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2024 Turkey Leg Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 15 6 21
2 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 8 14 22
3 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 11 15 26
4 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 22 13 35
5 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 20 17 37
6 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 23 18 41
7 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 11 34 45
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 26 29 55
9 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 31 26 57
10 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 35 24 59
11 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed White 23 36 59
12 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 29 37 66
13 Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic LansingCatholicMixed 35 32 67
14 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 44 29 73
15 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 34 48 82
16 Bath High School Bath High School Bath Bees MIXED 46 37 83
17 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED 46 44 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 4 3 1 8 Charlie Vink '27
Liam Satterfield '29
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 1 2 8 11 Max Eggert '26
Logan Thien '25
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 5 4 2 11 Jack Riley '26
Ana Kozak '27
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 7 1 7 15 Charlie Molesta '28
Jackson Donner '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 3 8 9 20 Jack Armstrong '25
Ryan Ellison '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 2 17 3 22 Clayton Debruyn '26
Carmen Rojewski '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 9 10 4 23 Peter Horst '26
Connor Smith '26
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed White 12 6 5 23 Lila Torresen '25
Lucas Williams '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 15 5 6 26 Brooklyn Verplank '25
Jack Fogel '28
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 8 9 12 29 Erin Degrazia '27
Angelina Abdulnour '27
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 11 7 13 31 Andrew Roeder '26
Daniel Kotsekon '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 6 12 16 34 Brianna Briggs '25
Maverick Killips '25
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 10 15 10 35 Bryson Chrisman '28 [1-2]
Isaac Eklov '27 [3]
Teagan Hackney '27 [1-2]
Bryson Chrisman '28 [3]
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic LansingCatholicMixed 13 11 11 35 Logan Miceli '27
Jude Lockard '28
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 14 16 14 44 Henry Feyen '25
Sam Woller-Skar '27
Bath High School Bath High School Bath Bees MIXED 16 13 17 46 Savana Harte '26
Ryker Tessmer '29
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED 17 14 15 46 Michael Butcher '25 [1-3]
Dylan Rydlicki '27 [1-2]
Ryan Chabalowski '29 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 3 2 1 6 Elsie Torresen '27
Kari Taylor '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 6 3 4 13 Blake Glazer '27
Owen Watkins '30
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 5 4 5 14 Cole Blum '27
Alexis Twa '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 1 6 8 15 Rhodes Verplank '29
Anderson Vickers '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 2 1 14 17 Sean Ellison '25
Sydney Rosenberg '26
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 4 7 7 18 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 10 11 3 24 Cassius Ingham '29 [1-2]
James Tevelde '29 [3]
Margaret Kuhn '27 [1-2]
Sydney Giles '29 [3]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 11 9 6 26 Isley Moshier '25
Harrison Allen '26
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 8 10 11 29 Andries Berens '27
Titus Storrs '25
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 14 5 10 29 Annalise Vink '29
Jack Sherman '29
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic LansingCatholicMixed 16 14 2 32 Austin Kovalchick '28
Cee Loxley '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 9 8 17 34 Cooper Riley '28
Diesel Baer '28
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed White 12 12 12 36 Brady Wallace '27
Micah Gawronski '28
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 7 17 13 37 Luc Messner '27
Levi Citron '26
Bath High School Bath High School Bath Bees MIXED 13 15 9 37 William Quick-Severin '26
Maia Lodise '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED 15 13 16 44 Toby Smart '25
Mario Aristeo '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 17 16 15 48 Henry Mcbrien '26
James He '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Bath Bees MIXED110110110
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed923092309230
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue888
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED112112112
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED826682668266
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic LansingCatholicMixed111111111
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Bath High SchoolBath High School Bath Bees MIXED110110110
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed923092309230
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue888
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED112112112
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Devils - MIXED826682668266
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic LansingCatholicMixed111111111
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed191919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Savana Harte '26 Ryker Tessmer '29
Bath Bees MIXED William Quick-Severin '26 Maia Lodise '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Jack Armstrong '25 Ryan Ellison '28
MIXED Sean Ellison '25 Sydney Rosenberg '26
Black River Public School Black River Public School Bryson Chrisman '28 [1-2]
Isaac Eklov '27 [3]		 Teagan Hackney '27 [1-2]
Bryson Chrisman '28 [3]
Mixed Cassius Ingham '29 [1-2]
James Tevelde '29 [3]		 Margaret Kuhn '27 [1-2]
Sydney Giles '29 [3]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Erin Degrazia '27 Angelina Abdulnour '27
BRM Blue MIXED Luc Messner '27 Levi Citron '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Brianna Briggs '25 Maverick Killips '25
MIXED Gold Henry Mcbrien '26 James He '27
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Henry Feyen '25 Sam Woller-Skar '27
EGR Varsity Blue Andries Berens '27 Titus Storrs '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Clayton Debruyn '26 Carmen Rojewski '28
East Lansing ATMIXED Blake Glazer '27 Owen Watkins '30
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Charlie Molesta '28 Jackson Donner '29
GH Blue Mixed Elsie Torresen '27 Kari Taylor '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Charlie Vink '27 Liam Satterfield '29
GH Gold Mixed Cole Blum '27 Alexis Twa '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Michael Butcher '25 [1-3] Dylan Rydlicki '27 [1-2]
Ryan Chabalowski '29 [3]
GI Devils - MIXED Toby Smart '25 Mario Aristeo '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Peter Horst '26 Connor Smith '26
Blue Bobby Cooper '27 Ryan Ridgeway '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Jack Riley '26 Ana Kozak '27
White Cooper Riley '28 Diesel Baer '28
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Logan Miceli '27 Jude Lockard '28
LansingCatholicMixed Austin Kovalchick '28 Cee Loxley '28
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Lila Torresen '25 Lucas Williams '26
MS Mixed White Brady Wallace '27 Micah Gawronski '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Max Eggert '26 Logan Thien '25
Grey Mixed Rhodes Verplank '29 Anderson Vickers '29
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Brooklyn Verplank '25 Jack Fogel '28
Red Mixed Annalise Vink '29 Jack Sherman '29
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Andrew Roeder '26 Daniel Kotsekon '26
TCC Mixed Isley Moshier '25 Harrison Allen '26

Conditions — 11/02/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1030.4 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 10.3 kn
From SE (129°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1030.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Allendale Public/Grand Haven/Mona Shores/Spring Lake: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Allendale Public/Grand Haven/Mona Shores/Spring Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Allendale Public/Grand Haven/Mona Shores/Spring Lake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →