O'Day Qualifier - Essex, CT

HostPettipaug Yacht Club, Essex, CT
Date04/25/2015
TypeDistrict Championship
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	North Kingstown High School	Skippers	16	15	31
2	Milton Academy	Mustangs	17	14	31
3	Brunswick School	Bruins	25	14	39
4	Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	32	23	55
5	Sharon High School	Eagles	32	30	62
6	Bishop Hendricken High School	Hawks	40	32	72
7	Choate Rosemary Hall	Wild Boars	34	48	82
8	Xavier High School	Falcons	31	60	91
9	The Williams School	The Blues	54	47	101
10	Greens Farms Academy	Dragons	54	59	113
11	Daniel Hand High School	Varsity	62	55	117

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
North Kingstown High School	Skippers	1	3	3	1	3	5	16	Dakota Northrup '15 [1-4] Alex Bowen '15 [5-6] Mikey O'Flaherty '17 [1-2] Adeline Sutton '17 [3-4] Evan Bowen '15 [5-6]
Milton Academy	Mustangs	3	1	4	3	2	4	17	Nicholas Giovanni '15 [1-2, 5-6] Charles Hibben '18 [3-4] Emily Grace '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Brunswick School	Bruins	5	5	1	DSQ	1	1	25	Jack Parkin '17 Leyton Borcherding '21
Xavier High School	Falcons	4	6	5	5	4	7	31	Gordon Gurnell '17 Graham Taylor '15
Sharon High School	Eagles	6	4	2	8	6	6	32	Jack Eberhardt '17 Madhura Shah '15
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	9	2	9	4	5	3	32	Julia Reynolds '17 Sophie Kay '15
Choate Rosemary Hall	Wild Boars	2	8	6	2	8	8	34	Taegen Blackwell '15 Alex Baskin '15
Bishop Hendricken High School	Hawks	11	7	7	6	7	2	40	James Beaulieu '24 Richard Vigliotti '23
Greens Farms Academy	Dragons	7	10	8	9	10	10	54	Savvy Dreas '24 Whitney Burton '25
The Williams School	The Blues	10	9	10	7	9	9	54	Annie Longo '16 Sarah Wilkinson '15
Daniel Hand High School	Varsity	8	11	11	10	11	11	62	Nate Gould '15 [1-6] Grace Adams '15 [1-2] Thayer Kennedy '16 [3-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Brunswick School	Bruins	3	2	1	3	3	2	14	Peter Pillari '17 Leyton Borcherding '21
Milton Academy	Mustangs	5	3	2	2	1	1	14	Luke Monnich '21 [1-6] James Maguire '15 [1-2, 5-6] Jamie Fox '21 [3-4]
North Kingstown High School	Skippers	1	1	3	1	4	5	15	Marina Barzaghi '17 [1-4] Delaney Bamford '16 [5-6] Ian Nannig '15 [1-4] Zach Warner '15 [5-6]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	4	4	4	6	2	3	23	Everett Nash '19 [1-2, 5-6] Emery Wallace '16 [3-4] Brooke Mcgoldrick '16 [1-2, 5-6] Brooklyn Curtin '16 [3-4]
Sharon High School	Eagles	2	6	6	5	5	6	30	Meghan Haviland '17 Geoffrey Commons '15
Bishop Hendricken High School	Hawks	6	5	5	4	8	4	32	Liam Donnelly '26 Andrew Decubellis '26
The Williams School	The Blues	10	7	8	7	6	9	47	Max Griswold '15 [1-2, 5-6] Sophie Bullinger '17 [3-4] Matthew Littlefield '17 [1-2] Bert Atwater '15 [3-4] Andrew Myslik '16 [5-6]
Choate Rosemary Hall	Wild Boars	7	8	9	8	9	7	48	Merrick Gillies '15 [1-2, 5-6] Olivia Vandenborn '17 [3-4] Sophia Gillies '17 [1-2, 5-6] Arin Kaye '17 [3-4]
Daniel Hand High School	Varsity	8	9	7	11	10	10	55	Dj Scarpellino '15 [1-2] Sam Ruel '15 [3-6] Thayer Kennedy '16 [1-2]
Greens Farms Academy	Dragons	9	10	DSQ	10	7	11	59	Andrew Wagner '22 Yash Gawande '24
Xavier High School	Falcons	11	11	10	9	11	8	60	Kristian Dilillo '15 [1-2] Brian Tiernan '17 [3-5] Ryan Cartelli '18 [6] Henry Manuel '15 [1-2] Connor Marszalek '15 [3-4] Ryan Cartelli '18 [5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Bishop Hendricken High School Hawks	1	1	3	3	5	5
Brunswick School Bruins	2	2	10	10	8	8
Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars	3	3	5	5	7	7
Daniel Hand High School Varsity	4	4	2	2	10	10
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	5	5	7	7	9	9
Greens Farms Academy Dragons	6	6	4	4	2	2
Milton Academy Mustangs	7	7	9	9	11	11
North Kingstown High School Skippers	8	8	6	6	4	4
Sharon High School Eagles	9	9	11	11	1	1
The Williams School The Blues	10	10	8	8	6	6
Xavier High School Falcons	11	11	1	1	3	3

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Bishop Hendricken High School Hawks	2	2	4	4	6	6
Brunswick School Bruins	1	1	11	11	9	9
Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars	4	4	6	6	8	8
Daniel Hand High School Varsity	3	3	1	1	11	11
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	6	6	8	8	10	10
Greens Farms Academy Dragons	5	5	3	3	1	1
Milton Academy Mustangs	8	8	10	10	2	2
North Kingstown High School Skippers	7	7	5	5	3	3
Sharon High School Eagles	10	10	2	2	4	4
The Williams School The Blues	9	9	7	7	5	5
Xavier High School Falcons	11	11	9	9	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bishop Hendricken High School	James Beaulieu '24	Richard Vigliotti '23
Hawks	Liam Donnelly '26	Andrew Decubellis '26
Brunswick School	Jack Parkin '17	Leyton Borcherding '21
Bruins	Peter Pillari '17	Leyton Borcherding '21
Choate Rosemary Hall	Taegen Blackwell '15	Alex Baskin '15
Wild Boars	Merrick Gillies '15 [1-2, 5-6] Olivia Vandenborn '17 [3-4]	Sophia Gillies '17 [1-2, 5-6] Arin Kaye '17 [3-4]
Daniel Hand High School	Nate Gould '15 [1-6]	Grace Adams '15 [1-2] Thayer Kennedy '16 [3-6]
Varsity	Dj Scarpellino '15 [1-2] Sam Ruel '15 [3-6]	Thayer Kennedy '16 [1-2]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Julia Reynolds '17	Sophie Kay '15
Falcons	Everett Nash '19 [1-2, 5-6] Emery Wallace '16 [3-4]	Brooke Mcgoldrick '16 [1-2, 5-6] Brooklyn Curtin '16 [3-4]
Greens Farms Academy	Savvy Dreas '24	Whitney Burton '25
Dragons	Andrew Wagner '22	Yash Gawande '24
Milton Academy	Nicholas Giovanni '15 [1-2, 5-6] Charles Hibben '18 [3-4]	Emily Grace '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Mustangs	Luke Monnich '21 [1-6]	James Maguire '15 [1-2, 5-6] Jamie Fox '21 [3-4]
North Kingstown High School	Dakota Northrup '15 [1-4] Alex Bowen '15 [5-6]	Mikey O'Flaherty '17 [1-2] Adeline Sutton '17 [3-4] Evan Bowen '15 [5-6]
Skippers	Marina Barzaghi '17 [1-4] Delaney Bamford '16 [5-6]	Ian Nannig '15 [1-4] Zach Warner '15 [5-6]
Sharon High School	Jack Eberhardt '17	Madhura Shah '15
Eagles	Meghan Haviland '17	Geoffrey Commons '15
The Williams School	Annie Longo '16	Sarah Wilkinson '15
The Blues	Max Griswold '15 [1-2, 5-6] Sophie Bullinger '17 [3-4]	Matthew Littlefield '17 [1-2] Bert Atwater '15 [3-4] Andrew Myslik '16 [5-6]
Xavier High School	Gordon Gurnell '17	Graham Taylor '15
Falcons	Kristian Dilillo '15 [1-2] Brian Tiernan '17 [3-5] Ryan Cartelli '18 [6]	Henry Manuel '15 [1-2] Connor Marszalek '15 [3-4] Ryan Cartelli '18 [5-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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O'Day Qualifier - Essex, CT

Division A

Division B

From the notes