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NJ Mallory Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 24 19 43
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Varsity 24 19 43
3 Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 30 44 74
4 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 52 27 79
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Varsity 39 43 82
6 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I 42 52 94
7 Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Varsity 24 74 98
8 Summit High School Summit High School Varsity 62 56 118
9 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Varsity 66 57 123
10 Princeton High School Princeton High School Varsity 78 49 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 1 5 6 1 1 6 1 3 24 Connor Swikart '14 [1-8]
Michael Munger '16 [1-2]
Evan Lenza '14 [3-5]
Addie Sellig '16 [6-8]
Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Varsity 3 4 5 3 4 2 2 1 24 Robert Gearon '15
Dominique Neubelt '15
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Varsity 4 1 2 2 5 1 3 6 24 Peter Maes '14
Jack Hurley '14
Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 5 2 1 5 6 3 6 2 30 Sean Crabb '16
Caitlyn Citta '15
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Varsity 2 6 4 4 7 4 4 8 39 Jack Denatale '18
Caroline Martocci '18
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I 6 7 3 9 3 5 5 4 42 Adam Durrua '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Ruggiero '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Stephen Zara '15 [1-4]
Miles Mancini '16 [5-8]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 8 3 7 6 2 8 9 9 52 Jake Ellis '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Beattie '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Sam Westby '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Michael Scales '16 [5-6]
Summit High School Summit High School Varsity 7 8 10 7 8 9 8 5 62 Marissa Murray '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Will Elia '14 [5-6]
Amy Macdonald '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Will Berkery '14 [5-6]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Varsity 9 9 8 8 DSQ 7 7 7 66 Edgard Sanchez '14
Sabrina Gonzalez '17
Princeton High School Princeton High School Varsity 10 10 9 10 9 10 10 10 78 Jack Sawyer '14 [1-8]
Harrison Barfield '17 [1-4]
Marysia Kaminska '16 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Varsity 2 1 1 1 5 4 1 4 19 Kyle Magno '14
Kyle Lavin '15
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 4 6 2 2 1 1 2 1 19 Charlotte List '14 [1-8]
Billy Perkins '14 [1-2]
Teddy Schroeder '16 [3-8]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 5 2 3 4 3 3 4 3 27 Emily Haig '17 [1-8]
Meghan Lopez '16 [1-2]
Rachel Lang '17 [3-8]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Varsity 1 7 4 9 7 5 3 7 43 Erin Mcgarry '17 [1-4]
Margaret Maccormack '17 [5-8]
Maureen Mcgarry '17 [1-4]
Camryn Kennedy '17 [5-8]
Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 3 4 5 6 9 6 6 5 44 Billy Porter '14
James Koerner '17
Princeton High School Princeton High School Varsity 8 5 8 7 4 7 8 2 49 Nathan Drezner '16 [1-8]
Marysia Kaminska '16 [1-4]
Harrison Barfield '17 [5-8]
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I 7 9 6 3 6 2 9 10 52 Anatasia Mancini '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Kate Malcolm '16 [3-4]
Vincent Storino '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachael Beaton '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Summit High School Summit High School Varsity 6 3 9 8 8 8 5 9 56 Jake Groskoph '14 [1-8]
Alex Guior '14 [1-2]
Tyler Macdonald '14 [3-8]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Varsity 9 8 7 5 2 10 10 6 57 Victoria Tang '15
Grace Vega '17
Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Varsity 10 10 10 10 10 9 7 8 74 Bryce Barnes '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Patrick Mccarthy '15 [3-4]
Sam Gregg '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Allie Peterson '14 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Varsity11335577
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Varsity22446688
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Varsity33557799
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I4466881010
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Varsity55779911
Red Bank Regional High SchoolRed Bank Regional High School Varsity6688101022
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Varsity77991133
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Varsity8810102244
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Varsity99113355
Toms River NorthToms River North Varsity1010224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Varsity22446688
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Varsity33557799
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Varsity4466881010
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I55779911
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Varsity6688101022
Red Bank Regional High SchoolRed Bank Regional High School Varsity77991133
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Varsity8810102244
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Varsity99113355
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Varsity1010224466
Toms River NorthToms River North Varsity11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Peter Maes '14 Jack Hurley '14
Varsity Kyle Magno '14 Kyle Lavin '15
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Jack Denatale '18 Caroline Martocci '18
Varsity Erin Mcgarry '17 [1-4]
Margaret Maccormack '17 [5-8]		 Maureen Mcgarry '17 [1-4]
Camryn Kennedy '17 [5-8]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Edgard Sanchez '14 Sabrina Gonzalez '17
Varsity Victoria Tang '15 Grace Vega '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Adam Durrua '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Ruggiero '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Stephen Zara '15 [1-4]
Miles Mancini '16 [5-8]
Garnett Gulls I Anatasia Mancini '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Kate Malcolm '16 [3-4]		 Vincent Storino '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachael Beaton '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Princeton High School Princeton High School Jack Sawyer '14 [1-8] Harrison Barfield '17 [1-4]
Marysia Kaminska '16 [5-8]
Varsity Nathan Drezner '16 [1-8] Marysia Kaminska '16 [1-4]
Harrison Barfield '17 [5-8]
Red Bank Regional High School Red Bank Regional High School Robert Gearon '15 Dominique Neubelt '15
Varsity Bryce Barnes '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Patrick Mccarthy '15 [3-4]		 Sam Gregg '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Allie Peterson '14 [3-4]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Connor Swikart '14 [1-8] Michael Munger '16 [1-2]
Evan Lenza '14 [3-5]
Addie Sellig '16 [6-8]
Varsity Charlotte List '14 [1-8] Billy Perkins '14 [1-2]
Teddy Schroeder '16 [3-8]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jake Ellis '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Beattie '15 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sam Westby '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Michael Scales '16 [5-6]
Varsity Emily Haig '17 [1-8] Meghan Lopez '16 [1-2]
Rachel Lang '17 [3-8]
Summit High School Summit High School Marissa Murray '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Will Elia '14 [5-6]		 Amy Macdonald '14 [1-4, 7-8]
Will Berkery '14 [5-6]
Varsity Jake Groskoph '14 [1-8] Alex Guior '14 [1-2]
Tyler Macdonald '14 [3-8]
Toms River North Toms River North Sean Crabb '16 Caitlyn Citta '15
Varsity Billy Porter '14 James Koerner '17

Conditions — 04/06/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From WNW (285°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Shrewsbury Sailing & Yacht Club / Monmouth University: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shrewsbury Sailing & Yacht Club / Monmouth University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Shrewsbury Sailing & Yacht Club / Monmouth University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →