ISSA Great Oaks Invitational Silver

HostSouthern Yacht Club
Date11/19/2023
TypeNational Invitational
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#		School	Team	A	TOT
1		Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	45	45
2		Fairhope High School	Pirates	47	47
3		Troy High School	Troy	65	65
4		Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	67	67
5		Bayshore Christian School	Eagles	71	71
6	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	74	74
7		West Lake High School (TX)	Chaparrals	81	81
8		Academy of the Sacred Heart	Cardinals	85	85
9		John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	85	85
10		Rocky Bayou Christian School	RBCS Sailing Team	89	89
11		Mount Carmel Academy	CUBS	98	98
12		Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	98	98
13		Saint Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	122	122
14		Bayside Academy	Bayside Sailing	146	146

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	TOT	Sailors
	Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	3	6	6	2	1	1	3	5	OCS	2	1	45	Karya Basaraner '24 [1-11] Elinor Reyher '26 [1-4, 9-11] Caleb Kaiser '25 [5-8]
	Fairhope High School	Pirates	7	12	7	3	2	3	1	2	1	1	8	47	Cruz Dabney '26 Axel Jackson '26
	Troy High School	Troy	10	4	1	11	7	6	2	10	2	8	4	65	Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-11] Jacob Ritter '24 [1-6] Nicole Torkos '25 [7-11]
	Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	5	3	5	7	6	4	5	8	OCS	3	6	67	Alec Ward '26 [1-11] Cole Rewis '26 [1-2] Skye Dwyer '26 [3-11]
	Bayshore Christian School	Eagles	2	2	2	5	10	OCS	12	4	3	11	5	71	Issac Sprayberry '27 [1-11] Aidyn James '25 [1-8] Levi Shaw '28 [9-11]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	OCS	5	3	6	3	5	10	3	6	6	12	74	Jessica Green '25 Eric Panebianco '28
	West Lake High School (TX)	Chaparrals	4	9	11	14	9	9	4	6	9	4	2	81	Emery Sularz '25 [1-2, 5-11] Garrett Eadie '25 [3-4] Alfred Aimard '25 [1-4] Garrett Eadie '25 [5-11]
	Academy of the Sacred Heart	Cardinals	6	14	8	10	8	2	6	13	10	5	3	85	Darby Hayes '26 [1-11] Anna Roth '25 [1-2] Elodie Scafidel '26 [3-11]
	John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	9	1	DSQ	1	12	10	8	1	7	7	14	85	Sam Carson '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Finn Bell '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11] Petra Humphrey '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Alex Cai '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
	Rocky Bayou Christian School	RBCS Sailing Team	8	13	10	4	4	7	9	12	5	10	7	89	John Douglas Harrison '26 Levi Reid '26
	Mount Carmel Academy	CUBS	1	7	13	9	5	12	7	11	OCS	9	9	98	Georgia Gibbons '26 Molly Lagarde '24
	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	OCS	8	4	8	11	8	11	7	4	12	10	98	Hartley Cooper '26 Daniel Schwaninger '26
	Saint Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	11	10	9	13	13	11	13	9	8	14	11	122	Devon Long '24 [1-4, 9-11] Aidan Castle '25 [5-8] Jackson Timberlake '27 [1-8, 11] Aidan Castle '25 [9-10]
	Bayside Academy	Bayside Sailing	DNS	11	12	12	14	13	14	14	OCS	13	13	146	Jackson Goffinet '26 [1-2, 7-10] Lanee Imperato '25 [3-6, 11] Ben Klecker '26 [1-2, 7-8, 11] Courtney Baker '25 [3-6] Lanee Imperato '25 [9-10]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.210+0.21

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A
	Academy of the Sacred Heart Cardinals	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
	Bayshore Christian School Eagles	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
	Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
	Ben Franklin High School Falcons	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
	Fairhope High School Pirates	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	20
	Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22
	John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	24
	Mount Carmel Academy CUBS	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	24	24	26
	Rocky Bayou Christian School RBCS Sailing Team	18	18	20	20	22	22	24	24	26	26	28
	Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	24	24	26	26	28	28	2	2	4	4	6
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	20	20	22	22	24	24	26	26	28	28	2
	Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws	22	22	24	24	26	26	28	28	2	2	4
	Troy High School Troy	26	26	28	28	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
	West Lake High School (TX) Chaparrals	28	28	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10

	School	Team	Skipper	Crew
	Academy of the Sacred Heart	Cardinals	Darby Hayes '26 [1-11]	Anna Roth '25 [1-2] Elodie Scafidel '26 [3-11]
	Bayshore Christian School	Eagles	Issac Sprayberry '27 [1-11]	Aidyn James '25 [1-8] Levi Shaw '28 [9-11]
	Bayside Academy	Bayside Sailing	Jackson Goffinet '26 [1-2, 7-10] Lanee Imperato '25 [3-6, 11]	Ben Klecker '26 [1-2, 7-8, 11] Courtney Baker '25 [3-6] Lanee Imperato '25 [9-10]
	Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	Karya Basaraner '24 [1-11]	Elinor Reyher '26 [1-4, 9-11] Caleb Kaiser '25 [5-8]
	Fairhope High School	Pirates	Cruz Dabney '26	Axel Jackson '26
	Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	Alec Ward '26 [1-11]	Cole Rewis '26 [1-2] Skye Dwyer '26 [3-11]
	John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	Sam Carson '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Finn Bell '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11]	Petra Humphrey '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Alex Cai '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
	Mount Carmel Academy	CUBS	Georgia Gibbons '26	Molly Lagarde '24
	Rocky Bayou Christian School	RBCS Sailing Team	John Douglas Harrison '26	Levi Reid '26
	Saint Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	Devon Long '24 [1-4, 9-11] Aidan Castle '25 [5-8]	Jackson Timberlake '27 [1-8, 11] Aidan Castle '25 [9-10]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	Jessica Green '25	Eric Panebianco '28
	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	Hartley Cooper '26	Daniel Schwaninger '26
	Troy High School	Troy	Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-11]	Jacob Ritter '24 [1-6] Nicole Torkos '25 [7-11]
	West Lake High School (TX)	Chaparrals	Emery Sularz '25 [1-2, 5-11] Garrett Eadie '25 [3-4]	Alfred Aimard '25 [1-4] Garrett Eadie '25 [5-11]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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ISSA Great Oaks Invitational Silver

Division A

From the notes