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SAISA North Points #4 - JV/Composite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Chapin High School Chapin High School Varsity Sailing 6 2 8
2 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 13 6 19
3 Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 16 4 20
4 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep JV 4 18 22
5 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 11 14 25
6 Hough High School Hough High School Huskies 13 12 25
7 Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses 17 9 26
8 Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 11 17 28
9 Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 10 22 32
10 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite 19 13 32
11 Raleigh Charter High School Raleigh Charter High School JV 18 16 34
12 Wando High School Wando High School Warriors 20 23 43
13 New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 28 28 56
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A63096309
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish44
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Varsity Sailing33
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles94119411
Hough High SchoolHough High School Huskies171171
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV3232
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals39073907
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats94129412
Philip Simmons High SchoolPhilip Simmons High School Iron Horses19121912
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep JV151151
Raleigh Charter High SchoolRaleigh Charter High School JV5454
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite88
Wando High SchoolWando High School Warriors39713971

Division B

Team1B2B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A63096309
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish44
Chapin High SchoolChapin High School Varsity Sailing33
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles94119411
Hough High SchoolHough High School Huskies171171
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV3232
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals39073907
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats94129412
Philip Simmons High SchoolPhilip Simmons High School Iron Horses19121912
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep JV151151
Raleigh Charter High SchoolRaleigh Charter High School JV5454
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite88
Wando High SchoolWando High School Warriors39713971

Conditions — 12/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 94%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From WNW (299°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity94% Pressure1016.3 hPa Rain0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Charleston Community Sailing: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.38)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston Community Sailing by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Charleston Community Sailing, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →