Seawolf Sailing League #5 (ee420)

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 18 18
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 19 19
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 20 20
4 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 1 24 24
5 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 25 25
6 Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 3 29 29
7 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 29 29
8 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 29 29
9 Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 2 44 44
10 Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 46 46
11 Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 1 50 50
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 1 5 2 2 8 18 Davis Poor '28
Yasha Chumak '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 2 9 1 3 4 19 Leo Lothian '28
Mills Sutton '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 5 2 5 7 1 20 George Spalding '28
Sean Cassidy '28
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 1 9 3 4 6 2 24 Harrison Beal '30
Davis Collette '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 8 6 3 5 3 25 Solia Witzenburg '28
Nick Proudlove '27
Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 3 4 1 7 10 7 29 Angie Schneider '29
Jacob Afonso '28
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 6 10 6 1 6 29 Jackson Wilcox '30
Macklin Moser '30
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 7 4 9 4 5 29 Blake Appleton '28
Joseph Hardman Novak '27
Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 2 10 8 8 8 10 44 Tucker Maillet '29
Avery Costa '28
Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 3 7 DNS DNS DNS 46 Iain Mcmanus '26
Molly Wronski '26
Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 1 11 11 10 9 9 50 Patrick Fleming '26
Parker Aldrich '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bishop Stang HighBishop Stang High Spartans 122222
Bishop Stang HighBishop Stang High Spartans 244444
Bishop Stang HighBishop Stang High Spartans 366666
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers 188888
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers 21010101010
Old RochesterOld Rochester Bulldogs1212121212
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 233333
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 355555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 477777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 599999

Conditions — 10/25/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From NNW (334°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.41 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →