Nor Cal 2 Gold Fleet

HostRichmond Yacht Club
Date09/24/2023
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Encinal High School	Jets 1	16	16
2	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	23	23
3	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	32	32
4	The Urban School	Blues	33	33
5	SF University High School	Red Devils 1	40	40
6	Encinal High School	Jets 2	49	49
7	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	52	52
8	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	58	58
9	Carlmont	The Scots	60	60
10	Los Altos High	Eagles	62	62
11	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	63	63
12	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	65	65
13	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	73	73
14	SF University High School	Red Devils 2	76	76
15	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	77	77
16	Acalanes High School	Dons	86	86
17	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	88	88
18	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	97	97
19	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	102	102
20	Miramonte High School	Matadors	116	116

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Encinal High School	Jets 1	1	1	3	3	2	6	16	Emi Puertas '27 Ellie Tucker '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	10	2	1	1	8	1	23	Max Mccormick '24 Nick Fernandez '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	11	3	8	4	4	2	32	Reid Sojka '26 Joby Overton '26
The Urban School	Blues	3	6	4	15	1	4	33	Henry Scalise '26 [1-6] Maxwell Woolf '27 [1, 3, 5] Gabriel Ramirez '27 [2, 4, 6]
SF University High School	Red Devils 1	14	8	5	5	3	5	40	James Franzone '27 Reeve Char '27
Encinal High School	Jets 2	2	5	2	14	5	DNF	49	Kyle Nguyen '24 Ava Estilaei '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	15	17	9	2	6	3	52	Chase Carson '25 [1-6] Sabine Lee '25 [1-5] Charles Maxey '25 [6]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	6	14	15	7	9	7	58	Evie Littler '25 Charles Winstead '24
Carlmont	The Scots	4	4	17	12	15	8	60	Anna Stolyarova '25 Tyler Robinson '27
Los Altos High	Eagles	13	7	6	10	14	12	62	Nolan Theodore '26 Deniz Ozcan '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	8	OCS	7	8	10	9	63	Maya Urfer '25 Nola Jesenko '26
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	5	18	14	6	7	15	65	Liberty Evans '26 Adrian Maciuca '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	9	13	13	13	11	14	73	Nico Anders '26 [1-6] Anna Rauh '26 [1, 3, 5] Max Borgiotti '25 [2, 4, 6]
SF University High School	Red Devils 2	7	16	16	11	13	13	76	Alice Newmeyer '25 Jonas Pilkauskas '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	12	9	10	9	16	DSQ	77	Abbie Zhang '24 Sadie Marinerstein '24
Acalanes High School	Dons	16	15	11	16	18	10	86	Kaivo Kadai '25 [1-6] Jenna Englehart '24 [1-5] Aria Falahati '27 [6]
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	19	11	12	18	12	16	88	Miles Coleman '25 Mikah Panisik '25
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	17	12	19	19	19	11	97	Jason Lester '24 Flynn Rossington '27
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	18	10	20	20	17	17	102	Amanda Wheeler '25 Reuben Butt '27
Miramonte High School	Matadors	20	19	18	17	DNF	DNF	116	Ella Maas '31 Cyrus Alexander '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Acalanes High School Dons	53	53	53	53	53	53
Alameda High School Hornets 1	52	52	52	52	52	52
Alameda High School Hornets 2	55	55	55	55	55	55
Carlmont The Scots	32	32	32	32	32	32
Encinal High School Jets 1	57	57	57	57	57	57
Encinal High School Jets 2	50	50	50	50	50	50
Los Altos High Eagles	21	21	21	21	21	21
Miramonte High School Matadors	47	47	47	47	47	47
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	39	39	39	39	39	39
SF University High School Red Devils 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
SF University High School Red Devils 2	2	2	2	2	2	2
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	3	3	3	3	3	3
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	43	43	43	43	43	43
Stevenson School Pirates 1	197	197	197	197	197	197
Stevenson School Pirates 2	198	198	198	198	198	198
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	134	134	134	134	134	134
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	80	80	80	80	80	80
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	81	81	81	81	81	81
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	82	82	82	82	82	82
The Urban School Blues	5	5	5	5	5	5

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Kaivo Kadai '25 [1-6]	Jenna Englehart '24 [1-5] Aria Falahati '27 [6]
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Reid Sojka '26	Joby Overton '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Chase Carson '25 [1-6]	Sabine Lee '25 [1-5] Charles Maxey '25 [6]
Carlmont	The Scots	Anna Stolyarova '25	Tyler Robinson '27
Encinal High School	Jets 1	Emi Puertas '27	Ellie Tucker '27
Encinal High School	Jets 2	Kyle Nguyen '24	Ava Estilaei '27
Los Altos High	Eagles	Nolan Theodore '26	Deniz Ozcan '26
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Ella Maas '31	Cyrus Alexander '27
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	Liberty Evans '26	Adrian Maciuca '25
SF University High School	Red Devils 1	James Franzone '27	Reeve Char '27
SF University High School	Red Devils 2	Alice Newmeyer '25	Jonas Pilkauskas '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	Miles Coleman '25	Mikah Panisik '25
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	Amanda Wheeler '25	Reuben Butt '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Max Mccormick '24	Nick Fernandez '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Abbie Zhang '24	Sadie Marinerstein '24
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Jason Lester '24	Flynn Rossington '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Evie Littler '25	Charles Winstead '24
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Nico Anders '26 [1-6]	Anna Rauh '26 [1, 3, 5] Max Borgiotti '25 [2, 4, 6]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Maya Urfer '25	Nola Jesenko '26
The Urban School	Blues	Henry Scalise '26 [1-6]	Maxwell Woolf '27 [1, 3, 5] Gabriel Ramirez '27 [2, 4, 6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Nor Cal 2 Gold Fleet

Division A

From the notes