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COHSSA Thursday Throwdown

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls 11 11
2 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 1 15 15
3 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 16 16
4 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 31 31
5 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 31 31
6 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed 43 43
7 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV B 44 44
8 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 48 48
9 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School JV 50 50
10 Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 54 54
11 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 61 61
12 Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 62 62
13 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 63 63
14 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 64 64
15 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Girls 2 64 64
16 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 2 65 65
17 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV A 69 69
18 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 73 73
19 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Girls 1 89 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls 2 2 2 4 1 11 Emma Spengeman '29
Ellie Mcbride '29
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 1 7 1 1 1 5 15 Ike Becker '28
Lyon Grieselhuber '27
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 1 4 3 6 2 16 Quinton Ireland '29
Vincent Ireland '27
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 4 7 9 5 6 31 Ellie Hutchings '26
Finn Mahoney '25
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 6 3 6 12 4 31 Mac Harman '28
Maddox Birch '28
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed 3 17 13 3 7 43 Dora Winkler '26
Erin Toeofer '25
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV B OCS 6 7 2 9 44 Camden Bauman '26
Kian Brothers '28
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 8 8 12 17 3 48 Arthur Vins '28
Mallory Lane '28
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School JV 11 15 5 9 10 50 Seth Pingel '29
Reed Schworm '25
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 13 11 8 8 14 54 Anastasia Kovalenko '29
Ishita Sankuklar '28
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 14 13 10 16 8 61 Tyler Holbrook '29
Addison Retcher '28
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 12 12 15 11 12 62 Cecilia Maher '27
Annabelle Allen '29
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 16 16 4 14 13 63 Alfonso Tortora-Colon '27
Sofia Allen '29
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 5 19 17 7 16 64 Hudson Poulton '27
Hope Yakover '28
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Girls 2 10 10 18 15 11 64 Ellie Doepker '25
Marianne Mendez '25
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 2 9 5 11 DNS DNS 65 Margo Dorman '28
Isaac Baumgartner '28
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV A 18 9 14 10 18 69 Kyle Kingsley '29
Andres Martinez '29
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 15 14 16 13 15 73 Fitz Baker '27
Max Rodriguez '28
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Girls 1 17 18 19 18 17 89 Hannah Grady '28
Alex Mcbride '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bishop WattersonBishop Watterson Mixed66666
Gahanna Lincoln High SchoolGahanna Lincoln High School Mixed1717171717
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School GIrls33333
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed99999
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy JV A2222222222
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy JV B2121212121
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed22222
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves2020202020
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Girls 11919191919
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Girls 255555
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Mixed1111111111
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed1515151515
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals00000
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School JV44444
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Mixed1313131313
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats11111
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed 11010101010
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed 21818181818
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack1616161616

Conditions — 10/10/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From NE (43°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1023.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Francis Desales: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.22)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.22 means a rating gap counts about 19% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Francis Desales by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at St. Francis Desales, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →