Foundry Halloween 2024

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity 10 24 34
2 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 30 8 38
3 Hawken School Hawken School Mixed 11 29 40
4 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 22 22 44
5 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 18 29 47
6 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 30 19 49
7 Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 39 15 54
8 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 27 40 67
9 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 40 43 83
10 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 49 47 96
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity 1 1 1 6 1 10 Adam Starck '25
William Bermel '26
Hawken School Hawken School Mixed 2 2 3 2 2 11 Kaden Kirby '25
Jack Bailey '26
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 3 3 8 1 3 18 Noah Scholtz '25
Sydney Martin '26
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 4 8 2 4 4 22 Henry Elmore '25
Connor Coate '25
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 5 4 4 7 7 27 Olivia Schaffner '26
Allison Pruss '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 6 9 7 3 5 30 Rider Myers '26
Lydia Lyn '26
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 7 7 5 5 6 30 Gavin Grundei '25
Sarah Clowes '25
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 8 6 6 9 10 39 Beckham Marriot '28
Emmy Nagel '28
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 9 5 9 8 9 40 Arthur Vins '28 [1-5]
Mallory Lane '28 [1-2, 5]
Hope Yakover '29 [3-4]
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed DNF 10 10 10 8 49 Seth Pingel '29
Tyler Holbrook '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 1 1 1 3 2 8 Charlie Pensom '29
Elliot Chiang '28
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 7 2 2 1 3 15 Isabel Jeckering '28
Monika Filippi '26
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 3 3 4 5 4 19 Ike Becker '28
Jamie Vance '25
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 2 5 8 2 5 22 Macy Savage '27
Johannes Diekmann '29
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity 6 7 6 4 1 24 Brady Mayer '25 [1-5]
Carmine Lanese '25 [1-2]
Noah Botros '26 [3-5]
Hawken School Hawken School Mixed 4 4 3 10 8 29 Vaughn Keare '27
Molly Dunfee '28
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 5 6 5 6 7 29 Molly Keane '26
Emma Dubick '26
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 8 8 7 8 9 40 Elizabeth Drumm '29
Chelsea Clark '28
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 10 9 DNS 7 6 43 Max Rodriguez '29
Fitz Baker '28
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 9 10 9 9 10 47 Annabelle Allen '29
Sofia Allen '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed22446
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity11335
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions33558
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks44669
Hawken SchoolHawken School Mixed558810
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed669911
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed8810101
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed9911112
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed1010113
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity1111224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed33558
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity22446
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions44669
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks558810
Hawken SchoolHawken School Mixed669911
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed8810101
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed9911112
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed1010113
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed1111224
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Varsity11335

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine7.5 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1017.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cleveland Foundry: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cleveland Foundry by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Cleveland Foundry, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →