Leatherlips TTD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 12 12
2 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 12 12
3 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 16 16
4 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 17 17
5 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 31 31
6 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Coffman 34 34
7 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome JV 39 39
8 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 45 45
9 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed 45 45
10 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions JV 45 45
11 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 46 46
12 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 48 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 2 1 2 4 3 12 Ellie Mcbride '29
Graham Newbauer '24
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 3 4 3 1 1 12 Ike Becker '28
Jack Sweeney '26
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 1 3 7 3 2 16 Alex Mcbride '27
Mac Harman '28
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 4 5 1 2 5 17 Quinton Ireland '29
Vincent Ireland '27
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 5 6 6 8 6 31 Jamie Vance '25
Sarah Clowes '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Coffman 6 8 4 7 9 34 Foster Old '25
Gavin Grundei '25
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome JV 7 2 10 9 11 39 Macy Savage '27
Alexandria Westfall '27
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 8 9 5 11 12 45 Javier Fernandez '26
Iker Hernandez '24
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed 11 7 11 12 4 45 Hudson Poulton '27
Dora Winkler '26
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions JV 12 11 8 6 8 45 Owynn Lafollette '25
Emerson Becker '24
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 10 12 12 5 7 46 Christopher Hunter '28
Alfonso Tortora-Colon '27
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 9 10 9 10 10 48 Braden Manning '24
Parker Brownlowe '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions JV2727272727
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Coffman2323232323
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed2222222222
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks1717171717
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome JV2525252525
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves2626262626
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School JV2424242424
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Mixed1616161616
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Mixed2121212121
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals1818181818
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed2020202020
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Mixed1919191919

Conditions — 08/31/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NNE (28°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1019.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dublin Coffman: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dublin Coffman by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Dublin Coffman, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →