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2025 Cider Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 7 13 20
2 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 16 25 41
3 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 26 22 48
4 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Silver 31 31 62
5 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 27 36 63
6 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC black mixed 35 28 63
7 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW gold mixed 48 19 67
8 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 53 21 74
9 Haslett High School Haslett High School Vikings Mixed 34 42 76
10 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 29 54 83
11 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 42 49 91
12 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 42 51 93
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 1 1 1 1 3 7 Blake Glazer '27
Luke Morris '29
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 2 2 6 4 2 16 Annalise Vink '29
Micah Gawronski '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 4 9 7 2 4 26 Austin Kovalchick '28
Lucas Howe '30
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 5 4 9 8 1 27 Teagan Hackney '27
Grayden Mcgough '30
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 9 8 2 5 5 29 Sam Woller-Skar '27
Jasper Vranish '29
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Silver 3 5 4 11 8 31 Bryson Chrisman '29
Asher Albers-Contant '26
Haslett High School Haslett High School Vikings Mixed 8 11 5 3 7 34 David Catarino '29
Joey Hayes '30
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC black mixed 7 6 3 10 9 35 Deverick Bails '29
Sam Bell '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 10 7 10 9 6 42 Bode Aerts '27
Parker Bonney '27
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 11 3 11 7 10 42 Ryan Chabalowski '29
Reese Frank '30
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW gold mixed 6 10 8 12 12 48 Adelyn Smits '30
Sadie Melenyk '29
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 12 12 12 6 11 53 Savana Harte '26
Ryker Tessmer '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 1 2 7 2 1 13 Nora Smyka '30
Lochlan Marks '30
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW gold mixed 2 3 6 3 5 19 Brady Vigenski '30
Skyler Dykhuis-Peyton '30
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 7 4 1 5 4 21 Owen Watkins '30
Maia Lodise '26
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 4 5 9 1 3 22 William Quick-Severin '26
Dalton Cousineau '30
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 9 6 2 6 2 25 Anderson Vickers '29
Oliver Shoemaker '28
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC black mixed 5 7 3 4 9 28 Finn Allen '29
Myles Gross '29
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Silver 3 1 DNF 7 7 31 Katie Houtkooper '30
Maren Lowell '30
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 8 8 5 9 6 36 Eleanor Nelson '30 [1-5]
Sydney Giles '29 [1-2]
Evie Travers '26 [3-5]
Haslett High School Haslett High School Vikings Mixed 10 9 4 11 8 42 Jude Lockard '28
Ben Johnston '30
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 11 10 10 8 10 49 Dylan Rydlicki '27
August James '30
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 6 12 11 10 12 51 Ronan Guild '30 [1-5]
Gabriella Flores '28 [1-2]
Jack Mcmahon '30 [3-5]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 12 11 8 12 11 54 Xavier Johnson '29
Reid Zamaitis '30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees6699111
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Gold77110110112
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Silver99111111113
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold110110112112114
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED111111113113115
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED112112114114116
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Vikings Mixed113113115115117
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed114114116116118
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed1161161181187
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed1151151171176
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC black mixed117117669
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW gold mixed11811877110

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees77110110112
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Gold99111111113
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Silver110110112112114
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold111111113113115
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED112112114114116
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED113113115115117
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Vikings Mixed114114116116118
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed1151151171176
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed117117669
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed1161161181187
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC black mixed11811877110
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW gold mixed6699111

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From N (5°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1020.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Lansing Sailing Club: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lansing Sailing Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Lansing Sailing Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →