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Dusty Waters Regatta_C420

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 3 13 13 26
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 13 14 27
3 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 17 21 38
4 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 52 24 76
5 Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 63 23 86
6 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 1 61 38 99
7 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 1 44 64 108
8 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 41 75 116
9 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 34 83 117
10 Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy 67 50 117
11 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 89 56 145
12 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 57 92 149
13 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 69 83 152
14 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 56 103 159
15 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 2 88 72 160
16 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 2 100 66 166
17 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 2 61 114 175
18 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 103 77 180
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 2 2 2 4 1 2 13 John Lieber '26 [1-6]
Mark Sellers '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Sellers '28 [3-4]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 3 3 3 1 2 3 1 13 Sophie Niemann '26
Elizabeth Allen '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 1 1 6 1 4 4 17 Robbie Dresen '25
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 4 4 5 6 7 8 34 Matthew Ward '27
Audrey Yen '26
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 9 11 4 8 6 3 41 Graham Marshall '25
No Show
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 1 DNF 12 3 3 2 5 44 Carson Boemer '27
Baron Reuter '25
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 6 7 OCS 5 5 10 52 Joseph Cavanaugh '27
James Tessmer '28
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 7 6 12 16 9 6 56 Thomas Murphy '26
Magnus Mandarich '26
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 10 5 11 9 10 12 57 Haaken Lein '27
Colin O'Gara '28
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 1 5 16 7 11 13 9 61 Tyler David '27
Madison Cai '29
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 2 11 10 8 13 12 7 61 Kyle Schienke '26 [1-6]
Bennett Stamm '25 [1-2, 5-6]
James Stamm '25 [3-4]
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 8 8 13 15 8 11 63 Charlie Sauter '25
Lillian Ahners '25
Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy 12 13 9 7 11 15 67 Leo Haslam '27
Cylas Williams '27
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 13 9 10 10 14 13 69 Bryce Banach '27
Logan Glazier-Ballog '27
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 2 15 17 15 12 15 14 88 Alexander Bixby '25
Roman Skubitz '26
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 14 14 14 14 16 17 89 Suzy Larson '27
Addison Black '27
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 2 16 15 16 18 17 18 100 Natalie Blackwood '29
Louise Lambert '29
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 17 18 17 17 18 16 103 Macy Miller '26
Ethan Bucciarelli '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 3 3 4 2 2 1 1 13 Tilly Niemann '28
Ava Kiss '25
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 2 1 1 1 2 7 14 Nicholas Berkowitz '28
Elijah Schleifer '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 5 3 4 4 3 2 21 Jack Colosi '25
Kaitlyn Anderson '25
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 1 5 5 5 4 3 23 Frank Pichette '29
Kenton Kobilca '29
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 4 2 6 3 5 4 24 Cole Bebeau '27
Taiya De Vries '25
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 1 7 7 3 9 6 6 38 Will Beres '27
Jonathan Seifert '27
Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy 6 8 11 6 10 9 50 Olin Johansen '28
Axel Alberte '28
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 8 DNS 7 7 7 8 56 Kaylie Rominski '25
Jasper Check '28
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 1 9 13 10 12 15 5 64 Tj Sippel '28 [1-6]
Declan Wagner '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Kubert Marshall '28 [3-4]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 2 11 9 13 14 9 10 66 Pierre Lambert '27
Jillian Blackwood '29
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 2 12 10 14 10 14 12 72 Ray Bove '29
Sofie Muschenheim '25
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 14 DNF 9 11 8 14 75 Ainsley Marshall '28
Harry Moore '28
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 15 11 15 13 12 11 77 Camden Brandt '28
Luna Hallihan '28
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 13 DNS 8 15 13 15 83 Joseph Lattanzio '25 [1-6]
Molly Fitzsimmons '25 [1-2]
Patrick Devereux '28 [3-6]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans DNF 12 12 16 11 13 83 Katilyn Zima '28 [1-2]
No Show [3-6]
Charlie Hintzman '27 [1-2]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 10 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS 92 Niamh Mcmahon '26
Kaitlyn Genia '29
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY DNS DNS DNS 8 DNS DNS 103 Aiden Calagui '26
Teagan Stapleton '28
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 1113355
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 2224466
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 3335577
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers446688
Brookfield AcademyBrookfield Academy Brookfield Academy557799
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits66881010
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings77991111
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans8810101212
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY9911111313
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers101012121414
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers 1111113131515
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers 2121214141616
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers 1131315151717
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers 2141416161818
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1515171711
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates 11616181822
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates 217171133
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears18182244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 1224466
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 2335577
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks 3446688
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers557799
Brookfield AcademyBrookfield Academy Brookfield Academy66881010
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits77991111
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings8810101212
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans9911111313
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY101012121414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers111113131515
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers 1121214141616
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers 2131315151717
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers 1141416161818
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers 21515171711
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1616181822
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates 117171133
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates 218182244
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School John Lieber '26 [1-6] Mark Sellers '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Sellers '28 [3-4]
Warhawks 1 Nicholas Berkowitz '28 Elijah Schleifer '26
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Joseph Cavanaugh '27 James Tessmer '28
Warhawks 2 Cole Bebeau '27 Taiya De Vries '25
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Sophie Niemann '26 Elizabeth Allen '26
Warhawks 3 Tilly Niemann '28 Ava Kiss '25
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Graham Marshall '25 No Show
Trailblazers Ainsley Marshall '28 Harry Moore '28
Brookfield Academy Brookfield Academy Leo Haslam '27 Cylas Williams '27
Brookfield Academy Olin Johansen '28 Axel Alberte '28
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Macy Miller '26 Ethan Bucciarelli '28
Wildkits Camden Brandt '28 Luna Hallihan '28
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Charlie Sauter '25 Lillian Ahners '25
Vikings Frank Pichette '29 Kenton Kobilca '29
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Matthew Ward '27 Audrey Yen '26
Titans Katilyn Zima '28 [1-2]
No Show [3-6]		 Charlie Hintzman '27 [1-2]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Thomas Murphy '26 Magnus Mandarich '26
VARSITY Aiden Calagui '26 Teagan Stapleton '28
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Bryce Banach '27 Logan Glazier-Ballog '27
Ramblers Joseph Lattanzio '25 [1-6] Molly Fitzsimmons '25 [1-2]
Patrick Devereux '28 [3-6]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Carson Boemer '27 Baron Reuter '25
Hill Toppers 1 Tj Sippel '28 [1-6] Declan Wagner '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Kubert Marshall '28 [3-4]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Kyle Schienke '26 [1-6] Bennett Stamm '25 [1-2, 5-6]
James Stamm '25 [3-4]
Hill Toppers 2 No Show No Show
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Haaken Lein '27 Colin O'Gara '28
Panthers 1 Niamh Mcmahon '26 Kaitlyn Genia '29
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Alexander Bixby '25 Roman Skubitz '26
Panthers 2 Ray Bove '29 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Suzy Larson '27 Addison Black '27
Raccoons Kaylie Rominski '25 Jasper Check '28
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Tyler David '27 Madison Cai '29
Pirates 1 Will Beres '27 Jonathan Seifert '27
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Natalie Blackwood '29 Louise Lambert '29
Pirates 2 Pierre Lambert '27 Jillian Blackwood '29
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Joshua Drivdahl '25
Bears Jack Colosi '25 Kaitlyn Anderson '25

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 13 kn · W 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.25
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →