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Steve Nearing Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 8 16 24
2 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 24 35 59
3 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 28 33 61
4 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 26 40 66
5 Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 33 38 71
6 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Tigers 43 41 84
7 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 38 54 92
8 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 51 43 94
9 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 46 49 95
10 Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 49 48 97
11 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 65 53 118
12 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 74 54 128
13 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Mixed 70 60 130
14 St. Francis Desales St. Francis Desales Mixed 75 67 142
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 1 2 2 1 1 1 8 Beylan Gode '25
Alfonso Tortora-Colon '27
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 2 8 5 4 2 3 24 Ike Becker '28
Flynn Becker '28
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 4 1 4 2 11 4 26 Charlie Pensom '29
Emmy Nagel '29
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 9 3 3 6 5 2 28 Finn Mahoney '25
Ellie Hutchings '26
Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 7 7 6 5 3 5 33 Henry Elmore '25
Dylan Elmore '28
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 8 5 1 11 4 9 38 Emma Spengeman '29
Ellie Mcbride '29
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Tigers 3 6 11 7 8 8 43 Vincent Ireland '27
Kyle Baker '27
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 5 4 9 9 6 13 46 Lyon Grieselhuber '27
Hudson Poulton '27
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 6 9 12 8 7 7 49 Charles Juratic '28
Owen Moes '29
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 10 10 7 3 10 11 51 Connor Coate '25
Tyler Holbrook '29
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 12 12 10 12 9 10 65 Javier Fernandez '26
Jamie Vance '25
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Mixed 13 11 8 10 14 14 70 Dora Winkler '26 [1-2]
Sofia Allen '29 [3-6]
Sofia Allen '29 [1-2]
Hope Yakover '28 [3-6]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 11 13 13 13 12 12 74 Vaughn Keare '27
Molly Dunfee '28
St. Francis Desales St. Francis Desales Mixed 14 14 14 14 13 6 75 Charlie Brunelle '26
Seth Pingel '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 1 1 1 8 4 1 16 Libby Gode '27
Ben Spengeman '27
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 4 4 2 4 13 6 33 Jack Calfee '26
Mallory Lane '28
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 2 12 5 13 1 2 35 Macy Savage '27
Hannah Staas '26
Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 3 5 9 10 8 3 38 Hadley Langoff '26
Sarah Clowes '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 5 9 3 9 5 9 40 Olivia Schaffner '26
Allison Pruss '25
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Tigers 6 3 11 7 6 8 41 David Cram '25
Alexander Gradisar '27
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 7 7 10 12 3 4 43 Camden Bauman '26
Mac Harman '28
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 9 14 7 11 2 5 48 Isabel Jeckering '28
Monika Filippi '26
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 10 2 12 3 12 10 49 Margo Dorman '28
Isaac Baumgartner '28
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 12 13 6 5 10 7 53 Johannes Diekmann '29
Jerry Kaltenbach '29
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 8 8 13 1 11 13 54 Sadie Young '25
Chelsea Clark '28
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 11 10 8 6 7 12 54 Arthur Vins '28
Annabelle Allen '29
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Mixed DSQ 6 14 2 9 14 60 Max Rodriguez '28
Fitz Baker '27
St. Francis Desales St. Francis Desales Mixed 13 11 4 14 14 11 67 Anastasia Kovalenko '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed1116161818
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Mixed2217171919
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed161618182020
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles171719192121
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed181820202222
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Tigers191921212323
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed202022222424
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed212123232525
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates222224242626
St. Francis DesalesSt. Francis Desales Mixed232325252727
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals2424262611
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed2525272722
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Mixed2626111616
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack2727221717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed2217171919
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Mixed161618182020
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed171719192121
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles181820202222
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed191921212323
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Tigers202022222424
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed212123232525
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed222224242626
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates232325252727
St. Francis DesalesSt. Francis Desales Mixed2424262611
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals2525272722
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed2626111616
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Mixed2727221717
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack1116161818

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From ESE (117°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dublin Coffman: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dublin Coffman by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Dublin Coffman, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →