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Seawolf Sailing League 5 (cFJ)

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 11 11
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 14 14
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 18 18
4 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 25 25
5 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 1 26 26
6 Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 29 29
7 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 32 32
8 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 34 34
9 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 38 38
10 Warriors Warriors Warriors 48 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 1 2 1 2 5 11 Patrick Tomlinson '28
Will Brooks '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 6 3 2 1 2 14 Colin Macinnis '27
Kay Wetmore '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 2 4 3 8 1 18 Claudia Bria '28
Clara Robbins '29
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 3 7 9 3 3 25 Hayden Pyle '28
Charlotte Eberly '27
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 1 5 8 4 5 4 26 Colin Auvil '26
Will Driscoll '30
Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 9 1 5 6 8 29 Linden White '26
Rebecca Schaefer '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 8 5 6 7 6 32 Ben Glennon '28
Madeleine Carr '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 4 6 8 9 7 34 Elinor Grant '27
Leo Lothian '28
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 7 10 7 4 10 38
Warriors Warriors Warriors 10 9 10 10 9 48
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers 12828282828
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers 23030303030
Old RochesterOld Rochester Bulldogs2626262626
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 12020202020
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 22222222222
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 32323232323
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 42525252525
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 52727272727
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 62929292929
WarriorsWarriors Warriors2121212121

Conditions — 10/25/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From NNW (334°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.54)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →