Lucy Carroll '24
Allison Wetmore '25
Chapin High School Chapin High School Talons 8 7 4 7 26 Theresa Ziehl '25
Cameryn Smith '25
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Blue 9 4 5 8 26 Anna Thompson '24
Enoch Jing '26
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Black 6 10 9 9 34 Yinuo Jiang '29
Grace Wilson '29
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 10 6 10 DNS 37 Callie Sanders '25
Garnet Tobin '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Chapin High School Chapin High School Talons 3 5 2 1 11 Noah Sowers '27
Taylor Bulwinkle '24
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Red 4 4 1 2 11 Anna Kate Horton '25
Logan Mosley '27
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Gold 1 2 4 6 13 Reese Blackwell '24
Garrett Phillips '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 2 1 7 3 13 Noah Dailey '27
Georgia Montgomery '26
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Green 5 7 3 5 20 Hannah Chu '26
Thomas Lyu '27
Chapin High School Chapin High School Eagles 6 6 8 4 24 Griffin Martin '24
Amanda Zao '27
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Blue 9 3 6 9 27 George Shaw '27
Yuehan Min '26
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Black 7 8 9 8 32 Timothy Osijek '29
Kenny Li '26
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 8 9 5 10 32 Wenxin Tang '29
Leaf Longo '27
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 10 10 10 7 37 Garland Mulvey '26
Hannah Holcombe '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers4768476822
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Black3355
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Gold1133
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Green2244
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Eagles4466
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Talons5577
River Bluff High SchoolRiver Bluff High School Composite Blue4763476311
River Bluff High SchoolRiver Bluff High School Composite Red6688
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity7747634763
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats8847684768

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers1133
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Black4466
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Gold2244
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Green3355
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Eagles5577
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Talons6688
River Bluff High SchoolRiver Bluff High School Composite Blue4768476822
River Bluff High SchoolRiver Bluff High School Composite Red7747634763
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity8847684768
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats4763476311

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1022.0 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From W (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1022.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ben Lippen: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ben Lippen by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Ben Lippen: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →