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VISA Hague JV Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 11 11
2 York High School York High School Falcons 11 11
3 Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 19 19
4 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 32 32
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 34 34
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 36 36
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 45 45
8 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 48 48
9 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 51 51
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 57 57
11 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 59 59
12 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 78 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 1 2 1 4 1 2 11 Ryan Stokes '28
Chase Young '28
York High School York High School Falcons 2 1 2 1 2 3 11 Liam Burke '27
Tyler Compton '29
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 3 6 3 3 3 1 19 Sophia Lopez '30
Dylan Thomas '28
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 7 3 4 5 7 6 32 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-6]
Seth Orehowsky '26 [1]
Sadie (Sami) Forrest '28 [2]
Ava Patterson '28 [3, 5-6]
Logan Robinson '26 [4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 5 6 7 5 7 34 Pierson Teer '27
Suzie Nguyen '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 8 4 7 2 6 9 36 Foard Hunter '27 [1-6]
Jakub Lehmann '29 [1-2]
Preston Chaing '29 [3-4]
Pete Call '29 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 11 8 5 9 4 8 45 Riddick Walton '26 [1-6]
Hayden Newman '25 [1]
Finley Ramos '27 [2, 5-6]
Gavin Palochak '28 [3]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 7 11 6 DNF 5 48 Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [1-6]
Asher Heath '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Ethan Kerns '29 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 5 DNS 8 8 DNF 4 51 Juliana Libby '28 [1-6]
Soham Patel '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Warburton '27 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 10 9 9 10 9 10 57 Tyler Sebring '27 [1-6]
Logan Robinson '26 [1]
Sophia Paterno '28 [2]
Hayden Newman '25 [3]
Meadow Page '26 [4]
Sadie (Sami) Forrest '28 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 9 10 10 11 8 11 59 Jackson Raymond '27 [1-6]
Meadow Page '26 [1]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [2]
Adrianna Henesey '28 [3]
Sophia Paterno '28 [4]
Gavin Palochak '28 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses121212121212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1777777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 4101010101010
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms181818181818
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1131313131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 3151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 4161616161616
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers555555
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons666666
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses Pierson Teer '27 Suzie Nguyen '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Foard Hunter '27 [1-6] Jakub Lehmann '29 [1-2]
Preston Chaing '29 [3-4]
Pete Call '29 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [1-6] Asher Heath '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Ethan Kerns '29 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Juliana Libby '28 [1-6] Soham Patel '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Warburton '27 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 No Show No Show
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms Ryan Stokes '28 Chase Young '28
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Riddick Walton '26 [1-6] Hayden Newman '25 [1]
Finley Ramos '27 [2, 5-6]
Gavin Palochak '28 [3]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Jackson Raymond '27 [1-6] Meadow Page '26 [1]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [2]
Adrianna Henesey '28 [3]
Sophia Paterno '28 [4]
Gavin Palochak '28 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 Tyler Sebring '27 [1-6] Logan Robinson '26 [1]
Sophia Paterno '28 [2]
Hayden Newman '25 [3]
Meadow Page '26 [4]
Sadie (Sami) Forrest '28 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-6] Seth Orehowsky '26 [1]
Sadie (Sami) Forrest '28 [2]
Ava Patterson '28 [3, 5-6]
Logan Robinson '26 [4]
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers Sophia Lopez '30 Dylan Thomas '28
York High School York High School Falcons Liam Burke '27 Tyler Compton '29

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 88°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From S (181°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.38 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →