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Cascadia Cup Bronze

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2 12 10 22
2 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 2 10 15 25
3 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School /Sehome 10 17 27
4 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 15 16 31
5 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 29 32
6 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 20 19 39
7 Rainer Rainer Rainer 25 18 43
8 Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1 25 19 44
9 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 32 13 45
10 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 25 23 48
11 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 22 29 51
12 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 1 35 32 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 1 1 3 Elias Lawrence '28
Lucien Parsons '27
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 2 2 6 2 10 Caelan Prater '27
Keira Andersen '28
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School /Sehome 5 2 3 10 Dante Muthee '27 [1-3]
Gavin Schinning '28 [1-2]
Anika Nienhuis '28 [3]
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2 4 4 4 12 Antalya Williamson '25
Alex Tharp '26
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 3 3 9 15 Carter Carness '26
Ellyaena Jackson '29
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 8 5 7 20 Skylar Smith '29
Henry Fournier '28
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 9 7 6 22 Polk Barker '26
Phoebe Karp '26
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1 6 8 11 25 Watson Laden '27
Elliott Penner '28
Rainer Rainer Rainer 7 10 8 25
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 11 9 5 25 Jim Weiss '28 [1, 3]
Lyric Melville '27 [2]
Noah Gladstein '26 [1-3]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 10 12 10 32 Chase Johnson '27
Ben Henniger '28
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 1 12 11 12 35 William Weidenhoeft '28
Elijah Owen '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2 4 5 1 10 Adrian Carlson '25
Mara Block '27
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 8 1 4 13 Lucas Vanasse '28
James Madi '28
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 2 2 11 2 15 Isaac Anderson '27
Peter Schiess '27
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 7 6 3 16 Carter Carness '26
Ellyaena Jackson '29
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School /Sehome 1 9 7 17 No Show
Adham Elglaly '26
Rainer Rainer Rainer 10 3 5 18
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 5 8 6 19 Skylar Smith '29
Henry Fournier '28
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1 9 2 8 19 Alder Silkie '28
Suyana Henderson Resendiz '27
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 3 7 DNS 23 Brayden Ericson '28
Elizabeth Kochel '27
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 6 10 DSQ 29 Rowan Fisher '28 [1-2]
Eli Frohne '28 [3]
Maddox Bayer '29 [1-2]
Ari Steffen-Scholl '29 [3]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 12 4 DNS 29 Jackson Maestras '27
Olin Brinkley '27
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 1 11 12 9 32 Isaac Anderson '27
Peter Schiess '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks424242
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers666
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions114114114
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines161616
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides111111111
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School /Sehome515151
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 1155155155
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 2153153153
RainerRainer Rainer868686
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders111111

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From WNW (300°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1018.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · SW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Garfield: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.34)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Garfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Garfield: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →