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OCC Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts II 25 18 43
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts I 41 15 56
3 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 35 34 69
4 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 55 55 110
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins II 68 46 114
6 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I 65 59 124
7 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnet Gull II 71 54 125
8 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins I 59 67 126
9 Summit High School Summit High School White 72 70 142
10 Summit High School Summit High School Maroon 76 69 145
11 Summit High School Summit High School Gold 80 78 158
12 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams II 84 82 166
13 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins III 61 122 183
14 Panthers Panthers Panthers 74 115 189
15 Princeton High School Princeton High School Little Tigers 92 98 190
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts II 1 2 4 1 10 2 4 1 25 Kyle Magno '14
Jp Burgess '16
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 4 5 8 5 3 5 1 4 35 Connor Swikart '14
Evan Lenza '14
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts I 9 1 2 6 4 15 2 2 41 Peter Maes '14
Connor Foor '15
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 6 6 9 3 5 RDG 14 5 55 Emily Haig '17
Rachel Lang '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins I 8 3 10 14 2 4 5 13 59 Jack Denatale '18 [1-8]
Richard Kertatos '18 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins III 2 11 15 2 15 7 6 3 61 No Show
Catherine Cooke '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I 13 4 12 13 1 1 12 9 65 Vincent Storino '14
Rachael Beaton '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins II 14 7 7 7 14 6 3 10 68 Erin Mcgarry '17
Maureen Mcgarry '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnet Gull II 11 13 5 4 7 13 10 8 71 Adam Durrua '16
Trevor Hinds '16
Summit High School Summit High School White 10 12 3 10 11 12 8 6 72 Jake Groskoph '14 [1-8]
Sarah Elia '16 [1-4]
Danny Kane '16 [5-8]
Panthers Panthers Panthers 3 15 1 9 13 3 15 15 74
Summit High School Summit High School Maroon 12 8 14 8 9 11 7 7 76 Will Elia '14
Mike Freidin '15
Summit High School Summit High School Gold 7 10 6 11 12 10 13 11 80 Marissa Murray '14 [1-8]
Grace Totman '15 [1-4]
Gal Behiri '15 [5-8]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams II 15 9 11 12 8 8 9 12 84 Lauren Beattie '15
Meghan Lopez '16
Princeton High School Princeton High School Little Tigers 5 14 13 15 6 14 11 14 92 Nathan Drezner '16 [1-8]
Sophie Corrodi '16 [1-4]
Harrison Barfield '17 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts I 1 1 1 1 4 1 2 4 15 Trevor Koerwer '15
Kyle Lavin '15
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts II 2 2 3 2 1 5 1 2 18 Joe Laforgia '17
Kyle Lavin '15
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Varsity 5 4 11 3 2 4 4 1 34 Michael Munger '16
Teddy Schroeder '16
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins II 7 3 2 4 10 6 6 8 46 Margaret Maccormack '17
Camryn Kennedy '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnet Gull II 14 10 4 5 9 2 5 5 54 Jack Ruggiero '16
Courtney Jacobs '17
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 6 6 7 11 11 8 3 3 55 Jake Ellis '15
Willy Kates '14
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I 4 7 8 8 5 10 8 9 59 Kate Malcolm '16
Emily Birdsong '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins I 3 5 6 9 13 3 12 DNF 67 Matthew Brooks '15
Caroline Martocci '18
Summit High School Summit High School Maroon 8 11 12 10 6 7 9 6 69 Tyler Macdonald '14
Will Berkery '14
Summit High School Summit High School White 12 8 5 7 8 13 10 7 70 Mark Freidin '16
Annabel Sangree '14
Summit High School Summit High School Gold 10 12 9 6 3 9 13 DNF 78 Amy Macdonald '14
Kk Newsham '15
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams II 9 9 10 14 12 11 7 10 82 Angee Nissan '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Scales '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Sam Westby '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Princeton High School Princeton High School Little Tigers 13 13 14 12 7 12 11 DNF 98 Jack Sawyer '14
Marysia Kaminska '16
Panthers Panthers Panthers 15 14 13 13 14 14 DNS DNS 115
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins III 11 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 122 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts I11223344
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts II22334455
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins I33445566
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins II44556677
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins III55667788
PanthersPanthers Panthers66778899
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnet Gull II889910101111
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I7788991010
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Little Tigers99101011111212
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Varsity1010111112121313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams1111121213131414
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams II1212131314141515
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Gold1515112233
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Maroon13131414151511
Summit High SchoolSummit High School White141415151122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts I11223344
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts II22334455
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins I33445566
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins II44556677
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins III55667788
PanthersPanthers Panthers66778899
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnet Gull II889910101111
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls I7788991010
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Little Tigers99101011111212
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Varsity1010111112121313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams1111121213131414
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams II1212131314141515
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Gold1515112233
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Maroon13131414151511
Summit High SchoolSummit High School White141415151122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Peter Maes '14 Connor Foor '15
Colts I Trevor Koerwer '15 Kyle Lavin '15
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Kyle Magno '14 Jp Burgess '16
Colts II Joe Laforgia '17 Kyle Lavin '15
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Jack Denatale '18 [1-8] Richard Kertatos '18 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Griffins I Matthew Brooks '15 Caroline Martocci '18
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Erin Mcgarry '17 Maureen Mcgarry '17
Griffins II Margaret Maccormack '17 Camryn Kennedy '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School No Show Catherine Cooke '17
Griffins III No Show No Show
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Adam Durrua '16 Trevor Hinds '16
Garnet Gull II Jack Ruggiero '16 Courtney Jacobs '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Vincent Storino '14 Rachael Beaton '17
Garnett Gulls I Kate Malcolm '16 Emily Birdsong '17
Princeton High School Princeton High School Nathan Drezner '16 [1-8] Sophie Corrodi '16 [1-4]
Harrison Barfield '17 [5-8]
Little Tigers Jack Sawyer '14 Marysia Kaminska '16
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Connor Swikart '14 Evan Lenza '14
Varsity Michael Munger '16 Teddy Schroeder '16
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Emily Haig '17 Rachel Lang '17
Rams Jake Ellis '15 Willy Kates '14
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Lauren Beattie '15 Meghan Lopez '16
Rams II Angee Nissan '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Scales '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sam Westby '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Summit High School Summit High School Marissa Murray '14 [1-8] Grace Totman '15 [1-4]
Gal Behiri '15 [5-8]
Gold Amy Macdonald '14 Kk Newsham '15
Summit High School Summit High School Will Elia '14 Mike Freidin '15
Maroon Tyler Macdonald '14 Will Berkery '14
Summit High School Summit High School Jake Groskoph '14 [1-8] Sarah Elia '16 [1-4]
Danny Kane '16 [5-8]
White Mark Freidin '16 Annabel Sangree '14

Conditions — 05/10/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 25.7 kn
From WSW (241°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1013.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Toms River Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Toms River Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Toms River Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →