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Foundry Tier 3 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 13 5 18
2 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 9 19 28
3 Shaker Heights High School Shaker Heights High School Mixed 21 20 41
4 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Varsity 24 22 46
5 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity 30 18 48
6 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 43 8 51
7 New Albany High School New Albany High School Varsity 21 31 52
8 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 13 43 56
9 Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 20 36 56
10 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 35 41 76
11 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 36 46 82
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 2 1 1 1 5 Nick Crull '26
Braden Basile '27
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 1 3 2 2 8 Jacob Myers '24
Rider Myers '26
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity 4 2 6 6 18 Brady Mayer '25
Logan Gale '24
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 5 8 3 3 19 Noah Scholtz '25
James Kelly '24
Shaker Heights High School Shaker Heights High School Mixed 7 5 4 4 20 Sadie Young '27
Monika Filippi '26
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Varsity 6 4 7 5 22 Alex Mcbride '27
Nick Neville '26
New Albany High School New Albany High School Varsity 8 6 5 DNF 31 Libby Gode '27
Emily Ream '27
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 3 9 DNF DNF 36 Charles Juratic '27
Isabel Jeckering '28
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 10 7 DNF DNF 41 Quinton Ireland '29
Hudson Poulton '27
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 9 10 DNF DNF 43 Peyton Bame '27
Seth Pingel '29
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 11 11 DNF DNF 46 Caelan Brown '24
Bella Harris '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed11111111
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity10101010
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Varsity12121212
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed13131313
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School JV15151515
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Varsity14141414
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed17171717
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity16161616
Shaker Heights High SchoolShaker Heights High School Mixed18181818
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity9999
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed8888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed11111111
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity10101010
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Varsity12121212
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed13131313
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School JV15151515
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Varsity14141414
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed17171717
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity16161616
Shaker Heights High SchoolShaker Heights High School Mixed18181818
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity9999
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed8888

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1020.1 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 16.8 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From NE (45°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1020.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cleveland Foundry: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.31 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cleveland Foundry by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Cleveland Foundry, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →