PCISA #4 Golden Bear Silver Fleet

HostTreasure Island Sailing Center & BAYS
Date02/22/2014
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Varsity	40	60	100
2	Alameda High School	Varsity	88	34	122
3	Redwood High School	JV	117	15	132
4	Coronado Islanders	JV	56	82	138
5	Palisades Charter High School	Varsity	50	90	140
6	Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	77	65	142
7	Marlborough School	Varsity	80	71	151
8	Windward School	Varsity	110	51	161
9	Ventura High School	Varsity	78	86	164
10	Tamalpais High School	JV	80	99	179
11	Sage Hill School	JV	80	105	185
12	The International School of San Francisco	Varsity	74	123	197
13	Menlo School	Varsity	36	166	202
14	Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	139	63	202
15	Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	147	60	207
16	Palos Verdes High School	Varsity	117	92	209
17	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	57	153	210
18	Pacific Grove High School	Varsity	110	120	230
19	Torrey Pines High School	Varsity	151	89	240
20	Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	122	120	242
21	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	JV	93	159	252
22	Redondo Union High School	Varsity	107	147	254
23	The Bay School of San Francisco	JV	159	112	271
24	Waldorf High School	Varsity	135	148	283
25	The Bishop's School	JV1	208	102	310
26	Mater Dei High School	Varsity	152	160	312
27	Berkeley High School	Varsity	118	195	313
28	Bentley School	Varsity	163	156	319
29	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	172	158	330
30	La Jolla High School	Varsity	159	180	339
31	La Jolla High School	JV	199	188	387
32	Campolindo High School	Varsity	186	209	395

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Menlo School	Varsity	6	10	1	8	1	3	7	36	Jackson Wagner '15 Mark Power '15
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Varsity	4	7	13	7	3	4	2	40	Luke Van Lant '16 Beth Golison '16
Palisades Charter High School	Varsity	8	1	5	4	19	9	4	50	Sydney Avitia-Jacques '14 Whitney Yost '16
Coronado Islanders	JV	2	8	17	2	4	5	18	56	Augie Sturm '15 Daniel Lobree '14
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	1	5	19	6	12	1	13	57	Kyle Larsen '14 [1-7] Peter Werner '17 [1-4, 7] Radley Peschel '16 [5-6]
The International School of San Francisco	Varsity	12	12	6	1	24	8	11	74	Nicholai Sponholtz '15 Sebastien Sponholtz '16
Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	16	13	2	3	15	23	5	77	Cuyler Zimmerman '14 Cameron Morello '16
Ventura High School	Varsity	5	16	9	17	9	11	RDG	78	Ian Baldwin '15 Eric Martinez '18
Tamalpais High School	JV	3	4	4	11	28	7	23	80	Tyler Daniels '14 [1-6] Thomas Simkalo '14 [7] Devon Stoeber '15 [1-6]
Sage Hill School	JV	7	20	16	12	2	14	9	80	Connor Chung '16 [1-7] Molly Chase '15 [1-4] Jodie Horowitz '15 [5-7]
Marlborough School	Varsity	22	18	12	9	6	10	3	80	Emilia Clementi '14 Olivia Dinapoli '14
Alameda High School	Varsity	24	22	3	14	11	13	1	88	Drake Hayes '17 [1-7] Aitor Iriso '17 [1-2] Brianna Devlin '14 [3-4] Natalie Corkhill '15 [5-6] Mary Jane Howland '18 [7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	JV	14	15	8	22	5	19	10	93	Will Paulsen '15 [1-7] Emily Seeley '15 [1-2, 5-7] Claire Mohen '15 [3-4]
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	9	2	18	18	20	25	15	107	Kyle Collins '17 [1-7] Sophia Schumann '17 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Guzman '15 [3-4, 7]
Pacific Grove High School	Varsity	11	23	11	13	16	22	14	110	Austin Book '15 Michelle Katz '14
Windward School	Varsity	18	9	14	27	7	18	17	110	Marie Line '15 [1-7] Ethan Stone '16 [1-4] Andrea Munoz '16 [5-7]
Redwood High School	JV	10	3	23	25	13	21	22	117	Peter Schmidt '15 Jack Gerstein '16
Palos Verdes High School	Varsity	21	32	10	10	22	2	20	117	Will Nodvik '14 No Show
Berkeley High School	Varsity	25	29	22	5	14	17	6	118	Little Bear Lundegaard '15 Stuart Myers '17
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	28	17	24	23	8	6	16	122	Mitchell Smith '14 Josh Maldonado '17
Waldorf High School	Varsity	29	6	31	24	21	12	12	135	Olivia Dreilinger '17 Ry Ulmer-Strack '14
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	19	24	7	20	23	16	30	139	Pascal Hines '16 Tigran Demurjian '17
Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	13	14	RDG	RDG	25	26	27	147	Ben Rohr '15 Diego Alvarez '15
Torrey Pines High School	Varsity	32	27	20	26	10	15	21	151	Cole Fargo '14 [1-7] Neil Gompf '17 [1-2, 5-6] Robbie Johnson '15 [3-4, 7]
Mater Dei High School	Varsity	23	11	25	31	30	24	8	152	Caden Wheeler '17 [1-7] Miranda Hughes '17 [1-2, 7] Jaclyn Brown '15 [3-6]
La Jolla High School	Varsity	17	31	21	28	17	20	25	159	Thomas Garcia '15 Joanna Garcia '15
The Bay School of San Francisco	JV	30	21	15	16	29	29	19	159	Tyler Krill '14 [1-6] Spencer Paulsen '16 [7] Sabrina Perell '14 [1-6]
Bentley School	Varsity	15	30	27	21	18	28	24	163	Sylvia Necula '14 No Show
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	20	19	26	19	31	31	26	172	Marisa De Souza '15 Wiley Yu '18
Campolindo High School	Varsity	31	26	32	15	27	27	28	186	Cooper Larhette '17 Ryter Ullrich '18
La Jolla High School	JV	26	25	29	32	26	32	29	199	Maddie Athing '14 [1-7] Kieran Bauman '16 [1-2, 5-7] Gavin Petilli '15 [3-4]
The Bishop's School	JV1	27	28	30	30	32	30	31	208	Cassie Isaacson '15 [1-4] No Show [5-7] Sarah Yang '17 [1-4] David Plant '16 [5-7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Redwood High School	JV	1	3	1	1	1	7	1	15	Teddy Bascom '15 Rachael Maier '15
Alameda High School	Varsity	3	8	3	2	12	2	4	34	Miles Orozco '16 [1-4, 7] Natalie Corkhill '15 [5-6] Mary Jane Howland '18 [1-2] Noelle Siroit '16 [3-6] Aitor Iriso '17 [7]
Windward School	Varsity	7	9	6	7	6	9	RDG	51	William Line '16 Blake Schwartz '16
Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	5	5	13	11	10	3	13	60	Max Rohr '14 Meghan Oldham '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Varsity	12	7	5	15	8	4	9	60	Emily Golison '15 Meredith Dobson '15
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	16	1	7	5	9	17	8	63	No Show No Show
Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	6	12	15	4	RDG	RDG	10	65	Carson Shevitz '16 Kyla Murphy '18
Marlborough School	Varsity	11	2	9	6	18	11	14	71	Claire Roth '14 Sophia Cardenas '14
Coronado Islanders	JV	18	16	11	3	14	14	6	82	Stewart Powell '17 [1-7] Evan Arnold '17 [1-4] Katie Roughneen '16 [5-7]
Ventura High School	Varsity	9	10	4	23	24	1	15	86	Braedon Baum '17 Arden Tanner '17
Torrey Pines High School	Varsity	4	6	24	29	7	8	11	89	Trey Muschamp '15 [1-7] Ryan Fargo '16 [1-4, 7] Neil Gompf '17 [5-6]
Palisades Charter High School	Varsity	10	11	14	16	11	15	RDG	90	Gavin Abraham '16 Sam Siegel '14
Palos Verdes High School	Varsity	8	19	12	9	21	20	3	92	Vince Todiesv '15 Erin Murphy '15
Tamalpais High School	JV	14	4	8	19	22	27	5	99	Hayden Potter '16 [1-4] Jack Duncan '15 [5-7] Rachel Lansman '14 [1-4]
The Bishop's School	JV1	15	15	28	8	2	5	29	102	Avery Dumke '15 Julia Ankeny '15
Sage Hill School	JV	13	23	16	14	13	10	16	105	James Mather '14 Sydney Lake '16
The Bay School of San Francisco	JV	2	22	22	13	4	29	20	112	Sumner Strumph '17 [1-4, 7] Shaw Lenox '16 [5-6] Juliana Testa '17 [1-4, 7] Alex Testa '16 [5-6]
Pacific Grove High School	Varsity	20	14	10	20	25	19	12	120	Logan Allen '15 No Show
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	23	25	17	10	5	21	19	120	Matthew Dimegilo '16 No Show
The International School of San Francisco	Varsity	22	17	23	12	26	6	17	123	Alexander Dubois '15 John Cannell '16
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	24	28	2	17	19	24	OCS	147	Alec Caterson '15 [1-7] Hailey Smith '15 [1-4, 7] Angela Stuckey '16 [5-6]
Waldorf High School	Varsity	19	20	18	DNS	20	31	7	148	Joe Dockstader '15 Rebecca Thompson '16
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	30	21	31	25	16	12	18	153	Grant Hallee '15 [1-4] Radley Peschel '16 [5-7] Derek Makovich '16 [1-4]
Bentley School	Varsity	31	18	20	26	27	32	2	156	Lindsey Watters '15 Toby Watters '15
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	28	13	25	24	28	13	27	158	Tiffany Xi '15 [1-7] No Show [1-4] Rose Gold '15 [5-7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	JV	27	24	26	18	15	16	OCS	159	Gwyneth Dunlevy '16 [1-7] Quinn Moslander '15 [1-4, 7] Claire Mohen '15 [5-6]
Mater Dei High School	Varsity	29	32	19	27	3	22	28	160	Nikki Smith '15 Jessica Correa '15
Menlo School	Varsity	17	30	27	21	23	25	23	166	Bjorn Antell '17 [1-4] John Mcnelly '15 [5-7] John Mcnelly '15 [1-4] Bjorn Antell '17 [5-7]
La Jolla High School	Varsity	21	26	29	28	29	23	24	180	Gracie Young '14 Lauren Matich '17
La Jolla High School	JV	26	27	21	22	31	28	OCS	188	Tristan Tancio '14 [1-2, 5-6] Francesco Macagno '14 [3-4, 7] Matthew Burk '17 [1-2, 5-6] Kyra Styner '16 [3-4, 7]
Berkeley High School	Varsity	25	29	30	30	30	30	21	195	Raffi Altman-Allen '16 No Show
Campolindo High School	Varsity	32	31	32	31	32	26	25	209	Uanoa Nelson '14 [1-2, 5-6] Santiago Calderon '15 [3-4, 7] Kekoa Nelson '16 [1-2, 5-6] Uanoa Nelson '14 [3-4, 7]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Alameda High School Varsity	37	37	39	39	41	41	43
Bentley School Varsity	61	61	63	63	33	33	35
Berkeley High School Varsity	45	45	47	47	49	49	51
Campolindo High School Varsity	40	40	38	38	36	36	34
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools JV	38	38	36	36	34	34	64
Coronado Islanders JV	39	39	41	41	43	43	45
Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity	62	62	60	60	58	58	56
The International School of San Francisco Varsity	43	43	45	45	47	47	49
La Jolla High School JV	49	49	51	51	53	53	55
La Jolla High School Varsity	48	48	46	46	44	44	42
Laguna Blanca School Varsity	42	42	40	40	38	38	36
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity	57	57	59	59	61	61	63
Lycee Francais de San Francisco Varsity	47	47	49	49	51	51	53
Marlborough School Varsity	36	36	34	34	64	64	62
Mater Dei High School Varsity	41	41	43	43	45	45	47
Menlo School Varsity	60	60	58	58	56	56	54
Oakland Technical High School Varsity	55	55	57	57	59	59	61
Pacific Grove High School Varsity	52	52	50	50	48	48	46
Palisades Charter High School Varsity	64	64	62	62	60	60	58
Palos Verdes High School Varsity	46	46	44	44	42	42	40
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity	54	54	52	52	50	50	48
Redondo Union High School Varsity	53	53	55	55	57	57	59
Redwood High School JV	51	51	53	53	55	55	57
Sage Hill School JV	44	44	42	42	40	40	38
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	35	35	37	37	39	39	41
Tamalpais High School JV	34	34	64	64	62	62	60
The Bay School of San Francisco JV	59	59	61	61	63	63	33
The Bishop's School JV1	33	33	35	35	37	37	39
Torrey Pines High School Varsity	58	58	56	56	54	54	52
Ventura High School Varsity	63	63	33	33	35	35	37
Waldorf High School Varsity	50	50	48	48	46	46	44
Windward School Varsity	56	56	54	54	52	52	50

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Alameda High School Varsity	38	38	40	40	42	42	44
Bentley School Varsity	62	62	64	64	34	34	36
Berkeley High School Varsity	46	46	48	48	50	50	52
Campolindo High School Varsity	39	39	37	37	35	35	33
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools JV	37	37	35	35	33	33	63
Coronado Islanders JV	40	40	42	42	44	44	46
Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity	61	61	59	59	57	57	55
The International School of San Francisco Varsity	44	44	46	46	48	48	50
La Jolla High School JV	50	50	52	52	54	54	56
La Jolla High School Varsity	47	47	45	45	43	43	41
Laguna Blanca School Varsity	41	41	39	39	37	37	35
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity	58	58	60	60	62	62	64
Lycee Francais de San Francisco Varsity	48	48	50	50	52	52	54
Marlborough School Varsity	35	35	33	33	63	63	61
Mater Dei High School Varsity	42	42	44	44	46	46	48
Menlo School Varsity	59	59	57	57	55	55	53
Oakland Technical High School Varsity	56	56	58	58	60	60	62
Pacific Grove High School Varsity	51	51	49	49	47	47	45
Palisades Charter High School Varsity	63	63	61	61	59	59	57
Palos Verdes High School Varsity	45	45	43	43	41	41	39
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity	53	53	51	51	49	49	47
Redondo Union High School Varsity	54	54	56	56	58	58	60
Redwood High School JV	52	52	54	54	56	56	58
Sage Hill School JV	43	43	41	41	39	39	37
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	36	36	38	38	40	40	42
Tamalpais High School JV	33	33	63	63	61	61	59
The Bay School of San Francisco JV	60	60	62	62	64	64	34
The Bishop's School JV1	34	34	36	36	38	38	40
Torrey Pines High School Varsity	57	57	55	55	53	53	51
Ventura High School Varsity	64	64	34	34	36	36	38
Waldorf High School Varsity	49	49	47	47	45	45	43
Windward School Varsity	55	55	53	53	51	51	49

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Drake Hayes '17 [1-7]	Aitor Iriso '17 [1-2] Brianna Devlin '14 [3-4] Natalie Corkhill '15 [5-6] Mary Jane Howland '18 [7]
Varsity	Miles Orozco '16 [1-4, 7] Natalie Corkhill '15 [5-6]	Mary Jane Howland '18 [1-2] Noelle Siroit '16 [3-6] Aitor Iriso '17 [7]
Bentley School	Sylvia Necula '14	No Show
Varsity	Lindsey Watters '15	Toby Watters '15
Berkeley High School	Little Bear Lundegaard '15	Stuart Myers '17
Varsity	Raffi Altman-Allen '16	No Show
Campolindo High School	Cooper Larhette '17	Ryter Ullrich '18
Varsity	Uanoa Nelson '14 [1-2, 5-6] Santiago Calderon '15 [3-4, 7]	Kekoa Nelson '16 [1-2, 5-6] Uanoa Nelson '14 [3-4, 7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Will Paulsen '15 [1-7]	Emily Seeley '15 [1-2, 5-7] Claire Mohen '15 [3-4]
JV	Gwyneth Dunlevy '16 [1-7]	Quinn Moslander '15 [1-4, 7] Claire Mohen '15 [5-6]
Coronado Islanders	Augie Sturm '15	Daniel Lobree '14
JV	Stewart Powell '17 [1-7]	Evan Arnold '17 [1-4] Katie Roughneen '16 [5-7]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Marisa De Souza '15	Wiley Yu '18
Varsity	Tiffany Xi '15 [1-7]	No Show [1-4] Rose Gold '15 [5-7]
La Jolla High School	Maddie Athing '14 [1-7]	Kieran Bauman '16 [1-2, 5-7] Gavin Petilli '15 [3-4]
JV	Tristan Tancio '14 [1-2, 5-6] Francesco Macagno '14 [3-4, 7]	Matthew Burk '17 [1-2, 5-6] Kyra Styner '16 [3-4, 7]
La Jolla High School	Thomas Garcia '15	Joanna Garcia '15
Varsity	Gracie Young '14	Lauren Matich '17
Laguna Blanca School	Cuyler Zimmerman '14	Cameron Morello '16
Varsity	Carson Shevitz '16	Kyla Murphy '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Luke Van Lant '16	Beth Golison '16
Varsity	Emily Golison '15	Meredith Dobson '15
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Pascal Hines '16	Tigran Demurjian '17
Varsity	No Show	No Show
Marlborough School	Emilia Clementi '14	Olivia Dinapoli '14
Varsity	Claire Roth '14	Sophia Cardenas '14
Mater Dei High School	Caden Wheeler '17 [1-7]	Miranda Hughes '17 [1-2, 7] Jaclyn Brown '15 [3-6]
Varsity	Nikki Smith '15	Jessica Correa '15
Menlo School	Jackson Wagner '15	Mark Power '15
Varsity	Bjorn Antell '17 [1-4] John Mcnelly '15 [5-7]	John Mcnelly '15 [1-4] Bjorn Antell '17 [5-7]
Oakland Technical High School	Ben Rohr '15	Diego Alvarez '15
Varsity	Max Rohr '14	Meghan Oldham '18
Pacific Grove High School	Austin Book '15	Michelle Katz '14
Varsity	Logan Allen '15	No Show
Palisades Charter High School	Sydney Avitia-Jacques '14	Whitney Yost '16
Varsity	Gavin Abraham '16	Sam Siegel '14
Palos Verdes High School	Will Nodvik '14	No Show
Varsity	Vince Todiesv '15	Erin Murphy '15
Port of Los Angeles High School	Mitchell Smith '14	Josh Maldonado '17
Varsity	Matthew Dimegilo '16	No Show
Redondo Union High School	Kyle Collins '17 [1-7]	Sophia Schumann '17 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Guzman '15 [3-4, 7]
Varsity	Alec Caterson '15 [1-7]	Hailey Smith '15 [1-4, 7] Angela Stuckey '16 [5-6]
Redwood High School	Peter Schmidt '15	Jack Gerstein '16
JV	Teddy Bascom '15	Rachael Maier '15
Sage Hill School	Connor Chung '16 [1-7]	Molly Chase '15 [1-4] Jodie Horowitz '15 [5-7]
JV	James Mather '14	Sydney Lake '16
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Kyle Larsen '14 [1-7]	Peter Werner '17 [1-4, 7] Radley Peschel '16 [5-6]
Varsity	Grant Hallee '15 [1-4] Radley Peschel '16 [5-7]	Derek Makovich '16 [1-4]
Tamalpais High School	Tyler Daniels '14 [1-6] Thomas Simkalo '14 [7]	Devon Stoeber '15 [1-6]
JV	Hayden Potter '16 [1-4] Jack Duncan '15 [5-7]	Rachel Lansman '14 [1-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Tyler Krill '14 [1-6] Spencer Paulsen '16 [7]	Sabrina Perell '14 [1-6]
JV	Sumner Strumph '17 [1-4, 7] Shaw Lenox '16 [5-6]	Juliana Testa '17 [1-4, 7] Alex Testa '16 [5-6]
The Bishop's School	Cassie Isaacson '15 [1-4] No Show [5-7]	Sarah Yang '17 [1-4] David Plant '16 [5-7]
JV1	Avery Dumke '15	Julia Ankeny '15
The International School of San Francisco	Nicholai Sponholtz '15	Sebastien Sponholtz '16
Varsity	Alexander Dubois '15	John Cannell '16
Torrey Pines High School	Cole Fargo '14 [1-7]	Neil Gompf '17 [1-2, 5-6] Robbie Johnson '15 [3-4, 7]
Varsity	Trey Muschamp '15 [1-7]	Ryan Fargo '16 [1-4, 7] Neil Gompf '17 [5-6]
Ventura High School	Ian Baldwin '15	Eric Martinez '18
Varsity	Braedon Baum '17	Arden Tanner '17
Waldorf High School	Olivia Dreilinger '17	Ry Ulmer-Strack '14
Varsity	Joe Dockstader '15	Rebecca Thompson '16
Windward School	Marie Line '15 [1-7]	Ethan Stone '16 [1-4] Andrea Munoz '16 [5-7]
Varsity	William Line '16	Blake Schwartz '16

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

PCISA #4 Golden Bear Silver Fleet

Division A

Division B

From the notes