Navigate

NWISA Fall Champs GALLIUM

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 11 22 33
2 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 16 25 41
3 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 34 15 49
4 Storm Storm Storm 19 32 51
5 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 22 32 54
6 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 31 24 55
7 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 24 32 56
8 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 39 21 60
9 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 36 30 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
SEISA 1 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 2 3 2 2 2 11
SEISA 2 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 3 DNS 1 1 1 16
Storm Storm Storm 1 2 3 9 4 19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 5 4 3 6 22 Dylan Meyer '29
Patrick Baldwin '29
SEISA 3 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 7 1 6 5 5 24
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 5 4 7 8 7 31 West Rainbolt '30 [1-2]
Clara Watson '30 [3-5]
Clara Watson '30 [1-2]
Evangeline Garay '28 [3-5]
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines DNS 6 8 7 3 34 Jim Weiss '28
Ngozy Vergara-Schollmeyer '28
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 6 7 9 6 8 36 Jonah Sheffler '29
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings DNS DNS 5 4 DNS 39 Wolf Zohar '30
James Orelman '30
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 7 2 4 1 1 15 Ryder Erickson '30
Nathan Blum '29
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 8 3 3 4 3 21 Owen Minnett '29
Kai Gilliam '27
SEISA 1 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 DNS 5 2 3 2 22
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 6 7 1 5 5 24 Bobby Friesema '30
Ellyaena Jackson '29
SEISA 2 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 4 1 8 8 4 25
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 4 5 DNS DNS 30 Benjamin Norris '29
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 8 9 7 6 32 Sawyer Morse '29
Sotiri Lane '27
Storm Storm Storm 3 6 7 6 DNS 32
SEISA 3 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 5 9 6 2 DNS 32
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions117117117117117
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines105105105105105
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats4242424242
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings2828282828
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners5353535353
StormStorm Storm6161616161

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions117117117117117
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines105105105105105
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats4242424242
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings2828282828
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners5353535353
StormStorm Storm6161616161

Conditions — 10/25/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 996.0 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.9 kn
avg  ·  max 18.9 kn
Gusts to 36.3 kn
From SE (135°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine4.7 hrs Humidity71% Pressure996.0 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 17 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oak Harbor: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.25 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.73 ± 0.70)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Oak Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →