NJISA NJ Girls Champs

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 15 15
2 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 30 30
3 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 32 32
4 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 32 32
5 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 32 32
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 45 45
7 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 49 49
8 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 1 59 59
9 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 2 73 73
10 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 3 82 82
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 83 83
12 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 98 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 1 1 1 3 2 4 2 1 15 Emily Haig '17
Rachel Lange '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 4 3 4 2 6 1 6 4 30 Erin Mcgarry '17 [1-8]
Maureen Mcgarry '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Barcheski '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 3 6 5 1 3 5 4 5 32 Margaret Maccormack '17 [1-8]
Alexis Tedesco '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Catherine Cooke '17 [5-6]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 6 4 2 5 5 2 5 3 32 Addie Sellig '16
Anna Snodgrass '18
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 7 2 3 4 1 6 3 6 32 Katie Oksen '15 [1-8]
Lauren Zelenak '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Willow Wahlers '17 [5-6]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 8 8 7 7 9 3 1 2 45 Kelsey Kennedy '18
Juliana Rustum '16
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 5 9 6 4 7 8 8 49 Dana Haig '18
Emily Micciche '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 1 5 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 59 Kate Malcolmn '16
Rachel Beaton '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 2 9 10 10 8 7 9 10 10 73 Sophie Ruggiero '18
Courtney Jacobs '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 3 10 11 11 11 10 11 9 9 82 Willow Nicolaides '18 [1-8]
Emily Mcconnell '18 [1-4]
Kate Becker '18 [5-6]
Julia Desocio '18 [7-8]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 11 9 6 10 11 10 DNS DNS 83 Marisa Marino '17 [1-4]
Jillian Torrente '17 [5-8]
Grace Evans '17 [1-4]
Stephanie Gilsenan '17 [5-8]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 12 12 12 12 12 12 DNF DNS 98 Caroline Phillips '17 [1-8]
Natalie Herr '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Maia Sirabian '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars11111111
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 122222222
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 244444444
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 155555555
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 266666666
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 377777777
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs88888888
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 199999999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 21010101010101010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 11111111111111111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 21212121212121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians1313131313131313
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars Marisa Marino '17 [1-4]
Jillian Torrente '17 [5-8]
Grace Evans '17 [1-4]
Stephanie Gilsenan '17 [5-8]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 Erin Mcgarry '17 [1-8] Maureen Mcgarry '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Barcheski '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 Margaret Maccormack '17 [1-8] Alexis Tedesco '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Catherine Cooke '17 [5-6]
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 1 Kate Malcolmn '16 Rachel Beaton '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 2 Sophie Ruggiero '18 Courtney Jacobs '17
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 3 Willow Nicolaides '18 [1-8] Emily Mcconnell '18 [1-4]
Kate Becker '18 [5-6]
Julia Desocio '18 [7-8]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs Addie Sellig '16 Anna Snodgrass '18
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 Dana Haig '18 Emily Micciche '17
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 Emily Haig '17 Rachel Lange '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Kelsey Kennedy '18 Juliana Rustum '16
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Caroline Phillips '17 [1-8] Natalie Herr '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Maia Sirabian '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians Katie Oksen '15 [1-8] Lauren Zelenak '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Willow Wahlers '17 [5-6]

Conditions — 05/13/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1019.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From NW (314°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1019.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christian Brothers A: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christian Brothers A by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Christian Brothers A: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →