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CSS Halloween Regatta at PYC

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Pumpkins 28 28
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXEDJack O'Lanterns 30 30
3 Okemos High School Okemos High School Owlbears Mixed 37 37
4 Okemos High School Okemos High School Werewolves Mixed 47 47
5 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 51 51
6 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats 53 53
7 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Spell Casters 58 58
8 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires 63 63
9 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 72 72
10 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 77 77
11 Bath High School Bath High School Zom-Bees 85 85
12 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Lake Monsters 88 88
13 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 90 90
14 Troy High School Troy High School BOO! 91 91
15 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards 94 94
16 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Ogres Mixed 102 102
17 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 110 110
18 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost 111 111
19 Troy High School Troy High School Hollowinners 112 112
20 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 116 116
21 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 133 133
22 Haslett High School Haslett High School Krakens Mixed 144 144
23 Haslett High School Haslett High School Howlers Mixed 148 148
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Pumpkins 2 9 11 1 1 2 2 28 Elsa Wellenkotter '29
Ethan Skinder '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXEDJack O'Lanterns 10 7 1 3 3 5 1 30 Ryan Ellison '28
Jasper Xu '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Owlbears Mixed 3 1 7 6 6 8 6 37 Blake Glazer '27
Luke Morris '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Werewolves Mixed 4 DNF 3 2 2 3 9 47 Nora Smyka '30
Lochlan Marks '30
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 15 6 4 4 9 12 51 Scarlet Chokka '28
Benjamin Gerami '28
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats 13 2 5 7 7 11 8 53 Owen Miller '29
Andrew Hong '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Spell Casters 11 5 18 5 5 7 7 58 Krish Reddy '26
Alex Doerr '29
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires 8 12 8 9 9 13 4 63 Charlie Weikel '26
Angus Walton '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 12 13 2 14 14 12 5 72 Noah Harris '29
Charlie Bovensiep '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 6 6 4 20 20 6 15 77 Noah Baubie '30
Henry Berschback '28
Bath High School Bath High School Zom-Bees 7 8 20 18 18 4 10 85 Savana Harte '26
Ryker Tessmer '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Lake Monsters 9 17 10 DNS DNS 1 3 88 Clayton Debruyn '26
Carmen Rojewski '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 14 3 17 8 8 19 21 90 William O'Neil '28
John Hindelang '30
Troy High School Troy High School BOO! 17 14 13 10 10 10 17 91 Tabitha Jones '28
Iris Kerges '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards 5 10 14 17 17 17 14 94 Shiv Sahni '28
Arda Sarioglu '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Ogres Mixed 15 16 9 15 15 21 11 102 Austin Kovalchick '28
Joey Hayes '30
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 22 4 12 19 19 15 19 110 Eleanor Stocker '30
Ivy Surma '30
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost 16 18 15 12 12 18 20 111 Ethan Polyak '30
Ashwin Kesliker '26
Troy High School Troy High School Hollowinners 18 11 21 13 13 23 13 112 Oliver Jones '28
Aveline Chokka '29
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 19 21 16 11 11 14 OCS 116 Ryan Chabalowski '29
August James '30
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 21 20 22 16 16 16 22 133 Dylan Rydlicki '27
Reese Frank '30
Haslett High School Haslett High School Krakens Mixed 20 19 23 21 21 22 18 144 Jude Lockard '28
Ben Johnston '30
Haslett High School Haslett High School Howlers Mixed 23 22 19 DNS DNS 20 16 148 Owen Watkins '30
Dalton Cousineau '30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Zom-Bees17171717171717
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats20202020202020
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Pumpkins13131313131313
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards12121212121212
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXEDJack O'Lanterns14141414141414
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost15151515151515
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons30303030303030
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Spell Casters26262626262626
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School Lake Monsters6666666
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School Ogres Mixed21212121212121
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED9999999
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED8888888
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed)29292929292929
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)16161616161616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)10101010101010
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Howlers Mixed23232323232323
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Krakens Mixed11111111111111
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires24242424242424
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Owlbears Mixed22222222222222
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Werewolves Mixed25252525252525
Troy High SchoolTroy High School BOO!7777777
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Hollowinners27272727272727
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn28282828282828
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Zom-Bees Savana Harte '26 Ryker Tessmer '29
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats Owen Miller '29 Andrew Hong '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Pumpkins Elsa Wellenkotter '29 Ethan Skinder '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards Shiv Sahni '28 Arda Sarioglu '27
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXEDJack O'Lanterns Ryan Ellison '28 Jasper Xu '29
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost Ethan Polyak '30 Ashwin Kesliker '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons Noah Harris '29 Charlie Bovensiep '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Spell Casters Krish Reddy '26 Alex Doerr '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Lake Monsters Clayton Debruyn '26 Carmen Rojewski '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Ogres Mixed Austin Kovalchick '28 Joey Hayes '30
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED Dylan Rydlicki '27 Reese Frank '30
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED Ryan Chabalowski '29 August James '30
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) Noah Baubie '30 Henry Berschback '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) Eleanor Stocker '30 Ivy Surma '30
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) William O'Neil '28 John Hindelang '30
Haslett High School Haslett High School Howlers Mixed Owen Watkins '30 Dalton Cousineau '30
Haslett High School Haslett High School Krakens Mixed Jude Lockard '28 Ben Johnston '30
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires Charlie Weikel '26 Angus Walton '27
Okemos High School Okemos High School Owlbears Mixed Blake Glazer '27 Luke Morris '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Werewolves Mixed Nora Smyka '30 Lochlan Marks '30
Troy High School Troy High School BOO! Tabitha Jones '28 Iris Kerges '28
Troy High School Troy High School Hollowinners Oliver Jones '28 Aveline Chokka '29
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn Scarlet Chokka '28 Benjamin Gerami '28

Conditions — 11/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1017.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.31 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Detroit Country Day, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →