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Foundry Halloween 2025

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 4 10 14
2 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 13 13 26
3 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 19 15 34
4 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 23 11 34
5 Danbury High School Danbury High School Danbury 15 21 36
6 Magnificat Magnificat Magnificat 16 23 39
7 Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Sailors 22 20 42
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 1 1 1 1 4 Charlie Pensom '29
Katherine Gottlieb '28
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 4 2 3 4 13 Maddox Birch '28
Ike Becker '28
Danbury High School Danbury High School Danbury 7 3 2 3 15 Lola Coan '29
Molly Dunfee '28
Magnificat Magnificat Magnificat 3 4 7 2 16 Isabel Jeckering '28
Monika Filippi '26
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 2 6 6 BKD 19 Molly Keane '26 [1-4]
Sydney Martin '26 [1-2]
Lydia Lyn '26 [3-4]
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Sailors 5 5 5 7 22 Sean Rini '28
Porter Burgess '30
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 6 7 4 6 23 William Bermel '26
Noah Botros '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 3 1 3 3 10 Kai Berliner '29
Sophia Mcconville '28
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 5 3 1 2 11 Vaughn Keare '26
Olivia Schaffner '26
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 2 DNF 2 1 13 Max Rodriguez '29
Dora Winkler '26
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 1 2 6 6 15 Alex Bodager '30
Irene Szambecki '29
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Sailors 4 4 5 7 20 Elliot Treece '29
Loretta Gilbert '29
Danbury High School Danbury High School Danbury 7 6 4 4 21 Loretta Gilbert '29
Bert Ammerman '30
Magnificat Magnificat Magnificat 6 5 7 5 23 Jacob Wackers '26
Evan Wackers '30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity6688
Danbury High SchoolDanbury High School Danbury7799
MagnificatMagnificat Magnificat881010
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves991111
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity10101212
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats111166
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Sailors121277

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity7799
Danbury High SchoolDanbury High School Danbury881010
MagnificatMagnificat Magnificat991111
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves10101212
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity111166
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats121277
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Sailors6688

Conditions — 10/25/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1029.6 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From W (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1029.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bay/Magnificat/Rocky River: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+1.59 ± 0.51)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bay/Magnificat/Rocky River by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bay/Magnificat/Rocky River: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →