MDISA Ryken Fleet Tier 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 8 3 11
2 Perryville High School Perryville High School Perryville 12 11 23
3 West Springfield High School West Springfield High School Spartans 9 17 26
4 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 17 9 26
5 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 2 10 20 30
6 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 21 10 31
7 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 1 16 17 33
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 15 21 36
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 4 3 1 8 James Reilly '28
Charlotte Burkholder '29
West Springfield High School West Springfield High School Spartans 1 1 7 9 James Salaski '30
John Salaski '30
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 2 3 5 2 10 Charles Massenburg '29
Madeline Cadmus '29
Perryville High School Perryville High School Perryville 2 7 3 12 John Arty '29
Landon Craig '29
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 7 4 4 15 Zachary Rudd '29
Mason Riley '28
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 1 6 2 8 16 Michael Groat '27
Bryeden Rapp '27
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 5 6 6 17 Garrett Szymendera '28
Tucker Smith '30
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 8 8 5 21 Ethan Snyder '27
Orly Pearlman '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron111
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights222
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets333
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders444
Perryville High SchoolPerryville High School Perryville777
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 1888
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 2999
West Springfield High SchoolWest Springfield High School Spartans111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron222
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights333
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets444
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders777
Perryville High SchoolPerryville High School Perryville888
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 1999
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 2111111
West Springfield High SchoolWest Springfield High School Spartans111

Conditions — 10/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1026.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From SW (226°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1026.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's Ryken: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.41 ± 0.38)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's Ryken by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at St. Mary's Ryken, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →