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2025 Hoover Thursday Throwdown #3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 15 15
2 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 21 21
3 Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 25 25
4 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 29 29
5 Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 31 31
6 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 34 34
7 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 38 38
8 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 39 39
9 New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls 41 41
10 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Girls 41 41
11 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 43 43
12 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School JV 50 50
13 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV A 52 52
14 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 75 75
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 2 5 3 3 2 15 Mallory Lane '28
Lyon Grieselhuber '27
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 1 1 9 6 4 21 Brennan Hoy '30
Ike Becker '28
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 8 7 1 1 8 25 Alexander Gradisar '27
Quinton Ireland '29
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 5 8 6 5 5 29 Jack Merante '28
Broc Peters-Coleman '30
Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 4 6 4 8 9 31 Hadley Langoff '26
Kate Tague '29
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 9 12 8 4 1 34 Max Rodriguez '29
Hope Yakover '29
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 12 4 10 9 3 38 Mac Harman '28
Maddox Birch '28
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 6 13 2 11 7 39 Seth Pingel '28
Rob Lann '26
New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls 3 2 DNF DNS 6 41 Annabelle Allen '29
Sofia Allen '29
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Girls 7 9 11 2 12 41 Dora Winkler '26
Pauline Thomas '30
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 11 3 7 12 10 43 Kyle Baker '27
Vincent Ireland '27
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School JV 10 10 12 7 11 50 Kyle Kingsley '29
Andres Martinez '29
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV A 13 11 5 10 13 52 Declan Ireland '30
Naomi Wright '30
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 75 Otto Knudson '30
Jack Merante '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Mixed1414141414
Bishop WattersonBishop Watterson Mixed99999
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed11111
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed88888
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School GIrls1212121212
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy JV A1010101010
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed44444
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves55555
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School JV77777
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals1313131313
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed22222
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Girls66666
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Mixed1111111111
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats33333

Conditions — 10/16/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 4.0 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From N (351°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Francis Desales: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.29)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.40 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.29 means a rating gap counts about 25% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Francis Desales by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at St. Francis Desales, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →