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Wooden Shoe Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 7 4 11
2 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 21 11 32
3 West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 12 31 43
4 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 27 16 43
5 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 11 38 49
6 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 36 14 50
7 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 21 32 53
8 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 29 32 61
9 Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed Gold 34 40 74
10 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 34 43 77
11 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Mixed 60 20 80
12 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 54 44 98
13 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 40 59 99
14 Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV 45 56 101
15 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 60 45 105
16 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 53 59 112
17 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 68 68 136
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 1 2 1 3 7 Lj Nykamp '25
Bryson Chrisman '29
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 2 5 3 1 11 Jack Baird '25
Sophia Barbas '26
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 5 1 4 2 12 Grayson Sikkema '27
Brycen Clark '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 3 7 7 4 21 Annalise Vink '29 [1-4]
Lucy Herlein '25 [1-2]
Jack Fogel '28 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 6 3 6 6 21 Peter Horst '26
Teddy Gmeiner '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 11 6 2 8 27 Clayton Debruyn '26
Austin Kovalchick '28
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 9 10 5 5 29 Charlie Molesta '29
Liam Satterfield '29
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 4 11 10 9 34 Tess Graff '27
Emily Grin '26
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed Gold 8 4 11 11 34 Cameron Bert '26 [1-4]
James Tevelde '29 [1-2]
Isaac Eklov '27 [3-4]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 10 8 8 10 36 Andrew Roeder '26
Daniel Kotsekon '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 12 12 9 7 40 Kellan Knapp '25
Michael Butcher '25
Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV 7 13 13 12 45 Oliver Vanderground '29
Cohen Koops '27
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 16 9 12 16 53 Sebastian Garcia '28
Rex Bauernfeind '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 13 14 14 13 54 Connor Smith '26
Jack Horst '29
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 14 15 16 15 60 Owen Watkins '30
David Catarino '29
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Mixed 15 16 15 14 60 Luke Latchana '28
Finley Kortes '28
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 17 17 17 17 68 Mario Aristeo '27
Harrison Allen '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 1 1 1 1 4 Matthew Tevelde '26
Olive Mcgough '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 2 2 4 3 11 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 3 4 5 2 14 Isley Moshier '25
Camille Coffin '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 5 5 2 4 16 Blake Glazer '27
William Quick-Severin '26
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Mixed 7 3 3 7 20 Elliott Murray '29
Sam Feyen '28
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 6 7 12 6 31 Andries Berens '27
Matthew Edgerly '25
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 4 8 7 13 32 Elsie Torresen '27 [1-4]
Parker Bonney '27 [1-2]
Jack Sherman '29 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 9 12 6 5 32 Brady Wallace '27 [1-4]
Logan Thien '25 [1-2]
Jackson Donner '29 [3-4]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 10 11 8 9 38 Toby Smart '25
Wyatt Masri '28
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed Gold 8 10 11 11 40 Jonas Pearson '25 [1-4]
Cassius Ingham '29 [1-2]
Sydney Giles '29 [3-4]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 12 14 9 8 43 Catherine Grin '26
Beatrix Norden '29
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 11 6 13 14 44 Diesel Baer '28
Savannah Wereley '29
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 14 9 10 12 45 Logan Miceli '27
J Lockerd '28
Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV 16 16 14 10 56 Ben Vonderheide '26
Harper Postema '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 13 15 16 15 59 Ryan Chabalowski '29
Dylan Rydlicki '27
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 15 13 15 16 59 Titus Storrs '25
Xavier Johnson '29
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 17 17 17 17 68 Finn Allen '29
Adelyn Smits '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Gold1133
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue3355
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold2244
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Mixed4466
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED5577
Forest Hills Eastern (MI)Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV6688
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED7799
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue991111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)881010
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed10101212
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue11111313
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed12121414
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed131387478747
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black141487588758
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed8747874794499449
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue8758875811
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed Gold9449944922

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Gold2244
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue4466
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold3355
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Mixed5577
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED6688
Forest Hills Eastern (MI)Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV7799
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED881010
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue10101212
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)991111
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed11111313
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue12121414
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed131387478747
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed141487588758
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black8747874794499449
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed8758875811
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue9449944922
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed Gold1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Black River Public School Black River Public School Lj Nykamp '25 Bryson Chrisman '29
Mixed Gold Matthew Tevelde '26 Olive Mcgough '27
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Sebastian Garcia '28 Rex Bauernfeind '28
EGR Varsity Blue Titus Storrs '25 Xavier Johnson '29
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Tess Graff '27 Emily Grin '26
EGR Varsity Gold Catherine Grin '26 Beatrix Norden '29
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Luke Latchana '28 Finley Kortes '28
Mixed Elliott Murray '29 Sam Feyen '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Clayton Debruyn '26 Austin Kovalchick '28
East Lansing ATMIXED Blake Glazer '27 William Quick-Severin '26
Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Oliver Vanderground '29 Cohen Koops '27
JV Ben Vonderheide '26 Harper Postema '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Kellan Knapp '25 Michael Butcher '25
GI Scarlet - MIXED Ryan Chabalowski '29 Dylan Rydlicki '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Peter Horst '26 Teddy Gmeiner '27
Blue Bobby Cooper '27 Ryan Ridgeway '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Connor Smith '26 Jack Horst '29
White (Mixed) Diesel Baer '28 Savannah Wereley '29
Haslett High School Haslett High School Owen Watkins '30 David Catarino '29
Mixed Logan Miceli '27 J Lockerd '28
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Charlie Molesta '29 Liam Satterfield '29
MS Mixed Blue Elsie Torresen '27 [1-4] Parker Bonney '27 [1-2]
Jack Sherman '29 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Annalise Vink '29 [1-4] Lucy Herlein '25 [1-2]
Jack Fogel '28 [3-4]
Red Mixed Brady Wallace '27 [1-4] Logan Thien '25 [1-2]
Jackson Donner '29 [3-4]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Mario Aristeo '27 Harrison Allen '26
TCSF Mixed Finn Allen '29 Adelyn Smits '29
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Andrew Roeder '26 Daniel Kotsekon '26
TCC Varsity Black Isley Moshier '25 Camille Coffin '27
Traverse City West Traverse City West Jack Baird '25 Sophia Barbas '26
TCW Mixed Toby Smart '25 Wyatt Masri '28
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Grayson Sikkema '27 Brycen Clark '27
Mixed-Blue Andries Berens '27 Matthew Edgerly '25
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Cameron Bert '26 [1-4] James Tevelde '29 [1-2]
Isaac Eklov '27 [3-4]
Mixed Gold Jonas Pearson '25 [1-4] Cassius Ingham '29 [1-2]
Sydney Giles '29 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From NW (308°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Black River Public/Saugatuck Public/Zeeland West: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.40 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Black River Public/Saugatuck Public/Zeeland West by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Black River Public/Saugatuck Public/Zeeland West: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →