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SAISA North Points #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 18 37 55
2 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 35 31 66
3 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 35 34 69
4 Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 38 35 73
5 Epiphany School of Global Studies Epiphany School of Global Studies New Bern, NC 43 44 87
6 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 40 66 106
7 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Varsity Sailing 74 43 117
8 Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 52 71 123
9 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 81 67 148
10 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 65 88 153
11 Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 94 65 159
12 Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses 85 85 170
13 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 91 90 181
14 Chapin High School Chapin High School Varsity Sailing 116 85 201
15 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 96 120 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 5 3 1 1 3 1 2 18 Mary Katherine Monahan '24 [1-8]
Jalila Nackashi '24 [1-6]
Alexander Lisowski '25 [7-8]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 1 2 4 6 5 6 3 8 35 Lawton Harper '24
Elizabeth Hample '25
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 3 3 6 5 4 4 6 4 35 Felix Hagar '25 [1-8]
Bryson Eaton '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Jackson Fisher '26 [5-6]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 4 7 7 10 3 1 5 1 38 Mcrae Busey '25
Maya Jones '26
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 7 1 5 3 6 7 2 9 40 Finn Bell '26
Alex Cai '25
Epiphany School of Global Studies Epiphany School of Global Studies New Bern, NC 6 15 1 2 2 5 9 3 43 Jonathan Clubbs '25
Emma French '26
Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 9 12 2 4 9 2 8 6 52 Griffin Frye Mccoy '26
Wade Finger '30
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 8 9 11 11 7 8 4 7 65 Jack Lively '24 [1-8]
William Morris '26 [1-4]
Tristan Robinson '27 [5-8]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Varsity Sailing 11 6 9 9 10 11 7 11 74 Reece Brown '24
Cooper Denny '24
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 12 8 8 8 11 12 12 10 81 Stevie Paris '25
Caroline Keyes '27
Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses 5 13 12 7 14 10 10 14 85 Samuel Sablotsky '26 [1-8]
Mary Pinkston '29 [1-2]
Brian Stambough '26 [3-8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats DNF 14 10 12 12 9 13 5 91 Caroline Mautner '24 [1-8]
Carli Dixon '26 [1-6]
Luke Pannenbacker '25 [7-8]
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 13 4 13 13 13 14 11 13 94 Leland Morrison '27
Reece Sange '26
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 10 11 14 14 8 13 14 12 96 Nathan Roland, Jr '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Bruce Bland '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruce Bland '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan Roland, Jr '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Chapin High School Chapin High School Varsity Sailing DNS 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 116 Griffin Martin '24
Noah Sowers '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 3 1 8 11 2 2 1 3 31 Kyan Dushak '28 [1-2, 5-8]
William Mccarty '26 [3-4]
Caroline Uram '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Garrett Davis '25 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 1 2 1 1 9 11 3 6 34 Molly Loring '24
Mya Thomas '24
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 2 5 4 3 1 6 7 7 35 Stella Herford '26 [1-8]
Julia Dinzelbacher '25 [1-6]
Wyatt Hartigan '24 [7-8]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 10 9 2 4 3 3 4 2 37 Davis Mclauchlin '24
Finn Robinson '25
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Varsity Sailing 4 3 5 9 8 4 6 4 43 Reese Blackwell '24
Garrett Phillips '24
Epiphany School of Global Studies Epiphany School of Global Studies New Bern, NC 7 8 3 2 10 5 8 1 44 Chase Fidgeon '27
Andrew Connolly '27
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 14 13 6 5 6 7 2 12 65 Coleman Emrich '27
Ian Mcintire '25
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 5 4 12 7 11 8 14 5 66 Emmy Teer '25
George Adams '25
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 9 6 11 8 12 1 12 8 67 Brighton Turner '27
Dominic Yanez '26
Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 8 10 7 10 4 12 10 10 71 Miller Yourkiewicz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryden Jarvis '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Carter Finger '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Chapin High School Chapin High School Varsity Sailing 12 11 9 12 5 14 9 13 85 Lucy Carroll '24
Allison Wetmore '25
Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses 13 7 14 13 7 9 13 9 85 Jackson Calliham '26 [1-8]
London Toperzer '24 [1-2]
Mary Pinkston '29 [3-8]
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 11 12 13 6 14 13 5 14 88 Mason Burton '27 [1-8]
Tristan Robinson '27 [1-2]
Connor Mckinlay '26 [3-6]
William Morris '26 [7-8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 6 14 10 15 13 10 11 11 90 John Bellissimo '25 [1-8]
Camden Majocha '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Luke Pannenbacker '25 [3-4]
Jack Bosser '25 [5-6]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 15 15 DNF 14 15 15 15 15 120 Charlie Poysky '27
Gavin Williams '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A33996655
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Varsity Sailing004768476810101111
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny99665522
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Varsity Sailing476847681010111144
Epiphany School of Global StudiesEpiphany School of Global Studies New Bern, NC66552211
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ101011114439073907
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles5522111212
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity1111443907390777
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity2211121288
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity44390739077733
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats1112128800
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals39073907773399
Philip Simmons High SchoolPhilip Simmons High School Iron Horses1212880047684768
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA77339966
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors8800476847681010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A004768476810101111
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Varsity Sailing99665522
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny476847681010111144
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Varsity Sailing66552211
Epiphany School of Global StudiesEpiphany School of Global Studies New Bern, NC101011114439073907
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ5522111212
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles1111443907390777
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity2211121288
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity44390739077733
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity1112128800
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats39073907773399
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals1212880047684768
Philip Simmons High SchoolPhilip Simmons High School Iron Horses77339966
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA8800476847681010
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors33996655
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Lawton Harper '24 Elizabeth Hample '25
Raptors A Kyan Dushak '28 [1-2, 5-8]
William Mccarty '26 [3-4]		 Caroline Uram '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Garrett Davis '25 [3-4]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Reece Brown '24 Cooper Denny '24
Varsity Sailing Reese Blackwell '24 Garrett Phillips '24
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Mary Katherine Monahan '24 [1-8] Jalila Nackashi '24 [1-6]
Alexander Lisowski '25 [7-8]
Bishop Kenny Davis Mclauchlin '24 Finn Robinson '25
Chapin High School Chapin High School Griffin Martin '24 Noah Sowers '27
Varsity Sailing Lucy Carroll '24 Allison Wetmore '25
Epiphany School of Global Studies Epiphany School of Global Studies Jonathan Clubbs '25 Emma French '26
New Bern, NC Chase Fidgeon '27 Andrew Connolly '27
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville Mcrae Busey '25 Maya Jones '26
ESJ Stella Herford '26 [1-8] Julia Dinzelbacher '25 [1-6]
Wyatt Hartigan '24 [7-8]
Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Griffin Frye Mccoy '26 Wade Finger '30
Screaming Eagles Miller Yourkiewicz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryden Jarvis '27 [3-4, 7-8]		 Carter Finger '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Nathan Roland, Jr '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Bruce Bland '25 [3-4, 7-8]		 Bruce Bland '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan Roland, Jr '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity Charlie Poysky '27 Gavin Williams '27
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Felix Hagar '25 [1-8] Bryson Eaton '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Jackson Fisher '26 [5-6]
Varsity Molly Loring '24 Mya Thomas '24
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Finn Bell '26 Alex Cai '25
Vikings Varsity Emmy Teer '25 George Adams '25
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Caroline Mautner '24 [1-8] Carli Dixon '26 [1-6]
Luke Pannenbacker '25 [7-8]
Wildcats John Bellissimo '25 [1-8] Camden Majocha '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Luke Pannenbacker '25 [3-4]
Jack Bosser '25 [5-6]
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Leland Morrison '27 Reece Sange '26
Bengals Coleman Emrich '27 Ian Mcintire '25
Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Samuel Sablotsky '26 [1-8] Mary Pinkston '29 [1-2]
Brian Stambough '26 [3-8]
Iron Horses Jackson Calliham '26 [1-8] London Toperzer '24 [1-2]
Mary Pinkston '29 [3-8]
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA Jack Lively '24 [1-8] William Morris '26 [1-4]
Tristan Robinson '27 [5-8]
SEISA Mason Burton '27 [1-8] Tristan Robinson '27 [1-2]
Connor Mckinlay '26 [3-6]
William Morris '26 [7-8]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Stevie Paris '25 Caroline Keyes '27
Waccamaw Warriors Brighton Turner '27 Dominic Yanez '26

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.4 kn
avg  ·  max 3.5 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From NNE (29°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1021.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn* · N 7 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lake Norman: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Norman by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Lake Norman, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →