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VISA Granby JV Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 18 18
2 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 19 19
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 41 41
4 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 48 48
5 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 61 61
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 62 62
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 63 63
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 65 65
9 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 66 66
10 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 79 MRP 79 MRP
11 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 83 83
12 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 88 MRP 88 MRP
13 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 91 91
14 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 105 105
15 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 116 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 1 3 2 1 2 2 3 18 Kolten Koonce '30
Tristan Hart '29
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 3 2 2 1 2 1 1 7 19 Caroline Gordley '29
Eloise Breguet '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 3 11 4 6 11 3 2 41 Ethan Kerns '29 [1-8]
Preston Chaing '29 [1-2]
Caroline Wetherington '30 [3-4]
Kate Stufflebeem '30 [5-6]
Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [7-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 9 10 1 9 3 3 8 5 48 Leo Schuck '31
Amaya Buxton '29
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 8 5 4 10 9 8 5 12 61 Lillian Melzer '30
Danie Greenwood '31
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 10 7 8 3 12 14 4 4 62 Charles Poston '31 [1-2, 5-6]
Asher Heath '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Kate Stufflebeem '30 [1-2]
Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [3-4]
Win Williston '30 [5-6]
Preston Chaing '29 [7-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 DNS 10 6 4 9 7 9 63 Alex Hogg '29
Uma Carril Martin '29
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 5 4 14 7 10 6 6 13 65 Ryan Mouak '28
John Bellin '31
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 12 11 5 5 14 7 11 1 66 Anson Huang '26
Marina Bravo Castro '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 9 7 12 5 5 9 6 79 MRP Hank Debaere '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 11 12 12 11 13 4 10 10 83 Ryan Hassett '28
Miriam Garachana Rodriguez '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 7 6 6 8 8 12 13 8 88 MRP
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 14 8 9 DNF 11 10 12 11 91 Alayah Adsit '30
Paisley Riggins '31
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 13 13 13 DNF 7 13 DNF 14 105 Tristan Campbell '27 [1-8]
Greg Dolewski '31 [1-4]
Michael Hedgecock '29 [5-6]
Addy Lucas '28 [7-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 15 14 15 13 15 15 14 15 116 Davis Miller '26
Coco Durant '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 111111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 444444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 555555555
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 666666666
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 177777777
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 288888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 199999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 21010101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 31111111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11313131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21414141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks1515151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1212121212121212

Conditions — 09/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 92°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From SSW (198°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.25 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.27
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →