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PCISA #5 Gaucho Gold Fleet

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Varsity 52 51 103
2 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Varsity 78 27 105
3 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Varsity 49 88 137
4 Branson School Branson School Varsity 56 84 140
5 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School JV 1 84 77 161
6 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity 67 96 163
7 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School JV2 124 59 183
8 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV2 116 76 192
9 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School JV1 91 104 195
10 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Varsity 72 159 231
11 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV1 111 123 234
12 Marin Academy Marin Academy Varsity 82 155 237
13 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV1 152 87 239
14 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Varsity 144 96 240
15 Redwood High School Redwood High School Varsity 155 91 246
16 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Varsity 92 155 247
17 The Urban School The Urban School Varsity 85 205 290
18 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity 180 113 293
19 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School JV 2 169 126 295
20 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV2 151 149 300
21 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Varsity 199 107 306
22 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV3 151 157 308
23 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Varsity 153 168 321
24 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Varsity 168 156 324
25 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Varsity 114 215 329
26 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Varsity 169 171 340
27 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Varsity 218 134 352
28 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV3 170 192 362
29 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Varsity 181 193 374
30 Redwood High School Redwood High School JV 223 151 374
31 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Varsity 139 239 378
32 Alameda High School Alameda High School Varsity 218 184 402
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Varsity 4 4 1 7 10 5 6 12 49 Sean Segerblom '16 [1-8]
Megan Roach '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Briggs D'Eliscu '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Varsity 2 3 5 1 7 18 3 13 52 Scott Sinks '14 [1-8]
Rebecca Mcelvain '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Johannes Mcelvain '15 [3-4]
Branson School Branson School Varsity 1 5 3 4 8 13 11 11 56 Romain Screve '17
Kennedy Placek '14
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity 7 11 9 2 19 4 12 3 67 Cutter O'Connell '14
Grace Mccarthy '14
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Varsity 11 14 26 6 6 3 4 2 72 Lucy Wilmot '16
Molly Colwell '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Varsity 15 1 10 21 2 1 8 20 78 Jack Thompson '14
Alexandria Ivory '14
Marin Academy Marin Academy Varsity 12 7 4 5 26 22 2 4 82 Kristopher Swanson '14
Alyson Crowley '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School JV 1 3 12 2 31 3 6 19 8 84 Ryan Hopps '14
Molly Pleskus '14
The Urban School The Urban School Varsity 9 9 11 27 5 14 9 1 85 Lawson Willard '15
Sophie Weir '15
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School JV1 24 8 17 11 18 7 1 5 91 Andy Reiter '15
Jennifer Johnson '15
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Varsity 16 13 6 3 24 2 14 14 92 Jacob Rosenberg '16
Madison Nadelman '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV1 8 2 15 25 27 8 10 16 111 James Madigan '14
Kira Woods '15
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Varsity 26 15 8 14 23 17 5 6 114 Matthew Long '14
Caroline Gay '15
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV2 6 19 28 10 1 26 7 19 116 Rhodes Garner '16
Ainsley Henderson '14
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School JV2 10 26 24 18 17 9 13 7 124 Jack Mcgraw '16 [1-8]
Mercedes Mcphee '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Jack Augustine '16 [3-4]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Varsity 5 6 23 20 12 27 24 22 139 Jessica Mcjones '15
Caroline Salas '14
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Varsity 28 24 7 19 21 20 15 10 144 Evan Heffernan '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Lucas Pierce '17 [5-6]
Lauren Seigel '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Jodie Jacobs '16 [5-6]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV2 19 18 13 24 20 11 25 21 151 Harrison Vandervort '15
Madeline Bubb '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV3 21 16 12 9 15 28 22 28 151 Wyatt Russell '16
Grace Blackman '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV1 31 22 18 23 4 15 16 23 152 Carter Scott '16
Eliza Moody '16
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Varsity 13 25 16 17 28 12 17 25 153 Sam Shea '15
Chloe Bohannan '16
Redwood High School Redwood High School Varsity 17 21 19 29 13 24 23 9 155 Casper Ladefoged '16
Lucie Welles '16
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Varsity 29 17 32 8 22 19 26 15 168 Grace Yakutis '16
Daniel Lobree '14
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School JV 2 22 10 30 12 29 31 18 17 169 Ryan Ratliffe '17
Matthew Parker '14
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Varsity 25 32 14 16 25 10 BKD 26 169 Tristram Craig '14
Kenna Kuhn '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV3 14 20 21 30 14 25 28 18 170 Sean Dahl '17
Jonathan Cheadle '16
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity 32 27 20 22 11 16 20 32 180 Francesca Dana '14
Sarah Paulsen '16
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Varsity 20 23 22 32 9 21 27 27 181 Peter Neal '16
Sarah James '17
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Varsity 27 28 29 26 16 23 21 29 199 Lucas Wright '15
Connor Kuerbis '17
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Varsity 18 31 31 15 30 32 30 31 218 Daisy Holthus '17
Austin Tipp '14
Alameda High School Alameda High School Varsity 30 30 25 13 31 30 29 30 218 Miles Orozco '16 [1-8]
Mary Jane Howland '18 [1-6]
Aitor Iriso '17 [7-8]
Redwood High School Redwood High School JV 23 29 27 28 32 29 31 24 223 Peter Schmidt '15
Jack Gerstein '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Varsity 2 1 1 1 2 1 9 10 27 Shawn Connor Kelter '14
Katherine Madigan '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Varsity 12 13 9 2 1 4 6 4 51 Will La Dow '14
Kenny Moats '17
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School JV2 10 3 8 8 5 5 14 6 59 Steven Leuck '16
Katharine Bowman '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV2 1 2 6 22 14 27 2 2 76 Derek Pickell '16
Nadia Faridnia '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School JV 1 16 18 11 7 4 2 4 15 77 Charlie Miller '15
Katherine Matheson '14
Branson School Branson School Varsity 17 14 2 6 12 6 18 9 84 William Dana '15
Nick Marwell '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV1 18 10 4 11 3 9 11 21 87 Michael Sabourin '16
Marley Mais '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Varsity 3 23 15 3 25 15 1 3 88 Campbell D'Eliscu '15 [1-8]
Katie Calder '14 [1-6]
Jack Martin '14 [7-8]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Varsity 11 5 16 25 10 13 10 1 91 Will Martens '16 [1-8]
Sarah Bunney '15 [1-6]
Noble Reynoso '17 [7-8]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Varsity 4 7 22 21 6 10 15 11 96 Soren Wilde '15
Renee Berkus '14
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity 8 11 17 5 20 7 12 16 96 Storm Brown '14
Alexandra Fayer '15
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School JV1 5 6 3 14 32 8 28 8 104 Trevor Hecht '14
Megan Lansdale '16
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Varsity 25 4 14 18 23 11 5 7 107 Jack Ryan '15
Athena Malcolm '16
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity 6 16 18 24 9 12 BKD BKD 113 Hanna Baylis '15
Paloma Palmer '15
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV1 21 12 7 10 21 16 13 23 123 Mary Clare Dahl '14
Jordan Sellinger '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School JV 2 14 28 23 4 17 3 19 18 126 Jesse Mcknight '16 [1-8]
Elizabeth Matheson '16 [1-6]
Kylie Freitas '16 [7-8]
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Varsity 9 19 25 20 11 14 22 14 134 Gabe Cappetta '17
Meri Herrington '14
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV2 13 24 21 12 15 21 21 22 149 Maddie Kraus '16
Emily Overstreet '17
Redwood High School Redwood High School JV 29 25 13 9 8 18 24 25 151 Teddy Bascom '15
Rachael Maier '15
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Varsity 22 8 24 17 24 28 20 12 155 Bobby Briggs '16
Paige Okey '17
Marin Academy Marin Academy Varsity 27 21 29 16 16 22 7 17 155 Michael Hasson '14 [1-8]
Maddy Kuhn '16 [1-4]
Emily Ritter '16 [5-6]
John Rusbarsky '15 [7-8]
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Varsity 15 27 10 13 13 17 30 31 156 Nicole Simon '16 [1-8]
Pj Eaton '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Xander Norman '15 [3-4]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School JV3 32 32 5 19 30 31 3 5 157 Colin Duffy '14 [1-2]
Patrick Shannon '16 [3-8]
Katie Mcallister '17 [1-4]
Grace Vandervort '17 [5-8]
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Varsity 7 20 31 32 29 19 8 13 159 Guy Raber '14
Michael Lively '18
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Varsity 23 9 12 23 19 32 23 27 168 Nolan Van Dine '15 [1-8]
Isabelle Du Moulin '14 [1-6]
Spencer Paulsen '16 [7-8]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Varsity 26 26 20 15 7 24 27 26 171 Noah Barrengos '14
Francis Streitmann '17
Alameda High School Alameda High School Varsity 20 22 26 29 27 20 16 24 184 Drake Hayes '17 [1-8]
Aitor Iriso '17 [1-4]
Mary Jane Howland '18 [5-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV3 24 15 28 31 22 23 29 20 192 John Horton '17 [1-8]
Michael Farris '17 [1-6]
Jordan Black '15 [7-8]
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Varsity 19 17 27 28 28 30 25 19 193 Geoff St John '15
Leah James '17
The Urban School The Urban School Varsity 30 31 30 26 18 25 17 28 205 Hanna Pierce '16
Genna Gores '14
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Varsity 31 30 19 27 26 26 26 30 215 Kyra Oakes '14
Zachary Zerman '16
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Varsity 28 29 32 30 31 29 31 29 239 Will Nodvik '14 [1-8]
Claudia Lambert '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Danny White '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Varsity11111113131515
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School JV 11515171719192020
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School JV 22222242426262828
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Varsity881111111313
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity2929272725252323
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV19977553232
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV21616141412121010
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV323232121221818
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Varsity22181816161414
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Varsity3030292927272525
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Varsity3331314466
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Varsity1010997755
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Varsity1717191920202222
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Varsity24242626282833
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Varsity3131446688
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV11111131315151717
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV21818161614141212
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV325252323212122
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Varsity44668811
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Varsity3232303029292727
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School JV1121210109977
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School JV21919202022222424
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Varsity55323230302929
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School JV6688111111
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Varsity26262828333131
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Varsity1313151517171919
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Varsity2020222224242626
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Varsity2727252523232121
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Varsity775532323030
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Varsity14141212101099
Branson SchoolBranson School Varsity21212218181616
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Varsity282833313144

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Varsity1010121214141616
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School JV 116161818222121
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School JV 22323252527272929
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Varsity99101012121414
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity2828262624242222
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV18866443131
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV215151313111111
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV32222202019191717
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Varsity1919171715151313
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Varsity33282826262424
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Varsity303032325577
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Varsity11886644
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Varsity18182221212323
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Varsity2525272729293030
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Varsity3232557799
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV11212141416161818
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV21717151513131111
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School JV32424222220201919
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Varsity5577991010
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Varsity31313328282626
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School JV11111118866
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School JV222212123232525
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Varsity443131332828
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School JV779910101212
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Varsity2727292930303232
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Varsity14141616181822
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Varsity2121232325252727
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Varsity2626242422222020
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Varsity6644313133
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Varsity131311111188
Branson SchoolBranson School Varsity2020191917171515
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Varsity29293030323255
School / Team SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Miles Orozco '16 [1-8] Mary Jane Howland '18 [1-6]
Aitor Iriso '17 [7-8]
Varsity Drake Hayes '17 [1-8] Aitor Iriso '17 [1-4]
Mary Jane Howland '18 [5-8]
Branson School Branson School Romain Screve '17 Kennedy Placek '14
Varsity William Dana '15 Nick Marwell '17
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Ryan Hopps '14 Molly Pleskus '14
JV 1 Charlie Miller '15 Katherine Matheson '14
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Ryan Ratliffe '17 Matthew Parker '14
JV 2 Jesse Mcknight '16 [1-8] Elizabeth Matheson '16 [1-6]
Kylie Freitas '16 [7-8]
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Cutter O'Connell '14 Grace Mccarthy '14
Varsity Storm Brown '14 Alexandra Fayer '15
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Francesca Dana '14 Sarah Paulsen '16
Varsity Hanna Baylis '15 Paloma Palmer '15
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School James Madigan '14 Kira Woods '15
JV1 Mary Clare Dahl '14 Jordan Sellinger '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Rhodes Garner '16 Ainsley Henderson '14
JV2 Derek Pickell '16 Nadia Faridnia '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sean Dahl '17 Jonathan Cheadle '16
JV3 John Horton '17 [1-8] Michael Farris '17 [1-6]
Jordan Black '15 [7-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Jack Thompson '14 Alexandria Ivory '14
Varsity Shawn Connor Kelter '14 Katherine Madigan '16
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Grace Yakutis '16 Daniel Lobree '14
Varsity Nicole Simon '16 [1-8] Pj Eaton '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Xander Norman '15 [3-4]
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Matthew Long '14 Caroline Gay '15
Varsity Kyra Oakes '14 Zachary Zerman '16
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Lucas Wright '15 Connor Kuerbis '17
Varsity Jack Ryan '15 Athena Malcolm '16
Marin Academy Marin Academy Kristopher Swanson '14 Alyson Crowley '16
Varsity Michael Hasson '14 [1-8] Maddy Kuhn '16 [1-4]
Emily Ritter '16 [5-6]
John Rusbarsky '15 [7-8]
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Peter Neal '16 Sarah James '17
Varsity Geoff St John '15 Leah James '17
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Lucy Wilmot '16 Molly Colwell '16
Varsity Guy Raber '14 Michael Lively '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Carter Scott '16 Eliza Moody '16
JV1 Michael Sabourin '16 Marley Mais '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Harrison Vandervort '15 Madeline Bubb '16
JV2 Maddie Kraus '16 Emily Overstreet '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Wyatt Russell '16 Grace Blackman '16
JV3 Colin Duffy '14 [1-2]
Patrick Shannon '16 [3-8]		 Katie Mcallister '17 [1-4]
Grace Vandervort '17 [5-8]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sean Segerblom '16 [1-8] Megan Roach '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Briggs D'Eliscu '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity Campbell D'Eliscu '15 [1-8] Katie Calder '14 [1-6]
Jack Martin '14 [7-8]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Jessica Mcjones '15 Caroline Salas '14
Varsity Will Nodvik '14 [1-8] Claudia Lambert '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Danny White '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Andy Reiter '15 Jennifer Johnson '15
JV1 Trevor Hecht '14 Megan Lansdale '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Jack Mcgraw '16 [1-8] Mercedes Mcphee '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Jack Augustine '16 [3-4]
JV2 Steven Leuck '16 Katharine Bowman '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Scott Sinks '14 [1-8] Rebecca Mcelvain '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Johannes Mcelvain '15 [3-4]
Varsity Will La Dow '14 Kenny Moats '17
Redwood High School Redwood High School Peter Schmidt '15 Jack Gerstein '16
JV Teddy Bascom '15 Rachael Maier '15
Redwood High School Redwood High School Casper Ladefoged '16 Lucie Welles '16
Varsity Will Martens '16 [1-8] Sarah Bunney '15 [1-6]
Noble Reynoso '17 [7-8]
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Jacob Rosenberg '16 Madison Nadelman '16
Varsity Bobby Briggs '16 Paige Okey '17
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Evan Heffernan '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Lucas Pierce '17 [5-6]		 Lauren Seigel '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Jodie Jacobs '16 [5-6]
Varsity Soren Wilde '15 Renee Berkus '14
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Tristram Craig '14 Kenna Kuhn '16
Varsity Noah Barrengos '14 Francis Streitmann '17
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Sam Shea '15 Chloe Bohannan '16
Varsity Nolan Van Dine '15 [1-8] Isabelle Du Moulin '14 [1-6]
Spencer Paulsen '16 [7-8]
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Daisy Holthus '17 Austin Tipp '14
Varsity Gabe Cappetta '17 Meri Herrington '14
The Urban School The Urban School Lawson Willard '15 Sophie Weir '15
Varsity Hanna Pierce '16 Genna Gores '14

Conditions — 03/15/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1022.3 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From WSW (254°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1022.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · SW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Santa Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.18 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Santa Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Santa Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →