East Great Lakes Qualifier MI and Michigan 420 Sta

HostGrosse Pointe Yacht Club
Date09/30/2023
TypeDistrict Championship
BoatE420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	14	6	20
2	Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	8	16	24
3	West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	12	14	26
4	Grand Haven High School	GH Blue	31	14	45
5	West Ottawa High School	Panthers	20	26	46
6	Spring Lake High School	Red	17	35	52
7	Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Black	40	27	67
8	Troy High School	Troy	35	35	70
9	Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	43	27	70
10	St. Francis High School Traverse City	TCSF Varsity Blue	36	37	73
11	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	30	45	75
12	Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	43	34	77
13	Cranbrook Kingswood	Blue	35	51	86

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	2	4	1	1	8	Gavin Webster '24 Eric Brieden '24
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	3	3	3	3	12	Vinny Paliga '24 Jack Armstrong '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	1	7	2	4	14	Graham Rebain '25 [1-4] Liam Dowling '24 [1-2] Maverick Killips '25 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School	Red	9	2	4	2	17	Nyle Eggert '24 [1-4] Lucas Williams '26 [1-2] Brooklyn Verplank '25 [3-4]
West Ottawa High School	Panthers	4	1	10	5	20	Amelia Traver '24 Carson Dobb '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	5	10	7	8	30	Erin Degrazia '27 Quinn Rolands '24
Grand Haven High School	GH Blue	11	5	9	6	31	Payden Pittman '24 Joshua Hacker '24
Cranbrook Kingswood	Blue	6	12	5	12	35	Aaron Wang '25 Henry Chibe '25
Troy High School	Troy	7	8	13	7	35	Rodrigo Flores '24 Nicole Torkos '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City	TCSF Varsity Blue	8	6	12	10	36	Luke Adams '24 Anna Cate Maday '25
Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Black	10	11	6	13	40	Isley Moshier '25 Grace Vanstratt '27
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	12	9	11	11	43	Andrew Wiand '25 Ashwin Kesliker '26
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	13	13	8	9	43	Luc Messner '27 Marko Nedeljkovic '24

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	1	3	1	1	6	Gabe Morreale '24 Quinn Elliott '26
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	2	2	2	8	14	Liam Gilin '25 Alex Wszolek '25
Grand Haven High School	GH Blue	5	4	3	2	14	Charlie Vink '27 [1-4] Gavin Yonker '24 [1-2] Lucy Herlein '25 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	3	5	5	3	16	Jack Riley '26 [1-4] Peter Horst '26 [1-2, 4] Ana Kozak '27 [3]
West Ottawa High School	Panthers	4	DSQ	4	4	26	Matthew Tevelde '26 Asher Albers Contant '26
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	7	1	8	11	27	Sean Ellison '25 Nate Bacheller '24
Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Black	8	7	7	5	27	Andrew Roeder '26 Simon Hegg '24
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	6	11	10	7	34	Aarush Kapur '25 Krish Reddy '26
Troy High School	Troy	9	9	11	6	35	Bella Satterfield '24 Clara Le Moal '24
Spring Lake High School	Red	DSQ	6	6	9	35	Max Eggert '26 Alexis Twa '26
St. Francis High School Traverse City	TCSF Varsity Blue	10	8	9	10	37	James Thuente '25 Sophia Barbas '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	11	10	12	12	45	Claire Fagan '26 Sophia Yancey '27
Cranbrook Kingswood	Blue	12	12	DNF	13	51	Davis Victor '25 [1] Ava Stone '25 [2-4] Jason Stutman '25 [1] Thomas Chen '25 [2-4]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	7	7	9	9
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue	1	1	3	3
Cranbrook Kingswood Blue	2	2	4	4
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	3	3	5	5
Grand Haven High School GH Blue	4	4	6	6
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	5	5	7	7
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	6	6	8	8
Spring Lake High School Red	8	8	10	10
St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue	9	9	11	11
Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black	10	10	12	12
Troy High School Troy	11	11	13	13
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	12	12	1	1
West Ottawa High School Panthers	13	13	2	2

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	8	8	10	10
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue	2	2	4	4
Cranbrook Kingswood Blue	3	3	5	5
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	4	4	6	6
Grand Haven High School GH Blue	5	5	7	7
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	6	6	8	8
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	7	7	9	9
Spring Lake High School Red	9	9	11	11
St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue	10	10	12	12
Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black	11	11	13	13
Troy High School Troy	12	12	1	1
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	13	13	2	2
West Ottawa High School Panthers	1	1	3	3

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	Luc Messner '27	Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Varsity	Sean Ellison '25	Nate Bacheller '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	Erin Degrazia '27	Quinn Rolands '24
BRM Blue	Claire Fagan '26	Sophia Yancey '27
Cranbrook Kingswood	Aaron Wang '25	Henry Chibe '25
Blue	Davis Victor '25 [1] Ava Stone '25 [2-4]	Jason Stutman '25 [1] Thomas Chen '25 [2-4]
Detroit Country Day School	Andrew Wiand '25	Ashwin Kesliker '26
Varsity	Aarush Kapur '25	Krish Reddy '26
Grand Haven High School	Payden Pittman '24	Joshua Hacker '24
GH Blue	Charlie Vink '27 [1-4]	Gavin Yonker '24 [1-2] Lucy Herlein '25 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Gavin Webster '24	Eric Brieden '24
Blue Devils	Jack Riley '26 [1-4]	Peter Horst '26 [1-2, 4] Ana Kozak '27 [3]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Graham Rebain '25 [1-4]	Liam Dowling '24 [1-2] Maverick Killips '25 [3-4]
MUDJ	Gabe Morreale '24	Quinn Elliott '26
Spring Lake High School	Nyle Eggert '24 [1-4]	Lucas Williams '26 [1-2] Brooklyn Verplank '25 [3-4]
Red	Max Eggert '26	Alexis Twa '26
St. Francis High School Traverse City	Luke Adams '24	Anna Cate Maday '25
TCSF Varsity Blue	James Thuente '25	Sophia Barbas '26
Traverse City Central	Isley Moshier '25	Grace Vanstratt '27
TCC Varsity Black	Andrew Roeder '26	Simon Hegg '24
Troy High School	Rodrigo Flores '24	Nicole Torkos '25
Troy	Bella Satterfield '24	Clara Le Moal '24
West Bloomfield High School	Vinny Paliga '24	Jack Armstrong '25
Lakers Varsity	Liam Gilin '25	Alex Wszolek '25
West Ottawa High School	Amelia Traver '24	Carson Dobb '24
Panthers	Matthew Tevelde '26	Asher Albers Contant '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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East Great Lakes Qualifier MI and Michigan 420 Sta

Division A

Division B

From the notes