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NP#3 - JV Lake Lanier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite 11 7 18
2 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 16 8 24
3 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 15 12 27
4 Raleigh Charter High School Raleigh Charter High School JV 6 24 30
5 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 19 14 33
6 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 17 24 41
7 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 28 23 51
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Raleigh Charter High School Raleigh Charter High School JV 1 1 3 1 6 No Show
No Show
Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite 3 4 2 2 11 John Spinosa '25
Preston Miller '27
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 2 2 6 5 15 Narayan Schmoyer '26
Barry Kaplan '27
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 5 3 5 3 16 Eleanor Wright '26
Elizabeth Lennert '25
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 6 6 1 4 17 Ray Mcdonald '25
John Dugan '27
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 5 4 6 19 Noah Dailey '27
Thomas Bearden '27
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 7 7 7 7 28 Gabriella Beccara '24
Harper Wright '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite 1 2 2 2 7 William Brady '25
Ellie Spinosa '27
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 3 1 1 3 8 Olivia Burdette '25
Lawson Kievit '27
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 4 4 3 1 12 Maggie Gross '25
Allson Foess '26
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 2 3 5 4 14 Peter Tetrov '25
Georgia Montgomery '26
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 5 7 4 7 23 Tripp Russell '25
Maxton Tice '27
Raleigh Charter High School Raleigh Charter High School JV 6 5 7 6 24 No Show
No Show
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 7 6 6 5 24 Sam Warner '27
Alder Lesko '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny5555
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity401401401401
Greensboro High School (LTYC)Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite19191919
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity16161616
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity9068906890689068
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity111111111111
Raleigh Charter High SchoolRaleigh Charter High School JV21212121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny5555
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity401401401401
Greensboro High School (LTYC)Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite19191919
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity16161616
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity9068906890689068
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity111111111111
Raleigh Charter High SchoolRaleigh Charter High School JV21212121

Conditions — 11/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1008.8 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NNW (343°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1008.8 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bishop Kenny FL: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.38 ± 0.38)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bishop Kenny FL by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bishop Kenny FL, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →