Cascadia Cup-GOLD

HostSail Sand Point
Date09/30/2023
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	3	19	22
2	Olympia High School	Bears 2	19	6	25
3	Ballard High School	Beavers	9	21	30
4	Olympia High School	Bears 1	9	27	36
5	Lions 2	Lions 2	28	17	45
6	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	22	23	45
7	Ingraham High School	Rams	33	18	51
8	Unregistered-NWISA 2	Unregistered-NWISA 2	24	28	52
9	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	28	28	56
10	Orcas High School	Vikings	31	26	57
11	Oak Harbor High School	Gold	35	27	62
12	West Sound Academy	Hawks	40	26	66
13	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	40	28	68
14	Mariners	Mariners	42	43	85
15	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	36	50	86
16	Lions 1	Lions 1	32	58	90
17	Capital High School	Cougars	54	36	90
18	Unregistered-NWISA 1	Unregistered-NWISA 1	50	49	99
19	Green	Green	50	51	101
20	Storm	Storm	51	54	105
21	Bayhawks	Bayhawks	57	59	116

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	1	1	1	3	Jacob Posner '25 William Layton '25
Ballard High School	Beavers	2	3	4	9	Henry Thomas '27 Simone Ford '24
Olympia High School	Bears 1	3	4	2	9	Sophia Hubbard '24 Jessica Patton '26
Olympia High School	Bears 2	6	10	3	19	Charlie Snyder '24 Liam Franchuk '28
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	12	2	8	22	Joseph Tappen '25 [1-3] Emma Jackson '26 [1-2] Holden Goodham '26 [3]
Unregistered-NWISA 2	Unregistered-NWISA 2	7	6	11	24
Lions 2	Lions 2	10	11	7	28
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	11	8	9	28	Lhotse Rowell '24 Ava Butterfield '24
Orcas High School	Vikings	5	5	21	31	Dagny Kruger '25 Juliette Mckenney '25
Lions 1	Lions 1	13	14	5	32
Ingraham High School	Rams	8	15	10	33	Max Hanson '25 [1-3] Oliver Laskowski '26 [1-2] Charles Montagner '26 [3]
Oak Harbor High School	Gold	16	7	12	35	Colin Byler '24 Noah Ellis '26
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	4	13	19	36	Stella Saleh '26 [1-2] Emma Jackson '26 [3] Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [1-2] Talia Esarey '24 [3]
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	9	17	14	40	Will Peters '25 Bradyn Rueb '24
West Sound Academy	Hawks	14	20	6	40	Zia Magill '24 [1-3] Luca Campbell '24 [1-2] Grayson Drewry '26 [3]
Mariners	Mariners	20	9	13	42
Unregistered-NWISA 1	Unregistered-NWISA 1	18	12	20	50
Green	Green	19	16	15	50
Storm	Storm	17	18	16	51
Capital High School	Cougars	15	21	18	54	Alijah Manzanares '25 Seher Kasmani '27
Bayhawks	Bayhawks	21	19	17	57

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Olympia High School	Bears 2	1	3	2	6	Alan Timms '26 Kaden Kim '27
Lions 2	Lions 2	10	1	6	17
Ingraham High School	Rams	9	4	5	18	Zev Fort '25 [1-3] Simon Hanson '27 [1-2] Oliver Laskowski '26 [3]
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	5	2	12	19	Maia Dock '24 Hannah Shorr '26
Ballard High School	Beavers	4	6	11	21	Isadora Ford '27 Phoebe Howe '24
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	15	5	3	23	Nelson Dorsey '26 [1-3] Cyrus Yan '26 [1-2] Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [3]
Orcas High School	Vikings	2	9	15	26	Lola Walker '26 Orlando Ljubic '27
West Sound Academy	Hawks	3	15	8	26	Noah Holly '24 [1-3] Grayson Drewry '26 [1-2] Fiona Skidmore '24 [3]
Oak Harbor High School	Gold	7	11	9	27	Hannah Ellis '24 Ingrid Christensen '27
Olympia High School	Bears 1	16	7	4	27	Cate Griffith '27 Alyssa Leong '26
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	6	8	14	28	Ocean Smith '24 Hazel Windstorm '24
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	8	10	10	28	Aeden Peterson '25 Cynthia Zimmerman '26
Unregistered-NWISA 2	Unregistered-NWISA 2	11	16	1	28
Capital High School	Cougars	12	17	7	36	Aidan Budelman '25 Ryan Solie '25
Mariners	Mariners	13	14	16	43
Unregistered-NWISA 1	Unregistered-NWISA 1	14	18	17	49
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	20	12	18	50	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-3] Talia Esarey '24 [1-2] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [3]
Green	Green	19	19	13	51
Storm	Storm	DSQ	13	19	54
Lions 1	Lions 1	17	21	20	58
Bayhawks	Bayhawks	18	20	21	59

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.340+0.34

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (24 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
Anacortes High School Seahawks	98	98	98
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	31	31	31
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	32	32	32
Ballard High School Beavers	1	1	1
Lions 1 Lions 1	114	114	114
Lions 2 Lions 2	117	117	117
Bayhawks Bayhawks	53	53	53
Capital High School Cougars	84	84	84
Ingraham High School Rams	2	2	2
Oak Harbor High School Gold	48	48	48
Olympia High School Bears 1	82	82	82
Olympia High School Bears 2	83	83	83
Orcas High School Vikings	21	21	21
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	61	61	61
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	5	5	5
Mariners Mariners	50	50	50
Green Green	22	22	22
Storm Storm	55	55	55
Unregistered-NWISA 1 Unregistered-NWISA 1	152	152	152
Unregistered-NWISA 2 Unregistered-NWISA 2	13	13	13
West Sound Academy Hawks	62	62	62

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B
Anacortes High School Seahawks	98	98	98
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	31	31	31
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	32	32	32
Ballard High School Beavers	1	1	1
Lions 1 Lions 1	114	114	114
Lions 2 Lions 2	117	117	117
Bayhawks Bayhawks	53	53	53
Capital High School Cougars	84	84	84
Ingraham High School Rams	2	2	2
Oak Harbor High School Gold	48	48	48
Olympia High School Bears 1	82	82	82
Olympia High School Bears 2	83	83	83
Orcas High School Vikings	21	21	21
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	61	61	61
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	5	5	5
Mariners Mariners	50	50	50
Green Green	22	22	22
Storm Storm	55	55	55
Unregistered-NWISA 1 Unregistered-NWISA 1	152	152	152
Unregistered-NWISA 2 Unregistered-NWISA 2	13	13	13
West Sound Academy Hawks	62	62	62

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Will Peters '25	Bradyn Rueb '24
Seahawks	Aeden Peterson '25	Cynthia Zimmerman '26
Bainbridge High School	Joseph Tappen '25 [1-3]	Emma Jackson '26 [1-2] Holden Goodham '26 [3]
Spartans 1	Nelson Dorsey '26 [1-3]	Cyrus Yan '26 [1-2] Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [3]
Bainbridge High School	Stella Saleh '26 [1-2] Emma Jackson '26 [3]	Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [1-2] Talia Esarey '24 [3]
Spartans 2	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-3]	Talia Esarey '24 [1-2] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [3]
Ballard High School	Henry Thomas '27	Simone Ford '24
Beavers	Isadora Ford '27	Phoebe Howe '24
Capital High School	Alijah Manzanares '25	Seher Kasmani '27
Cougars	Aidan Budelman '25	Ryan Solie '25
Ingraham High School	Max Hanson '25 [1-3]	Oliver Laskowski '26 [1-2] Charles Montagner '26 [3]
Rams	Zev Fort '25 [1-3]	Simon Hanson '27 [1-2] Oliver Laskowski '26 [3]
Oak Harbor High School	Colin Byler '24	Noah Ellis '26
Gold	Hannah Ellis '24	Ingrid Christensen '27
Olympia High School	Sophia Hubbard '24	Jessica Patton '26
Bears 1	Cate Griffith '27	Alyssa Leong '26
Olympia High School	Charlie Snyder '24	Liam Franchuk '28
Bears 2	Alan Timms '26	Kaden Kim '27
Orcas High School	Dagny Kruger '25	Juliette Mckenney '25
Vikings	Lola Walker '26	Orlando Ljubic '27
Port Townsend High School	Lhotse Rowell '24	Ava Butterfield '24
Redhawks	Ocean Smith '24	Hazel Windstorm '24
Roosevelt High School	Jacob Posner '25	William Layton '25
Rough Riders	Maia Dock '24	Hannah Shorr '26
West Sound Academy	Zia Magill '24 [1-3]	Luca Campbell '24 [1-2] Grayson Drewry '26 [3]
Hawks	Noah Holly '24 [1-3]	Grayson Drewry '26 [1-2] Fiona Skidmore '24 [3]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Cascadia Cup-GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes