NYISA-NW Great Pumpkin Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 21 9 30
2 West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 6 26 32
3 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 18 34 52
4 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 35 24 59
5 Nardin Academy Nardin Academy Gators 36 27 63
6 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 27 38 65
7 Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 38 31 69
8 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 41 39 80
9 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 48 42 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Juliana Lanz '26
Madelyn Principe '28
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 3 6 3 2 2 18 Alex Emblidge '29
Colton Davis '27
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 4 6 2 2 3 4 21 Tucker Mayer '29
Tyler Elia '27
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 7 2 3 7 5 3 27 Lucio Moscati '27
Leonard Vogelsang '29
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 6 8 5 4 6 6 35 Levi Mayer '28
Sophie Kimelberg '26
Nardin Academy Nardin Academy Gators 3 7 9 8 4 5 36 Olivia Malic '28
Maya Parayankuzhiyil '29
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 5 5 7 6 8 7 38 Hilen Lopez '28
No Show
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 8 4 8 5 7 9 41 Jack Churchill '29
Aiden Dearman '26
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 9 9 4 9 9 8 48 Henrey Silvestri '28
Daniel Piazza '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 9 Duncan Jorgenson '28
Emmett Benedicto '28
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 1 6 2 6 4 5 24 No Show
Ashlyn Xiao '27
West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 9 5 6 3 2 1 26 Genevieve Heiermann '26
Nolan Braiman '27
Nardin Academy Nardin Academy Gators 6 4 5 2 7 3 27 Clara Riley '29
Josie Riley '27
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 2 7 3 7 5 7 31 No Show
No Show
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 8 3 4 8 3 8 34 Jacob Barney '27
Corban Burke '27
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 5 9 7 5 8 4 38 Theo Moscati '29
Michael Barnum '26
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 7 8 8 4 6 6 39 Jack Webb '29
Ava Patti '27
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 4 2 9 9 9 9 42 Luke Hales '29
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bruins113355
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders224466
Nardin AcademyNardin Academy Gators335577
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 1446688
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 2557799
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans668811
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1779922
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2881133
West IrondequoitWest Irondequoit Eagles992244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bruins224466
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders335577
Nardin AcademyNardin Academy Gators446688
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 1557799
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 2668811
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans779922
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1881133
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2992244
West IrondequoitWest Irondequoit Eagles113355

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1011.0 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From S (188°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1011.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Nichols: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.60 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Nichols by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Nichols, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →