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MISSA Great Oaks Qualifier: Silver Fleet

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Sailors 24 24
2 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 26 26
3 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 28 28
4 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 29 29
5 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington UA Bears 32 32
6 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 35 35
7 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 36 36
8 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 41 41
9 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 46 46
10 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 49 49
11 Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Eagles 55 55
12 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 71 71
13 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Berkley 75 75
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Sailors 4 3 1 4 5 7 24 Everett Treece '29
Elliot Treece '29
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 10 5 4 2 2 3 26 Hadley Langoff '26 [1-2]
Henry Elmore '25 [3-4]
Reed Schworm '25 [5-6]
Reed Schworm '25 [1-4]
Hadley Langoff '26 [5-6]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 2 2 3 6 DSQ 28 Watson Conant '26
Harrison Cartwright '26
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 5 4 8 7 4 1 29 Alex Mcbride '27 [1-4]
Maddox Birch '28 [5-6]
Mac Harman '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Maddox Birch '28 [3-4]
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington UA Bears 9 10 5 5 1 2 32 Johannes Diekmann '29
Javier Fernandez '26
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 2 1 9 6 9 8 35 Dora Winkler '26 [1-6]
Hadleigh Gleeson '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Rob Lann '25 [3-4]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 7 6 3 1 10 9 36 Ralph Zemaitis '25 [1-3, 6]
Nolan Graham '28 [4-5]
Liam Kipnis '27 [1-2]
Nolan Graham '28 [3, 6]
Ralph Zemaitis '25 [4-5]
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 6 9 6 8 8 4 41 Lyon Grieselhuber '27
Margo Dorman '28
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 3 11 12 11 3 6 46 Max Rodriguez '28
Fitz Baker '27
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 8 7 7 9 7 11 49 Kenna Perry '27 [1-6]
Ellie Doepker '25 [1-4]
Ishita Sankuklar '28 [5-6]
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Eagles 11 8 10 10 11 5 55 Alexander Gradisar '27
Cecilia Maher '27
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 12 12 11 12 12 12 71 Savana Harte '26
Ryker Tessmer '29
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Berkley 13 13 13 13 13 10 75 Owen Miller '29
Levi Citron '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.380+0.38
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees667788
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Berkley77881010
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions8810101111
Bishop WattersonBishop Watterson Eagles101011111212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits111112121313
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans121213131414
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves141415151616
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Varsity131314141515
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington UA Bears151516161717
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Sailors161617171818
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity171718181919
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats1818191966
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack19196677
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees Savana Harte '26 Ryker Tessmer '29
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Berkley Owen Miller '29 Levi Citron '26
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions Hadley Langoff '26 [1-2]
Henry Elmore '25 [3-4]
Reed Schworm '25 [5-6]		 Reed Schworm '25 [1-4]
Hadley Langoff '26 [5-6]
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Eagles Alexander Gradisar '27 Cecilia Maher '27
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits Ralph Zemaitis '25 [1-3, 6]
Nolan Graham '28 [4-5]		 Liam Kipnis '27 [1-2]
Nolan Graham '28 [3, 6]
Ralph Zemaitis '25 [4-5]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans Watson Conant '26 Harrison Cartwright '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity Kenna Perry '27 [1-6] Ellie Doepker '25 [1-4]
Ishita Sankuklar '28 [5-6]
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves Alex Mcbride '27 [1-4]
Maddox Birch '28 [5-6]		 Mac Harman '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Maddox Birch '28 [3-4]
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington UA Bears Johannes Diekmann '29 Javier Fernandez '26
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Sailors Everett Treece '29 Elliot Treece '29
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity Dora Winkler '26 [1-6] Hadleigh Gleeson '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Rob Lann '25 [3-4]
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats Max Rodriguez '28 Fitz Baker '27
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack Lyon Grieselhuber '27 Margo Dorman '28

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1012.8 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn · S 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Albany: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.21 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Albany by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at New Albany, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →