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PYC #1

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 25 25
2 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 30 30
3 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 36 36
4 West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 39 39
5 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 73 73
6 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue 76 76
7 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 77 77
8 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 80 80
9 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 82 82
10 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 89 89
11 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 92 92
12 Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-FHE Mixed 115 115
13 Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic JV 116 116
14 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 125 125
15 St Marys Prep St Marys Prep Red 136 136
16 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 141 141
17 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks 141 141
18 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 151 151
19 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 164 164
20 Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Mixed 169 169
21 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Devils 170 170
22 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 2 190 190
23 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 200 200
24 Bath High School Bath High School Plan Bee 203 203
25 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 1 207 207
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 5 1 4 1 2 2 1 5 4 25 Brent Armstrong '25
Charlie Bovensiep '28
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 2 2 2 4 12 1 2 4 1 30 Charlie Weikel '26 [1-4, 9]
Graham Rebain '25 [5-8]
Graham Rebain '25 [1-4, 9]
Charlie Weikel '26 [5-8]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 3 3 1 3 1 3 6 9 7 36 Aarush Kapur '25
Finn Hounsell '25
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 1 10 3 2 3 4 7 3 6 39 Grayson Sikkema '27
Brycen Clark '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 9 6 6 12 7 5 12 11 5 73 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue 13 7 9 15 6 8 3 12 3 76 Luc Messner '27
Owen Miller '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 4 9 16 11 5 9 10 1 12 77 William Quick-Severin '26
Austin Kovalchick '28
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 14 13 7 6 4 15 4 7 10 80 Braden Basile '27
Rider Myers '26
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 8 11 5 13 8 7 5 8 17 82 Charlie Pensom '29
Elliot Chiang '28
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 20 4 8 8 11 11 15 10 2 89 Charles Juratic '29
Beckham Marriot '28
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 17 8 12 9 9 6 8 15 8 92 Blake Glazer '27
No Show
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-FHE Mixed 7 18 14 19 16 14 11 2 14 115 Oliver Vanderground '29
Cohen Koops '27
Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic JV 11 19 18 10 13 12 16 6 11 116 Patrick Latchana '27
Luke Latchana '28
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 10 12 20 5 15 20 9 18 16 125 Luciana Palazeti '27
Julia Triculescu '26
St Marys Prep St Marys Prep Red 19 17 11 16 10 10 18 22 13 136 Alex Fox '27
Layla Berger '27
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 6 16 10 20 19 19 17 14 20 141 Brianna Briggs '25
Maverick Killips '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks 18 5 13 DSQ 20 17 13 20 9 141 Sydney Rosenberg '26
No Show
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 12 21 19 18 14 16 19 13 19 151 Alexandra Hernandez '29
Micah Abney '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 15 15 21 23 23 18 14 17 18 164 Kellan Knapp '25 [1-2, 5-9]
Michael Butcher '25 [3-4]
Michael Butcher '25 [1-2, 5-9]
Kellan Knapp '25 [3-4]
Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Mixed 16 14 15 17 22 22 23 19 21 169 Benjamin Vonderheide '25
Harper Postema '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Devils 21 20 17 14 18 13 22 23 22 170 Ryan Chabalowski '29 [1-8]
Dylan Rydlicki '27 [9]
Dylan Rydlicki '27 [1-8]
Ryan Chabalowski '29 [9]
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 2 24 25 22 7 25 25 21 16 25 190 Nola Smart '29
Bee Johns '29
Troy High School Troy High School Troy DNF 22 23 22 24 24 20 24 15 200 Henry Mcbrien '26
No Show
Bath High School Bath High School Plan Bee 22 23 24 21 21 23 24 21 24 203 Savana Harte '26
Ryker Tessmer '29
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 1 23 24 25 24 17 21 25 25 23 207 O Waitkine '29
Z Morning '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED111111111111111111
Bath High SchoolBath High School Plan Bee888888888
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets151515151515151515
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue232323232323232323
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon101010101010101010
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks303030303030303030
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED282828282828282828
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold191919191919191919
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS212121212121212121
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School GRC-FHE Mixed222222222
Grand Rapids West CatholicGrand Rapids West Catholic JV777777777
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED262626262626262626
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Devils999999999
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue141414141414141414
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed 1121212121212121212
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed 2444444444
Lowell High School - MILowell High School - MI Mixed666666666
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs292929292929292929
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed555555555
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates242424242424242424
St Marys PrepSt Marys Prep Red131313131313131313
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy202020202020202020
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green222222222222222222
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White252525252525252525
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue161616161616161616
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED Blake Glazer '27 No Show
Bath High School Bath High School Plan Bee Savana Harte '26 Ryker Tessmer '29
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets Charles Juratic '29 Beckham Marriot '28
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue Luc Messner '27 Owen Miller '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon Alexandra Hernandez '29 Micah Abney '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks Sydney Rosenberg '26 No Show
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED Luciana Palazeti '27 Julia Triculescu '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold Aarush Kapur '25 Finn Hounsell '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS William Quick-Severin '26 Austin Kovalchick '28
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-FHE Mixed Oliver Vanderground '29 Cohen Koops '27
Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic JV Patrick Latchana '27 Luke Latchana '28
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED Kellan Knapp '25 [1-2, 5-9]
Michael Butcher '25 [3-4]		 Michael Butcher '25 [1-2, 5-9]
Kellan Knapp '25 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Devils Ryan Chabalowski '29 [1-8]
Dylan Rydlicki '27 [9]		 Dylan Rydlicki '27 [1-8]
Ryan Chabalowski '29 [9]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Bobby Cooper '27 Ryan Ridgeway '27
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 1 O Waitkine '29 Z Morning '29
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 2 Nola Smart '29 Bee Johns '29
Lowell High School - MI Lowell High School - MI Mixed Benjamin Vonderheide '25 Harper Postema '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs Charlie Weikel '26 [1-4, 9]
Graham Rebain '25 [5-8]		 Graham Rebain '25 [1-4, 9]
Charlie Weikel '26 [5-8]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed Charlie Pensom '29 Elliot Chiang '28
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates Braden Basile '27 Rider Myers '26
St Marys Prep St Marys Prep Red Alex Fox '27 Layla Berger '27
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Henry Mcbrien '26 No Show
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green Brent Armstrong '25 Charlie Bovensiep '28
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White Brianna Briggs '25 Maverick Killips '25
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue Grayson Sikkema '27 Brycen Clark '27

Conditions — 09/14/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From E (80°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →