MDISA WRSC Tier 2 Fall Regatta

HostSouth River/Southern
Date10/07/2023
TypeIn-League
BoatZ420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	7	13	20
2	Leonardtown High School	Raiders	13	9	22
3	Great Mills High School	Hornets	22	21	43
4	Maret	Frogs	16	42	58
5	South River High School	Seahawks	47	11	58
6	Southern High School	Bulldogs	24	36	60
7	Gunston	Herons	34	40	74
8	Key School	Zags	40	40	80
9	St. Mary's Ryken	Knights	39	41	80
10	Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	39	44	83
11	Annapolis High School	Panthers	49	35	84

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	1	1	1	2	2	7	Cece Carey '28 Saoirse Taylor '28
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	2	2	4	4	1	13	Everett Moulds '26 C. Aubrey Reese '26
Maret	Frogs	4	4	3	1	4	16	No Show No Show
Great Mills High School	Hornets	6	3	5	3	5	22	Noelle Davis '25 Addison Davis '25
Southern High School	Bulldogs	7	6	2	6	3	24	Molly Dowling '25 [1-5] Melissa Fletcher '24 [1-2] Sarah Ramson '27 [3-5]
Gunston	Herons	3	8	8	5	10	34	Wylie Keegan '25 [1-2, 5] Preston Allen '27 [3-4] Ethan Mcwilliams '25 [1-2] Annabelle Sinatra '24 [3-4] Aiden Filer '23 [5]
Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	8	5	11	9	6	39	Henry Macmillan '26 [1-5] James Biles V '27 [1-2, 5] Alejandro Piquero '27 [3-4]
St. Mary's Ryken	Knights	9	9	6	7	8	39	Cooper Wright '26 Michael Finarelli '25
Key School	Zags	5	7	7	10	11	40	Brenden Frank '23 Archie Dove '31
South River High School	Seahawks	10	11	9	8	9	47	Lily Moss '25 Everett Barker '25
Annapolis High School	Panthers	11	10	10	11	7	49	Robert Bauer '26 [1-5] Ellie Katz '27 [1-2] Blake Gezelle '27 [3-5]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	2	3	1	2	1	9	Xander Moulds '29 Griffin Pitcher '25
South River High School	Seahawks	1	1	5	1	3	11	Hayden Medick '26 Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	3	2	2	4	2	13	Gene Williams '29 [1-2] Bobby Carey '28 [3-5] Dawson Cooper '28 [1-2] Gene Williams '29 [3-5]
Great Mills High School	Hornets	4	7	3	3	4	21	Allie Clark '26 Samuel Glauner '27
Annapolis High School	Panthers	8	5	8	8	6	35	Henry Meyer '25 [1-2, 5] Bryson Lang '28 [3-4] Henry Pachler '27 [1-2, 5]
Southern High School	Bulldogs	11	11	4	5	5	36	Nola Primeaux '25 Carter Steiert '27
Gunston	Herons	5	4	9	10	DSQ	40	Isabella Ford '27 [1-2] Justin Mccubbin '25 [3-5] Joseph Mcgeady '27 [1-2] Caroline Thomas '26 [3-5]
Key School	Zags	6	6	10	9	9	40	Henry Legum '31 [1-2] Madison Wyatt '28 [3-5] Gideon Santana '28 [1-2] Danner Bergerson '28 [3-5]
St. Mary's Ryken	Knights	10	9	7	7	8	41	Leo Xiang '25 Georgia Mudd '26
Maret	Frogs	9	8	DSQ	6	7	42	No Show No Show
Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	7	10	6	11	10	44	Adalyn Biles '27 [1-5] Zachary Wells '25 [1-2] Teagan Leigh '28 [3-5]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Annapolis High School Panthers	1	1	3	3	5
Great Mills High School Hornets	2	2	4	4	6
Kent Island High School Buccaneers	4	4	6	6	8
Key School Zags	5	5	7	7	9
Leonardtown High School Raiders	6	6	8	8	10
Maret Frogs	7	7	9	9	11
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	11	11	2	2	4
South River High School Seahawks	8	8	10	10	1
Southern High School Bulldogs	9	9	11	11	2
St. Mary's Ryken Knights	10	10	1	1	3
Gunston Herons	3	3	5	5	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	4	4	4
Great Mills High School Hornets	3	3	5	5	5
Kent Island High School Buccaneers	5	5	7	7	7
Key School Zags	6	6	8	8	8
Leonardtown High School Raiders	7	7	9	9	9
Maret Frogs	8	8	10	10	10
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	1	1	3	3	3
South River High School Seahawks	9	9	11	11	11
Southern High School Bulldogs	10	10	1	1	1
St. Mary's Ryken Knights	11	11	2	2	2
Gunston Herons	4	4	6	6	6

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Robert Bauer '26 [1-5]	Ellie Katz '27 [1-2] Blake Gezelle '27 [3-5]
Panthers	Henry Meyer '25 [1-2, 5] Bryson Lang '28 [3-4]	Henry Pachler '27 [1-2, 5]
Great Mills High School	Noelle Davis '25	Addison Davis '25
Hornets	Allie Clark '26	Samuel Glauner '27
Gunston	Wylie Keegan '25 [1-2, 5] Preston Allen '27 [3-4]	Ethan Mcwilliams '25 [1-2] Annabelle Sinatra '24 [3-4] Aiden Filer '23 [5]
Herons	Isabella Ford '27 [1-2] Justin Mccubbin '25 [3-5]	Joseph Mcgeady '27 [1-2] Caroline Thomas '26 [3-5]
Kent Island High School	Henry Macmillan '26 [1-5]	James Biles V '27 [1-2, 5] Alejandro Piquero '27 [3-4]
Buccaneers	Adalyn Biles '27 [1-5]	Zachary Wells '25 [1-2] Teagan Leigh '28 [3-5]
Key School	Brenden Frank '23	Archie Dove '31
Zags	Henry Legum '31 [1-2] Madison Wyatt '28 [3-5]	Gideon Santana '28 [1-2] Danner Bergerson '28 [3-5]
Leonardtown High School	Everett Moulds '26	C. Aubrey Reese '26
Raiders	Xander Moulds '29	Griffin Pitcher '25
Maret	No Show	No Show
Frogs	No Show	No Show
South River High School	Lily Moss '25	Everett Barker '25
Seahawks	Hayden Medick '26	Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Southern High School	Molly Dowling '25 [1-5]	Melissa Fletcher '24 [1-2] Sarah Ramson '27 [3-5]
Bulldogs	Nola Primeaux '25	Carter Steiert '27
St. Mary's Ryken	Cooper Wright '26	Michael Finarelli '25
Knights	Leo Xiang '25	Georgia Mudd '26
Sts. Peter & Paul	Cece Carey '28	Saoirse Taylor '28
Sabres	Gene Williams '29 [1-2] Bobby Carey '28 [3-5]	Dawson Cooper '28 [1-2] Gene Williams '29 [3-5]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MDISA WRSC Tier 2 Fall Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes