MISSA Southeast Great Lakes Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 3 4 7
2 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 7 7 14
3 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 9 15 24
4 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington UA Bears 17 7 24
5 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Celtics 11 16 27
6 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 16 14 30
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 1 1 1 3 Nick Crull '26
Elliot Chiang '28
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 3 2 2 7 Maddox Birch '28
Mac Harman '28
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 2 4 3 9 Lyon Grieselhuber '27
Mallory Lane '28
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Celtics 4 3 4 11 Macy Savage '27
Hannah Staas '26
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 6 5 5 16 Charles Juratic '29
Lydia Lyn '26
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington UA Bears 5 6 6 17 Javier Fernandez '26
Elly Kreitler '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 1 1 2 4 Braden Basile '27
Rider Myers '26
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 2 2 3 7 Alex Mcbride '27
Ellie Mcbride '29
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington UA Bears 3 3 1 7 Johannes Diekmann '29
Jerry Kaltenbach '29
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 5 4 5 14 Molly Keane '26
Sydney Martin '26
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 4 5 6 15 Margo Dorman '28
Grant Fuerst '27
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Celtics 6 6 4 16 Julian Staas '27
Jack Hodge '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets113
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Celtics224
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves335
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates446
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals551
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington UA Bears662

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets779
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Celtics8813
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves9914
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates131315
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals14147
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington UA Bears15158

Conditions — 09/27/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1014.2 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.7 kn
avg  ·  max 2.6 kn
Gusts to 7.4 kn
From N (352°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1014.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Olentangy/Thomas Worthington: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.34)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Olentangy/Thomas Worthington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Olentangy/Thomas Worthington: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →