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Turkey Leg Regatta 2023

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 20 15 35
2 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 17 21 38
3 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Panthers 24 18 42
4 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 43 24 67
5 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 54 16 70
6 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 41 32 73
7 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 41 42 83
8 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 26 58 84
9 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC black and gold 33 54 87
10 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 36 57 93
11 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 76 30 106
12 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 42 69 111
13 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED 63 54 117
14 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 56 73 129
15 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 72 58 130
16 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 71 81 152
17 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 85 74 159
18 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 63 102 165
19 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 87 80 167
20 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC ms 105 105 210
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 1 4 1 9 2 17 Max Eggert '26
Elsie Torresen '27
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 5 1 2 6 6 20 Brent Armstrong '25
Dorian Ferguson '26
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Panthers 4 2 6 2 10 24 Amelia Traver '24
Bryson Chrisman '29
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 7 6 4 1 8 26 Anna Mcaughey '24
Sydney Porter '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC black and gold 11 5 5 7 5 33 Andrew Roeder '26
Isley Moshier '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 3 11 7 4 11 36 Payden Pittman '24
Micah Gawronski '27
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 2 15 3 5 16 41 Charlie Vink '27
Kari Taylor '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 6 8 12 3 12 41 Erin Degrazia '27
Luciana Palazeti '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 16 3 9 11 3 42 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 8 13 8 13 1 43 Lila Torresen '25
Alexis Twa '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 12 9 14 10 9 54 Jamie Stewart '27
Clara Le Moal '24
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 17 10 11 14 4 56 Cara Falkowski '24
Austin Kovalchick '28
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED 9 7 16 16 15 63 Luc Messner '27
Levi Citron '26
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 13 12 17 8 13 63 Cameron Bert '26
Isaac Eklov '27
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 10 14 15 18 14 71 Blake Glazer '27
Maia Lodise '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 18 16 19 12 7 72 Owen Watkins '30
Colin Fitzgerald '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 15 19 10 15 17 76 Annalise Vink '29
Lucy Herlein '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 19 18 13 17 18 85 Juan Woodworth '26 [1-2, 5]
Joseph Hardman Novak '26 [3-4]
Ada Liew '26 [1-2, 5]
Carridee Raymundo '25 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 14 17 18 19 19 87 Dutch Goodman '29
Sydney Rosenberg '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC ms DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 105 Anders Lyons '26
Andrew Roeder '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 1 3 2 3 6 15 Ryan Ellison '28
Jack Armstrong '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 3 5 1 2 5 16 Sean Ellison '25
Brigitte Chan '24
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Panthers 2 1 10 1 4 18 Matthew Tevelde '26
Carson Dobb '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 4 2 4 4 7 21 Brooklyn Verplank '25
Lucas Williams '26
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 6 7 3 5 3 24 Cole Blum '27
Thomas Dahlquist '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 7 6 5 10 2 30 Rhodes Verplank '27
Charlie Molesta '28
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 5 10 7 9 1 32 Andrew Wiand '25
Claire Fagan '26
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 9 4 6 13 10 42 Gavin Yonker '24
Logan Thien '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED 11 13 9 7 14 54 Maverick Killips '25
Brianna Briggs '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC black and gold 15 9 8 11 11 54 Daniel Kotsekon '26
Holden Trapp '26
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 8 15 12 6 16 57 Joshua Hacker '24
Brady Wallace '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 12 12 11 15 8 58 Andrew Twa '24
Ryan Chabalowski '29
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 17 8 13 8 12 58 Gillian Bellard '25 [1-5]
Gianna Lagina '28 [1-2, 5]
Dylan Rydlicki '27 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 14 14 15 17 9 69 Katie Degrazia '29
Jackson Donner '29
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 16 11 17 14 15 73 Savana Harte '26
Bryce Fowler '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 19 16 14 12 13 74 Vivian Jiao '25
Qinyu (Cherry) Zheng '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 10 18 18 16 18 80 Quinn Rolands '24
Sophia Yancey '27
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 13 17 16 18 17 81 Logan Miceli '27
Theodore Frey '28
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS 102 Cassius Ingham '29
Asher Albers Contant '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC ms DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 105 Andrew Roeder '26
Anders Lyons '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED11111
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed92309230923092309230
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue2525252525
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED33333
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed22222
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC black and gold99999
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC ms1010101010
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Panthers94499449944994499449

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED11111
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed92309230923092309230
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue2525252525
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED33333
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed22222
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC black and gold99999
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC ms1010101010
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Panthers94499449944994499449
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Cara Falkowski '24 Austin Kovalchick '28
Fighting Bees MIXED Savana Harte '26 Bryce Fowler '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Jamie Stewart '27 Clara Le Moal '24
MIXED Sean Ellison '25 Brigitte Chan '24
Black River Public School Black River Public School Cameron Bert '26 Isaac Eklov '27
Mixed Cassius Ingham '29 Asher Albers Contant '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Erin Degrazia '27 Luciana Palazeti '27
BRM Blue MIXED Andrew Wiand '25 Claire Fagan '26
Culver Academies Culver Academies Juan Woodworth '26 [1-2, 5]
Joseph Hardman Novak '26 [3-4]		 Ada Liew '26 [1-2, 5]
Carridee Raymundo '25 [3-4]
Eagles Vivian Jiao '25 Qinyu (Cherry) Zheng '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Dutch Goodman '29 Sydney Rosenberg '26
MIXED Blue Quinn Rolands '24 Sophia Yancey '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Owen Watkins '30 Colin Fitzgerald '26
East Lansing WSMIXED Andrew Twa '24 Ryan Chabalowski '29
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Payden Pittman '24 Micah Gawronski '27
GH Blue Mixed Joshua Hacker '24 Brady Wallace '27
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Charlie Vink '27 Kari Taylor '25
GH Gold Mixed Gavin Yonker '24 Logan Thien '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Anna Mcaughey '24 Sydney Porter '24
GI Scarlet - MIXED Gillian Bellard '25 [1-5] Gianna Lagina '28 [1-2, 5]
Dylan Rydlicki '27 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Bobby Cooper '27 Ryan Ridgeway '27
Blue (Mixed) Katie Degrazia '29 Jackson Donner '29
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Luc Messner '27 Levi Citron '26
MIXED Maverick Killips '25 Brianna Briggs '25
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Lila Torresen '25 Alexis Twa '26
MS Mixed Blue Cole Blum '27 Thomas Dahlquist '28
Okemos High School Okemos High School Blake Glazer '27 Maia Lodise '28
Okemos Puffins Mixed Logan Miceli '27 Theodore Frey '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Annalise Vink '29 Lucy Herlein '25
Grey Mixed Rhodes Verplank '27 Charlie Molesta '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Max Eggert '26 Elsie Torresen '27
Red Mixed Brooklyn Verplank '25 Lucas Williams '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Andrew Roeder '26 Isley Moshier '25
TCC black and gold Daniel Kotsekon '26 Holden Trapp '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Anders Lyons '26 Andrew Roeder '26
TCC ms Andrew Roeder '26 Anders Lyons '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Brent Armstrong '25 Dorian Ferguson '26
MIXED Green Ryan Ellison '28 Jack Armstrong '25
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Amelia Traver '24 Bryson Chrisman '29
Panthers Matthew Tevelde '26 Carson Dobb '24

Conditions — 11/04/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1021.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Spring Lake Yacht Club: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Spring Lake Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Spring Lake Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →