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MASSA District Mallory Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Varsity 47 42 89
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 79 56 135
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 82 69 151
4 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Varsity 85 77 162
5 Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 83 92 175
6 Severn School Severn School Varsity 97 80 177
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Varsity 116 81 197
8 Severna Park Severna Park Varsity 84 114 198
9 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 99 110 209
10 Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor Varsity 90 132 222
11 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Varsity 119 124 243
12 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 117 127 244
13 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 127 131 258
14 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Varsity 172 87 259
15 Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Varsity 122 154 276
16 Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 137 168 305
17 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 188 198 386
18 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 200 228 428
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Varsity 4 4 4 7 6 2 2 2 2 4 2 8 47 Charlie Lomax '14 [1-12]
Ali Macdonald '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Tilghman Meiser '15 [5-6, 9-12]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 16 2 3 2 1 12 4 10 6 8 10 5 79 Hector Guzman '16
Annabell Carrington '15
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 10 9 1 4 11 3 1 7 12 14 3 7 82 Gray Kiger '16 [1-12]
Hannah Herring '14 [1-8]
Marshall Mccraw '16 [9-12]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 9 DSQ 2 9 4 7 8 3 5 9 5 3 83 Nick Sertl '14
Ava Esquier '16
Severna Park Severna Park Varsity 2 7 6 11 10 4 13 9 1 1 6 14 84 Read Beigel '14
Diana Otis '15
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Varsity 8 3 10 1 2 1 DSQ 1 8 5 12 15 85 Zach Hill '14 [1-12]
Katherine Selley '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Jessica Bennett '15 [5-6, 11-12]
Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor Varsity 3 1 9 15 9 8 3 6 4 16 15 1 90 Kb Knapp '14 [1-12]
Andrew Buccellatto '15 [1-4, 7-10]
Kai Galli '14 [5-6, 11-12]
Severn School Severn School Varsity 14 6 5 3 8 10 7 5 13 12 1 13 97 Nicholas Floyd '15
Evan Morgan '14
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 6 12 BKD BKD 3 9 5 13 3 2 14 16 99 Connor Swikart '14 [1-12]
Addie Sellig '16 [1-2, 7-12]
Teddy Schroeder '16 [3-6]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Varsity 5 13 8 5 14 14 15 4 18 3 7 10 116 Peter Maes '14
Jack Hurley '14
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 17 8 12 8 7 5 6 17 10 7 11 9 117 Dreugh Phillips '16
Mike Klink '15
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Varsity 7 10 13 10 5 15 DSQ 8 7 10 9 6 119 Elena Vandenberg '14
Amanda Wagner '14
Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Varsity 1 14 16 6 12 11 11 14 11 6 8 12 122 Anna Huebschmann '14
Maddi Reynolds '17
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 11 11 15 12 17 13 10 12 9 11 4 2 127 Jack Parkin '17 [1-12]
Hannah Van Der Vord '15 [1-4]
Hugh Reynolds '16 [5-12]
Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 13 5 7 13 13 6 9 15 14 15 16 11 137 Sean Crabb '16
Caitlyn Citta '15
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Varsity 15 15 18 18 15 DSQ 16 11 15 13 13 4 172 No Show
No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 12 17 11 17 16 16 12 18 16 18 17 18 188 Jake Ellis '15 [1-12]
Willy Kates '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Sam Westby '16 [5-8, 11-12]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 18 16 17 14 18 17 14 16 17 17 OCS 17 200 Kaila Pfrang '17
Hailey Gilman '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Varsity 1 1 2 8 2 5 1 1 1 7 3 10 42 Harrison Hawk '14 [1-10]
Kyle Comerford '15 [11-12]
Tessa Fullmer '14 [1-10]
Lilli Salvesen '14 [11-12]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 5 6 3 1 1 9 4 4 6 3 7 7 56 Jack Elkin '15
Carter Little '14
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 2 7 5 5 5 2 9 5 2 10 9 8 69 William Whitmore '16 [1-12]
Marshall Mccraw '16 [1-8]
Jessica Williams '16 [9-12]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Varsity 8 2 11 2 6 16 2 OCS 4 5 1 1 77 Andrew Schoene '14 [1-12]
Nastia Jones '15 [1-2, 5-12]
Scott Bankert '14 [3-4]
Severn School Severn School Varsity 6 8 1 3 14 13 10 2 9 2 8 4 80 Emma White '15
Grace Lucas '14
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Varsity 13 12 4 12 7 12 6 3 3 1 5 3 81 Kyle Magno '14
Kyle Lavin '15
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Varsity 17 3 7 10 3 6 5 9 12 6 4 5 87 No Show
No Show
Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 3 4 12 6 16 4 12 11 5 15 2 2 92 Peter Macmillan '15 [1-12]
Hunter Skinner '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Venice Aureli '15 [9-10]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 4 13 8 11 12 8 7 6 7 8 14 12 110 Charlotte List '14 [1-12]
Teddy Schroeder '16 [1-2]
Michael Munger '16 [3-6, 9-10]
Evan Lenza '14 [7-8, 11-12]
Severna Park Severna Park Varsity 10 5 10 7 9 7 11 10 11 13 15 6 114 Sean Walker '14 [1-10]
Maggie Schult '15 [11-12]
Andrew Vernon '16 [1-2]
Lindsey Flagler '16 [3-12]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Varsity 15 15 14 9 10 10 8 7 10 9 6 11 124 Willy Comerford '17 [1-4, 11-12]
Cole Daitch '16 [5-10]
Andrew Reed '14 [1-8, 11-12]
Andrew Yemc '15 [9-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 11 14 6 15 4 3 13 13 8 11 13 16 127 Victor Layne '16
Daniel Vail '17
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 12 9 DSQ DSQ 8 1 3 12 14 14 11 9 131 Cooper Yeager '17 [1-12]
Alison Conn '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Kyle Hanlon '14 [3-6, 9-12]
Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor Varsity 7 16 9 4 13 15 14 8 16 4 12 14 132 Vidar Minkovsky '14
Alek Sajewski '14
Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Varsity 9 11 16 14 11 14 15 14 13 12 10 15 154 Robert Blakelock '16 [1-12]
Jacob Meagher '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Thomas Blakelock '17 [7-8]
Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 14 10 13 13 15 11 16 15 15 17 16 13 168 Billy Porter '14
James Koerner '17
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 16 17 15 16 17 17 17 16 17 16 17 17 198 Angee Nissan '14 [1-10]
Michael Scales '16 [11-12]
Rachel Lang '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Michael Scales '16 [5-8]
Angee Nissan '14 [11-12]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 228 Ellie Maus '18
Sarah Smith '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Varsity11335577991111
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Varsity2244668810101212
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Varsity3355779911111313
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Varsity446688101012121414
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Varsity557799111113131515
Cold Spring HarborCold Spring Harbor Varsity66881010121214141616
Lewiston Porter High SchoolLewiston Porter High School Varsity77991111131315151717
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Varsity8810101212141416161818
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity99111113131515171711
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Varsity1010121214141616181822
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Varsity11111313151517171133
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Varsity12121414161618182244
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats131315151717113355
Severn SchoolSevern School Varsity141416161818224466
Severna ParkSeverna Park Varsity1515171711335577
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Varsity1616181822446688
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Varsity17171133557799
Toms River NorthToms River North Varsity1818224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Varsity2244668810101212
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Varsity3355779911111313
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Varsity446688101012121414
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Varsity557799111113131515
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Varsity66881010121214141616
Cold Spring HarborCold Spring Harbor Varsity77991111131315151717
Lewiston Porter High SchoolLewiston Porter High School Varsity8810101212141416161818
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Varsity99111113131515171711
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity1010121214141616181822
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Varsity11111313151517171133
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Varsity12121414161618182244
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Varsity131315151717113355
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats141416161818224466
Severn SchoolSevern School Varsity1515171711335577
Severna ParkSeverna Park Varsity1616181822446688
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Varsity17171133557799
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Varsity1818224466881010
Toms River NorthToms River North Varsity11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Charlie Lomax '14 [1-12] Ali Macdonald '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Tilghman Meiser '15 [5-6, 9-12]
Varsity Harrison Hawk '14 [1-10]
Kyle Comerford '15 [11-12]		 Tessa Fullmer '14 [1-10]
Lilli Salvesen '14 [11-12]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Elena Vandenberg '14 Amanda Wagner '14
Varsity Willy Comerford '17 [1-4, 11-12]
Cole Daitch '16 [5-10]		 Andrew Reed '14 [1-8, 11-12]
Andrew Yemc '15 [9-10]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Zach Hill '14 [1-12] Katherine Selley '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Jessica Bennett '15 [5-6, 11-12]
Varsity Andrew Schoene '14 [1-12] Nastia Jones '15 [1-2, 5-12]
Scott Bankert '14 [3-4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Hector Guzman '16 Annabell Carrington '15
Varsity Jack Elkin '15 Carter Little '14
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Peter Maes '14 Jack Hurley '14
Varsity Kyle Magno '14 Kyle Lavin '15
Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor Kb Knapp '14 [1-12] Andrew Buccellatto '15 [1-4, 7-10]
Kai Galli '14 [5-6, 11-12]
Varsity Vidar Minkovsky '14 Alek Sajewski '14
Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Anna Huebschmann '14 Maddi Reynolds '17
Varsity Robert Blakelock '16 [1-12] Jacob Meagher '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Thomas Blakelock '17 [7-8]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Nick Sertl '14 Ava Esquier '16
Varsity Peter Macmillan '15 [1-12] Hunter Skinner '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Venice Aureli '15 [9-10]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kaila Pfrang '17 Hailey Gilman '17
Varsity Ellie Maus '18 Sarah Smith '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Gray Kiger '16 [1-12] Hannah Herring '14 [1-8]
Marshall Mccraw '16 [9-12]
Varsity William Whitmore '16 [1-12] Marshall Mccraw '16 [1-8]
Jessica Williams '16 [9-12]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Dreugh Phillips '16 Mike Klink '15
Varsity Victor Layne '16 Daniel Vail '17
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Connor Swikart '14 [1-12] Addie Sellig '16 [1-2, 7-12]
Teddy Schroeder '16 [3-6]
Varsity Charlotte List '14 [1-12] Teddy Schroeder '16 [1-2]
Michael Munger '16 [3-6, 9-10]
Evan Lenza '14 [7-8, 11-12]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Jack Parkin '17 [1-12] Hannah Van Der Vord '15 [1-4]
Hugh Reynolds '16 [5-12]
Wildcats Cooper Yeager '17 [1-12] Alison Conn '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Kyle Hanlon '14 [3-6, 9-12]
Severn School Severn School Nicholas Floyd '15 Evan Morgan '14
Varsity Emma White '15 Grace Lucas '14
Severna Park Severna Park Read Beigel '14 Diana Otis '15
Varsity Sean Walker '14 [1-10]
Maggie Schult '15 [11-12]		 Andrew Vernon '16 [1-2]
Lindsey Flagler '16 [3-12]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jake Ellis '15 [1-12] Willy Kates '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Sam Westby '16 [5-8, 11-12]
Varsity Angee Nissan '14 [1-10]
Michael Scales '16 [11-12]		 Rachel Lang '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Michael Scales '16 [5-8]
Angee Nissan '14 [11-12]
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist No Show No Show
Varsity No Show No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Sean Crabb '16 Caitlyn Citta '15
Varsity Billy Porter '14 James Koerner '17

Conditions — 04/12/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover26% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn* · S 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht & Country Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht & Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht & Country Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →