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VISA JV Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 York High School York High School Falcons 1 26 26
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 28 28
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 31 31
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 32 32
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 34 34
6 York High School York High School Falcons 2 46 46
7 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 46 46
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 54 54
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 61 61
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 68 68
11 Seahorses 2 Seahorses 2 Seahorses 2 72 MRP 72 MRP
12 Seahorses 4 Seahorses 4 Seahorses 4 97 MRP 97 MRP
13 Seahorses 3 Seahorses 3 Seahorses 3 114 MRP 114 MRP
14 Seahorses 1 Seahorses 1 Seahorses 1 114 MRP 114 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
York High School York High School Falcons 1 3 1 7 4 7 1 3 26 Cooper Simpson '30
Taggart Henry '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 6 2 5 5 2 3 5 28 Asher Heath '29
Sylvie Gajdek '30
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 2 10 4 2 4 2 7 31 Ethan Kerns '29
Preston Chaing '29
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 7 6 1 9 6 2 32 Jack Childs '32 [1-7]
Wallace Robinson '32 [1-4, 7]
Liara Boardman '31 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 5 9 1 3 3 5 8 34 Charles Poston '31 [1-7]
Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Win Williston '30 [3-4, 7]
York High School York High School Falcons 2 8 5 9 9 5 4 6 46 Tyler Compton '28
Elden Crossett '31
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 11 8 2 DSQ 1 8 1 46 Caroline Gordley '29 [1-7]
Caroline Gordley '29 [1-4, 6-7]
John Bellin '31 [5]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 10 6 10 6 6 12 4 54 Aline Hughes '30 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Eloise Breguet '29 [2, 4, 6]
Eloise Breguet '29 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Aline Hughes '30 [2, 4, 6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 7 3 11 7 13 9 11 61 Leo Schuck '31 [1-4, 6-7]
Amaya Buxton '29 [5]
John Bellin '31 [1-2]
Amaya Buxton '29 [3-4, 6-7]
Caroline Gordley '29 [5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 9 13 12 10 8 7 9 68 Eloise Bore '29 [1-7]
Abigail Nordeen '31 [1-3, 5-6]
Robby Thompson '31 [4, 7]
Seahorses 2 Seahorses 2 Seahorses 2 4 4 3 11 10 10 10 72 MRP
Seahorses 4 Seahorses 4 Seahorses 4 12 11 8 8 12 11 DNF 97 MRP
Seahorses 3 Seahorses 3 Seahorses 3 13 12 13 12 14 DNS DNF 114 MRP
Seahorses 1 Seahorses 1 Seahorses 1 14 14 DNS 13 11 DNS 12 114 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Seahorses 1Seahorses 1 Seahorses 114141414141414
Seahorses 2Seahorses 2 Seahorses 215151515151515
Seahorses 3Seahorses 3 Seahorses 316161616161616
Seahorses 4Seahorses 4 Seahorses 417171717171717
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets1111111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 12222222
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 23333333
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 17777777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 28888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 39999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 410101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks13131313131313
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 14444444
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 25555555
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Granby High School Granby High School Comets Caroline Gordley '29 [1-7] Caroline Gordley '29 [1-4, 6-7]
John Bellin '31 [5]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 Aline Hughes '30 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Eloise Breguet '29 [2, 4, 6]		 Eloise Breguet '29 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Aline Hughes '30 [2, 4, 6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 Leo Schuck '31 [1-4, 6-7]
Amaya Buxton '29 [5]		 John Bellin '31 [1-2]
Amaya Buxton '29 [3-4, 6-7]
Caroline Gordley '29 [5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Asher Heath '29 Sylvie Gajdek '30
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Charles Poston '31 [1-7] Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Win Williston '30 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Ethan Kerns '29 Preston Chaing '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 Eloise Bore '29 [1-7] Abigail Nordeen '31 [1-3, 5-6]
Robby Thompson '31 [4, 7]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks Jack Childs '32 [1-7] Wallace Robinson '32 [1-4, 7]
Liara Boardman '31 [5-6]
York High School York High School Falcons 1 Cooper Simpson '30 Taggart Henry '29
York High School York High School Falcons 2 Tyler Compton '28 Elden Crossett '31

Conditions — 11/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From WSW (250°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1019.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Norfolk Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.46 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Norfolk Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →