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Art Johson

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 38 28 66
2 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 26 47 73
3 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 43 47 90
4 Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 57 39 96
5 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 59 58 117
6 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 57 65 122
7 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 90 57 147
8 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 62 95 157
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 6 2 3 1 4 26 Carson Boemer '27
Baron Reuter '25
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 2 6 5 1 3 4 2 3 3 4 4 1 38 Robbie Dresen '25
Colin O'Gara '28
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 3 5 6 5 4 5 1 1 1 2 7 3 43 Adi Narayan '27
Talia Cairns '25
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 4 3 3 4 5 3 7 5 6 6 6 5 57 Will Beres '27
Addison Black '27
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 6 4 7 6 7 6 8 4 4 1 2 2 57 Frank Pichette '29
Kenton Kobilca '29
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 5 2 2 7 6 2 5 8 7 5 3 7 59 Ella Bowers '28 [1-4, 9-12]
Nicholas Grimm '28 [5-8]
Nicholas Grimm '28 [1-4, 9-12]
Ella Bowers '28 [5-8]
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 7 7 4 3 2 7 4 2 5 7 8 6 62 Jack Colosi '25
Kaitlyn Anderson '25
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 7 8 8 5 8 90 Alexander Bixby '25
Sofie Muschenheim '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 1 1 5 4 1 1 2 2 2 6 1 2 28 Haaken Lein '27
Claire Jozwowski '27
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 5 2 3 2 2 4 1 6 6 5 2 1 39 Will Goettelman '29 [1-12]
Atticus Haus '29 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lillian Ahners '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 3 4 1 3 8 7 3 4 3 6 3 47 Finnigan Cairns '25
Leif Rush '28
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 4 4 2 5 5 7 4 1 1 1 4 DSQ 47 Edward Mooney '25 [1-4, 7-10]
Tj Sippel '28 [5-6, 11-12]
Tj Sippel '28 [1-2, 7-8]
Declan Wagner '28 [3-6, 9-12]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 7 5 7 3 7 2 3 5 5 2 7 4 57 Josh Van Norman '25
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 3 7 1 6 4 6 6 4 7 4 5 5 58 Claudia Kroll '25
Laken Barrott '28
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 6 6 6 7 6 3 5 7 3 7 3 6 65 Pierre Lambert '27
Suzy Larson '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 8 8 8 8 8 5 8 8 8 8 DNF DNS 95 Marcus Anderson '29
Kaitlyn Genia '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red113355771133
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings224466992244
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers335577113355
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers446699224466
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs557711335577
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates669922446699
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans771133557711
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears992244669922

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red224466992244
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings335577113355
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers446699224466
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers557711335577
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs669922446699
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates771133557711
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans992244669922
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears113355771133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Ella Bowers '28 [1-4, 9-12]
Nicholas Grimm '28 [5-8]		 Nicholas Grimm '28 [1-4, 9-12]
Ella Bowers '28 [5-8]
Red Claudia Kroll '25 Laken Barrott '28
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Frank Pichette '29 Kenton Kobilca '29
Vikings Will Goettelman '29 [1-12] Atticus Haus '29 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lillian Ahners '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Carson Boemer '27 Baron Reuter '25
Hill Toppers Edward Mooney '25 [1-4, 7-10]
Tj Sippel '28 [5-6, 11-12]		 Tj Sippel '28 [1-2, 7-8]
Declan Wagner '28 [3-6, 9-12]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Alexander Bixby '25 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Panthers Josh Van Norman '25 Joshua Drivdahl '25
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Jack Colosi '25 Kaitlyn Anderson '25
Mustangs Marcus Anderson '29 Kaitlyn Genia '29
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Will Beres '27 Addison Black '27
Pirates Pierre Lambert '27 Suzy Larson '27
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Adi Narayan '27 Talia Cairns '25
Spartans Finnigan Cairns '25 Leif Rush '28
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Colin O'Gara '28
Bears Haaken Lein '27 Claire Jozwowski '27

Conditions — 10/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From SW (226°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/Stillwater/White Bear Lake: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/Stillwater/White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/Stillwater/White Bear Lake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →