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Monk Smith

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 9 9
2 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 19 19
3 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 28 28
4 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 31 31
5 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 47 47
6 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 49 49
7 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 1 51 51
8 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 61 61
9 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 70 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 9 Jack Meade '29
Liam Moore '29
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 19 Landon Newton '26
Matthew Fasullo '26
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 3 4 4 6 3 3 3 2 28 Parker Lilly '29
Jonathan Brockhoff '26
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 6 2 2 2 5 5 4 5 31 Fisher Key '26 [1-8]
Lucy Hartwell '29 [1-3, 8]
Katie Bonner '27 [4-7]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 4 5 5 5 4 4 DNS DNS 47 Karoline Burroughs '26
Isabella Dardar '29
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 5 6 8 8 7 6 5 4 49 Lillis Allison '29
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 1 8 8 6 4 6 7 6 6 51 Louis Spry '30
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 7 7 7 7 8 8 DNF 7 61 Michael Dawley '26
Reeves Traxler '26
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 9 9 9 DNF 9 9 7 8 70 Lukas Mckeever '29
Mason Villemarette '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates 122222222
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates 287198719871987198719871987198719
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 199999999
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 200000000
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals130130130130130130130130
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 11414141414141414
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 366666666
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 41313131313131313

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1014.1 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NNE (22°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1014.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn · NE 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Stanislaus: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.74 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Stanislaus by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at St. Stanislaus, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →