Navigate

VISA NCS JV Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 33 33
2 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 35 35
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 39 39
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 40 40
5 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 41 41
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 43 MRP 43 MRP
7 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 44 44
8 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 53 MRP 53 MRP
9 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 56 56
10 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 59 59
11 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 63 63
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 81 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 5 1 7 5 5 5 5 33 Asher Heath '29 [1-7]
Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Sylvie Gajdek '30 [3-4, 7]
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 2 8 8 3 2 2 10 35 Caroline Gordley '29
Caroline Gordley '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 7 3 2 7 10 8 2 39 Charles Poston '31 [1-7]
Caroline Wetherington '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Win Williston '30 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 9 4 5 6 9 6 1 40 Ethan Kerns '29 [1-7]
Kate Stufflebeem '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Preston Chaing '29 [3-4, 7]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 8 5 9 8 4 3 4 41 Michael Martyak '29
Max Williams '29
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 7 1 1 1 4 3 43 MRP Childs Jack '32
Wallace Robinson '32
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 3 6 11 11 3 1 9 44 Liam Brennan '29 [1-7]
Everett Mattox '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophia Capra '28 [3-4, 7]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 1 2 4 2 6 12 6 53 MRP Thatcher Elliott '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 4 9 10 4 8 10 11 56 Alex Hogg '29
Uma Carril Martin '29
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 11 11 3 9 11 7 7 59 Aline Hughes '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Leo Schuck '31 [3-4, 7]
Eloise Breguet '29 [1-2, 5-6]
John Bellin '31 [3-4, 7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 DNF 10 6 10 7 9 8 63 Anson Huang '26
Cindy Zhang '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 10 12 12 12 12 11 12 81 Lillian Melzer '30
Paisley Riggins '31
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders13131313131313
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 114141414141414
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 215151515151515
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons16161616161616
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets1111111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors17171717171717
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores2222222
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 17777777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 28888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 39999999
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks18181818181818
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons3333333
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders Michael Martyak '29 Max Williams '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 Alex Hogg '29 Uma Carril Martin '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 Anson Huang '26 Cindy Zhang '28
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons Thatcher Elliott '27
Granby High School Granby High School Comets Liam Brennan '29 [1-7] Everett Mattox '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophia Capra '28 [3-4, 7]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors Lillian Melzer '30 Paisley Riggins '31
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores Aline Hughes '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Leo Schuck '31 [3-4, 7]		 Eloise Breguet '29 [1-2, 5-6]
John Bellin '31 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Asher Heath '29 [1-7] Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Sylvie Gajdek '30 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Ethan Kerns '29 [1-7] Kate Stufflebeem '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Preston Chaing '29 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Charles Poston '31 [1-7] Caroline Wetherington '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Win Williston '30 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks Childs Jack '32 Wallace Robinson '32
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons Caroline Gordley '29 Caroline Gordley '29

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1024.8 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 3.7 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1024.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 3 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →