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Grillzilla Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 9 9
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 16 16
3 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 30 30
4 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Wolves Mixed 30 30
5 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 39 39
6 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 49 49
7 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 52 52
8 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue 64 64
9 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 72 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 Clayton Debruyn '26
Luke Morris '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 16 Ryan Ellison '28
Dylan Rydlicki '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 4 3 5 4 2 3 4 5 30 Austin Kovalchick '28
David Caterino '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Wolves Mixed 6 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 30 Nor Smike '29
Roney Wonkers '29
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 3 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 39 Savana Harte '26 [1-8]
Jude Lockard '28 [1-2, 6-8]
Ryker Tessmer '29 [3-5]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 5 7 7 6 5 6 7 6 49 Ryan Chabalowski '29
Maia Lodise '26
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 7 6 4 8 7 7 6 7 52 Oliver Jones '28
Tabitha Jones '28
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue 8 9 8 7 8 8 8 8 64 Levi Citron '26
Rithwik Fredrick '28
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 DNF 72 Bee Johns '29
O Waitkine '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED44444444
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue111111111111111111111111
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon88888888
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED77777777
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED11111111
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed99999999
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Wolves Mixed22222222
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy113113113113113113113113
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED Savana Harte '26 [1-8] Jude Lockard '28 [1-2, 6-8]
Ryker Tessmer '29 [3-5]
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue Levi Citron '26 Rithwik Fredrick '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon Ryan Ellison '28 Dylan Rydlicki '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED Austin Kovalchick '28 David Caterino '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED Clayton Debruyn '26 Luke Morris '29
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED Ryan Chabalowski '29 Maia Lodise '26
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed Bee Johns '29 O Waitkine '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Wolves Mixed Nor Smike '29 Roney Wonkers '29
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Oliver Jones '28 Tabitha Jones '28

Conditions — 09/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From W (262°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1015.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lansing Sailing Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.64 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lansing Sailing Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Lansing Sailing Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →