2024 PCISA NORCAL 3 SILVER

HostEncinal Yacht club
Date11/02/2024
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	33	33
2	Pacific Grove High School	Breakers 1	39	39
3	Carlmont	The Scots 2	50	50
4	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	52	52
5	The Kehillah School	Kehillah	55	55
6	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	62	62
7	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	67	67
8	San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	67	67
9	Carlmont	The Scots 1	84	84
10	Monterey High School	Toreadores	87	87
11	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	88	88
12	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	89	89
13	Carmel High School	Padres	90	90
14	Pacific Grove High School	Breakers 2	103	103
15	Burlingame High School	Burlingame 3	108	108
16	Encinal High School	Jets 1	111	111
17	Burlingame High School	Burlingame 1	113	113
18	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	124	124
19	Campolindo High School	Cougars	128	128
20	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	129	129
21	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	135	135
22	San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	136	136
23	The Urban School	Blues	143	143
24	Burlingame High School	Burlingame 2	149	149
25	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 3	151	151
26	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	156	156
27	Encinal High School	Jets 2	156	156
28	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	157	157
29	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	184	184

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	2	3	7	2	8	1	10	33	Bernard Huger '28 [1-7] Casiel Toy-Lim '28 [1-2, 5-6] Timothy Morrissey '28 [3-4, 7]
Pacific Grove High School	Breakers 1	1	4	9	4	5	8	8	39	Kieran Sherlock '25 Tyra Liljegard '25
Carlmont	The Scots 2	4	17	1	6	3	18	1	50	Karsten Brouwer '27 Lily Stutzin '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	3	7	10	1	9	16	6	52	Oscar Melet '27 Asher Ellis '27
The Kehillah School	Kehillah	5	6	2	3	24	13	2	55	Ansel Koch '28 Alex Wullschleger '26
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	13	1	12	19	6	4	7	62	Charlie Fine '25 Flora Ebringer '27
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	10	5	6	7	11	11	17	67	Cullen Rushing '28 Penelope Kershaw '26
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	20	9	8	12	4	3	11	67	Django Press '28 Willem Morrow '27
Carlmont	The Scots 1	7	10	14	10	16	23	4	84	Petra Bender '29 Emerson Elliott '27
Monterey High School	Toreadores	19	13	11	18	1	9	16	87	Andrew Tschanz '25 [1, 5] Rosemary Savukinas '28 [2, 4, 6] Elora Shester '28 [3, 7] Elora Shester '28 [1, 4-5] Andrew Tschanz '25 [2-3, 6-7]
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	16	19	22	5	10	2	14	88	Tommy O'Hara '29 Ryan Ferguson '28
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	12	20	25	11	2	14	5	89	Lila Rodet '27 Jesse Rushing '28
Carmel High School	Padres	22	2	13	14	15	5	19	90	June Emerson '28 [1-7] River Mello '28 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Stafford '28 [3-4, 7]
Pacific Grove High School	Breakers 2	8	8	18	24	18	6	21	103	Edward Shelton '27 James Archer '27
Burlingame High School	Burlingame 3	27	15	3	8	14	19	22	108	Scarlett Bounds '26 Lucia Hayes '26
Encinal High School	Jets 1	14	25	21	16	19	7	9	111	Ava Estilaei '27 Jack Sheets '28
Burlingame High School	Burlingame 1	24	11	4	15	25	10	24	113	Kieran Clarke '26 Michael Wu '29
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	25	14	5	20	21	21	18	124	Nate Burgstone '28 Marc Cheung '28
Campolindo High School	Cougars	6	21	16	17	26	27	15	128	Kieran Whittome '27 Leela Cargain '29
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	11	16	17	13	27	22	23	129	Stella Ward Turko '27 [1-7] Zoe Bruce '26 [1, 3, 5, 7] Victoria Krauss '27 [2, 4, 6]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	9	12	19	21	29	25	20	135	Sebastian Gebler '27 [1-2, 4-7] Maya Youssef '28 [3] Maya Youssef '28 [1-2, 4-7] Sebastian Gebler '27 [3]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	15	22	20	27	7	20	25	136	Praire Press '26 [1-7] Cara Parks '27 [1-4] Erich Hajek-Linares '27 [5-7]
The Urban School	Blues	21	18	29	25	13	24	13	143	Azia Winn '29 [1-2, 5-6] Adabella London '28 [3-4, 7] Maya Youssef '28 [1-2, 5-6] Dakota Burns '28 [3-4, 7]
Burlingame High School	Burlingame 2	17	27	28	28	22	15	12	149	Sebastijan Couloures '29 Emma Wu '29
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 3	28	23	15	26	17	12	DSQ	151	Solomon Gutride '28 Kiran Vercellotti '28
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	18	26	24	9	23	29	27	156	Alex Shum '27 [1-2, 5-6] Donovan Shinn '26 [3-4, 7] Jack Laipply '27 [1-6] Alex Shum '27 [7]
Encinal High School	Jets 2	23	29	26	29	20	26	3	156	Cyrus Estilaei '27 Lucie Harriet '29
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	26	24	27	23	12	17	28	157	Vaugn Neumann '27 Stewart Walker '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	29	28	23	22	28	28	26	184	Aidan Andresen '27 [1-7] Ethan Shaffer '28 [1, 3-4, 7] John Donahue '28 [2, 5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1	53	53	53	53	53	53	53
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2	54	54	54	54	54	54	54
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 3	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
Burlingame High School Burlingame 1	22	22	22	22	22	22	22
Burlingame High School Burlingame 2	23	23	23	23	23	23	23
Burlingame High School Burlingame 3	21	21	21	21	21	21	21
Campolindo High School Cougars	48	48	48	48	48	48	48
Carlmont The Scots 1	26	26	26	26	26	26	26
Carlmont The Scots 2	25	25	25	25	25	25	25
Carmel High School Padres	145	145	145	145	145	145	145
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Encinal High School Jets 1	45	45	45	45	45	45	45
Encinal High School Jets 2	44	44	44	44	44	44	44
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
The Kehillah School Kehillah	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Marin Catholic Wildcats	139	139	139	139	139	139	139
Monterey High School Toreadores	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Pacific Grove High School Breakers 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Pacific Grove High School Breakers 2	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
San Domenico High School Panthers 1	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
San Domenico High School Panthers 2	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	141	141	141	141	141	141	141
Stevenson School Pirates 1	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
Stevenson School Pirates 2	98	98	98	98	98	98	98
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	77	77	77	77	77	77	77
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
The Urban School Blues	5	5	5	5	5	5	5

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	Lila Rodet '27	Jesse Rushing '28
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	Cullen Rushing '28	Penelope Kershaw '26
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 3	Solomon Gutride '28	Kiran Vercellotti '28
Burlingame High School	Burlingame 1	Kieran Clarke '26	Michael Wu '29
Burlingame High School	Burlingame 2	Sebastijan Couloures '29	Emma Wu '29
Burlingame High School	Burlingame 3	Scarlett Bounds '26	Lucia Hayes '26
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Kieran Whittome '27	Leela Cargain '29
Carlmont	The Scots 1	Petra Bender '29	Emerson Elliott '27
Carlmont	The Scots 2	Karsten Brouwer '27	Lily Stutzin '26
Carmel High School	Padres	June Emerson '28 [1-7]	River Mello '28 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Stafford '28 [3-4, 7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	Bernard Huger '28 [1-7]	Casiel Toy-Lim '28 [1-2, 5-6] Timothy Morrissey '28 [3-4, 7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	Sebastian Gebler '27 [1-2, 4-7] Maya Youssef '28 [3]	Maya Youssef '28 [1-2, 4-7] Sebastian Gebler '27 [3]
Encinal High School	Jets 1	Ava Estilaei '27	Jack Sheets '28
Encinal High School	Jets 2	Cyrus Estilaei '27	Lucie Harriet '29
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	Stella Ward Turko '27 [1-7]	Zoe Bruce '26 [1, 3, 5, 7] Victoria Krauss '27 [2, 4, 6]
Monterey High School	Toreadores	Andrew Tschanz '25 [1, 5] Rosemary Savukinas '28 [2, 4, 6] Elora Shester '28 [3, 7]	Elora Shester '28 [1, 4-5] Andrew Tschanz '25 [2-3, 6-7]
Pacific Grove High School	Breakers 1	Kieran Sherlock '25	Tyra Liljegard '25
Pacific Grove High School	Breakers 2	Edward Shelton '27	James Archer '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	Praire Press '26 [1-7]	Cara Parks '27 [1-4] Erich Hajek-Linares '27 [5-7]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	Django Press '28	Willem Morrow '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	Alex Shum '27 [1-2, 5-6] Donovan Shinn '26 [3-4, 7]	Jack Laipply '27 [1-6] Alex Shum '27 [7]
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Nate Burgstone '28	Marc Cheung '28
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Tommy O'Hara '29	Ryan Ferguson '28
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Vaugn Neumann '27	Stewart Walker '27
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Aidan Andresen '27 [1-7]	Ethan Shaffer '28 [1, 3-4, 7] John Donahue '28 [2, 5-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	Oscar Melet '27	Asher Ellis '27
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	Charlie Fine '25	Flora Ebringer '27
The Kehillah School	Kehillah	Ansel Koch '28	Alex Wullschleger '26
The Urban School	Blues	Azia Winn '29 [1-2, 5-6] Adabella London '28 [3-4, 7]	Maya Youssef '28 [1-2, 5-6] Dakota Burns '28 [3-4, 7]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2024 PCISA NORCAL 3 SILVER

Division A

From the notes