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PYC #4 10/7/2023

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 14 14
2 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 19 19
3 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 21 21
4 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 29 29
5 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 31 31
6 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 35 35
7 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 38 38
8 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 47 47
9 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 60 60
10 Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Red 63 63
11 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED 73 73
12 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED 77 77
13 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 90 90
14 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 90 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 2 2 4 3 1 2 14 Tess Graff '27
Emily Grin '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 1 3 7 2 3 3 19 Anna Mcaughey '24
Gianna Lagina '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils DNF 1 1 1 2 1 21 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 4 7 3 4 4 7 29 Gillian Bellard '25
Dylan Rydlicki '27
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 3 4 2 9 7 6 31 Maverick Killips '25
Brianna Briggs '25
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 6 6 5 5 8 5 35 Courtney Cowan '27
Ana Kozak '27
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 10 5 6 8 5 4 38 Titus Storrs '25
Sebastian Garcia '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 5 10 12 6 6 8 47 Cameron Rocco '24
Krish Reddy '26
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 8 9 9 10 DNS 9 60 Isabella Elzon '27
Claire Fagan '26
Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Red 7 8 11 7 DNS DNS 63 Brigitte Chan '24
Charlie Weikel '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED 9 DNF 8 11 DNS DNS 73 Giacomo Delpizzo '28
Julien Grecki '27
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED 11 11 10 DNF DNS DNS 77 Sydney Porter '24
Ryan Chabalowski '29
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 Henry Mcbrien '26
Alex Doerr '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 Alexandra Hernandez '29
Michael Butcher '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Avondale High SchoolAvondale High School Mixed Red101010101010
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED191919191919
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange282828282828
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Blue999999
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold232323232323
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue151515151515
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold131313131313
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED111111
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED222222222222
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED888888
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils161616161616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold141414141414
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED171717171717
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green272727272727

Conditions — 10/07/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.1 kn
avg  ·  max 17.7 kn
Gusts to 30.9 kn
From WNW (287°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1013.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.35 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →