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Fall Brawl 2025

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 29 11 40
2 Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings 19 40 59
3 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 38 25 63
4 Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Bay High School 47 20 67
5 Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 47 22 69
6 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 24 48 72
7 UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 8 69 77
8 St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 66 17 83
9 Niceville High School Niceville High School Varsity 20 68 88
10 Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 46 72 118
11 Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals 53 72 125
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 1 1 2 2 1 1 8 Noah Gautier '28
Alexander Bridges '27
Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings 2 5 4 1 5 2 19 Alec Ward '26
Cole Rewis '26
Niceville High School Niceville High School Varsity 5 4 1 3 4 3 20 John Douglas Harrison '28
Erin Groner '26
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 3 3 7 4 3 4 24 Fisher Key '26
Katie Bonner '27
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 4 2 6 5 7 5 29 Cruz Dabney '26
Pierce Jones '27
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 9 6 3 8 2 10 38 Karoline Burroughs '26 [1-2]
Kade Johnston '26 [3-6]
Matthew Fasullo '26 [1-2]
Isabella Dardar '29 [3-4]
Tristan Wagner '28 [5-6]
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 8 9 8 6 9 6 46 Nolan James '28
Mac Peters '29
Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Bay High School 6 8 5 9 10 9 47 Sachin Desilva '26
Jackson Lee '27
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 10 7 10 7 6 7 47 Ben Klecker '26
Colman Klecker '29
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals 7 11 9 10 8 8 53 Mason Gee '30
Brayden Groves '27
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 11 10 11 11 DNS 11 66 Caleb Sanchez '28 [1-4, 6]
Antonia Gnan '26 [5]
Antonia Gnan '26 [1-4, 6]
Savannah Tremblay '30 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 5 1 1 1 1 11 Ty Nichols '30
Barron Robinson '27
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 1 2 4 2 3 5 17 Courtney Van Aller '26 [1-6]
Banks Ellis '30 [1-2]
Jackson Lindsey '30 [3-4]
Charlotte Dalon '30 [5-6]
Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Bay High School 4 1 3 5 5 2 20 John Dudinski '27
Ella Preston '28
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 6 6 2 3 2 3 22 Sebastian Winstead '27 [1-2]
Jackson Goffinet '26 [3-6]
Anne Riley Williams '28 [1-2]
Mary Helen Wiliams '28 [3-6]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 3 5 6 4 4 25 Michael Dawley '26
Reeves Traxler '26
Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings 5 DNF 6 4 6 7 40 Norman Butler '29 [1-6]
Kaleb Whitehead '29 [1-4]
Caden Bell '26 [5-6]
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 7 4 DNS DNS 7 6 48 Jackson Miller '29 [1]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [2-6]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [1]
Jackson Miller '29 [2-6]
Niceville High School Niceville High School Varsity DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 68 No Show
No Show
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 9 69 No Show
No Show
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 72 No Show
No Show
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 72 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bay High School (FL)Bay High School (FL) Bay High School77991111
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Eagles8810101212
Bayside AcademyBayside Academy Bayside Sailing9911111414
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates101012121515
Ft. Walton Beach High SchoolFt. Walton Beach High School Vikings111114141616
Gulfport High SchoolGulfport High School Admirals121215151717
Niceville High SchoolNiceville High School Varsity141416161818
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals1616181888
St. Patrick Catholic High SchoolSt. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish17177799
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws1515171777
UMS-WrightUMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity1818881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bay High School (FL)Bay High School (FL) Bay High School8810101212
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Eagles9911111414
Bayside AcademyBayside Academy Bayside Sailing101012121515
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates111114141616
Ft. Walton Beach High SchoolFt. Walton Beach High School Vikings121215151717
Gulfport High SchoolGulfport High School Admirals141416161818
Niceville High SchoolNiceville High School Varsity1515171777
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals17177799
St. Patrick Catholic High SchoolSt. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish1818881010
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws1616181888
UMS-WrightUMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity77991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Sachin Desilva '26 Jackson Lee '27
Bay High School John Dudinski '27 Ella Preston '28
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Nolan James '28 Mac Peters '29
Eagles No Show No Show
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Ben Klecker '26 Colman Klecker '29
Bayside Sailing Sebastian Winstead '27 [1-2]
Jackson Goffinet '26 [3-6]		 Anne Riley Williams '28 [1-2]
Mary Helen Wiliams '28 [3-6]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Cruz Dabney '26 Pierce Jones '27
Pirates Ty Nichols '30 Barron Robinson '27
Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Alec Ward '26 Cole Rewis '26
Vikings Norman Butler '29 [1-6] Kaleb Whitehead '29 [1-4]
Caden Bell '26 [5-6]
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Mason Gee '30 Brayden Groves '27
Admirals No Show No Show
Niceville High School Niceville High School John Douglas Harrison '28 Erin Groner '26
Varsity No Show No Show
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Karoline Burroughs '26 [1-2]
Kade Johnston '26 [3-6]		 Matthew Fasullo '26 [1-2]
Isabella Dardar '29 [3-4]
Tristan Wagner '28 [5-6]
Rock-A-Chaws Michael Dawley '26 Reeves Traxler '26
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Fisher Key '26 Katie Bonner '27
Cardinals Jackson Miller '29 [1]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [2-6]		 Anna Christian Moore '26 [1]
Jackson Miller '29 [2-6]
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Caleb Sanchez '28 [1-4, 6]
Antonia Gnan '26 [5]		 Antonia Gnan '26 [1-4, 6]
Savannah Tremblay '30 [5]
Fighting Irish Courtney Van Aller '26 [1-6] Banks Ellis '30 [1-2]
Jackson Lindsey '30 [3-4]
Charlotte Dalon '30 [5-6]
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Noah Gautier '28 Alexander Bridges '27
Bulldogs - Varsity No Show No Show

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From SSE (150°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1015.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fairhope Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairhope Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Fairhope Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →