MBJA Wooden Shoe

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 9 13 22
2 Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic Varsity 34 10 44
3 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 16 31 47
4 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 32 25 57
5 Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed 16 45 61
6 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 46 20 66
7 West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed 32 38 70
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 33 37 70
9 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 52 52 104
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 2 1 3 1 1 1 9 Amelia Traver '24
Carson Dobb '24
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 3 4 1 2 3 3 16 Lj Nykamp '25
Jonas Pearson '25
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed 4 3 2 3 2 2 16 Cameron Bert '26
Cassius Ingham '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 5 2 4 7 8 6 32 Clayton Debruyn '26
Austin Kovalchick '28
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed 6 8 5 5 4 4 32 Grayson Sikkema '27
Nathan Vanotteren '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 6 6 4 5 5 33 Rhodes Verplank '29
Micah Gawronski '28
Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic Varsity 1 5 8 6 7 7 34 Patrick Latchana '27
Brycen Clark '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 9 7 7 8 6 9 46 Annalise Vink '29
Alexis Twa '26
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 8 9 9 9 9 8 52 Cara Falkowski '24
Tyler Boone '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic Varsity 2 2 2 1 2 1 10 Simon Vanderground '27
Andries Berens '27
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 1 4 3 2 1 2 13 Matthew Tevelde '26
Katie Houtkooper '30
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 3 3 1 5 3 5 20 Cole Blum '27
Kari Taylor '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 5 1 4 7 4 4 25 Blake Glazer '27 [1-6]
Owen Krause '25 [1-4]
Owen Watkins '30 [5-6]
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 6 5 8 3 6 3 31 Kiarra Bracelly '25
Isaac Eklov '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 6 6 4 7 7 37 Thomas Dahlquist '28
Jackson Donner '29
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed 4 DSQ 5 6 5 8 38 Oliver Vanderground '29
Ben Vonderheide '26
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed 9 7 7 8 8 6 45 Anneke Hackney '25
Bryson Chrisman '29
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 8 8 9 9 9 9 52 Savana Harte '26
Logan Miceli '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED66881010
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed77991111
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED8810101212
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed1111131366
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed101012121414
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed1212141477
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed13136688
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed14147799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED77991111
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed8810101212
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED9911111313
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed1212141477
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed1111131366
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed13136688
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed14147799
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed66881010

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From ESE (102°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Black River Public/Saugatuck Public/West Ottawa Public/Zeeland West: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.47 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 17% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Black River Public/Saugatuck Public/West Ottawa Public/Zeeland West by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Black River Public/Saugatuck Public/West Ottawa Public/Zeeland West, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →