Oregon Series #1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Franklin High School Franklin High School Quakers 111
2 Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 116
3 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 126
4 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 131
5 Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 1 181
6 Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 2 285
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 A 2 1 4 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 19 Drew Bennett '15
Ian Stewart '17
Franklin High School Franklin High School Quakers A 1 3 6 4 1 5 3 5 3 3 1 5 40 Thomas Hope '16 [1-12]
Mia Dalton '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Diehl '16 [3-4, 7-10]
Nicola Bitner '18 [11-12]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 B 6 2 2 3 5 2 7 2 2 6 4 3 44 Matthew Reynolds '16 [1-12]
Olivia Weissflog '17 [1-8]
Mia Dalton '18 [9-12]
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks A 4 4 3 2 8 4 2 7 4 7 3 2 50 John Ped '16 [1-12]
Elizabeth Diehl '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Hanna Brush '17 [3-4, 7-12]
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks B 5 DNF 1 6 4 9 6 4 5 4 5 4 66 Claire Siegel-Wilson '18 [1-12]
Kat Grealish '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17 [3-4, 7-10]
Franklin High School Franklin High School Quakers B 7 5 7 5 9 3 4 6 7 5 7 6 71 Riley Read '17
Arthur Jenkins '15
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 1 B 3 7 5 9 2 6 8 8 8 9 6 11 82 Ronan Krutzkowski '18
Carson Martinson '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 A 9 8 10 10 7 7 5 3 9 2 9 8 87 Sasha Dierauf '16
Rebecca Reynolds '17
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 1 A 8 9 8 7 6 8 10 10 6 10 10 7 99 Landon Reno '15
Taigue Coughlan '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 B 11 6 9 8 10 10 9 9 10 8 8 9 107 Kyle Padgett '17
Nicola Bittner '18
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 2 B BKD DNF 11 11 11 11 DNF 11 11 11 11 10 135 Mckenzie Thomas '19
Jose Bravo '18
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 2 A 10 10 DNS DNS DNS DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS 150 Jake Tucker '19 [1-4]
Matthew Goschie '19 [5-12]
Matthew Goschie '19 [1-4]
Justyne Oleman '17 [5-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Franklin High SchoolFranklin High School Quakers112233445566
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1223344556677
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2334455667788
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs 1445566778899
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs 255667788991010
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks6677889910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Franklin High SchoolFranklin High School Quakers778899101011111212
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1889910101111121211
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2991010111112121122
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs 1101011111212112233
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs 21111121211223344
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks12121122334455
School / Team SkipperCrew
Franklin High School Franklin High School Thomas Hope '16 [1-12] Mia Dalton '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Diehl '16 [3-4, 7-10]
Nicola Bitner '18 [11-12]
Quakers Riley Read '17 Arthur Jenkins '15
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Sasha Dierauf '16 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Cardinals 1 Matthew Reynolds '16 [1-12] Olivia Weissflog '17 [1-8]
Mia Dalton '18 [9-12]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Drew Bennett '15 Ian Stewart '17
Cardinals 2 Kyle Padgett '17 Nicola Bittner '18
Newport High School Newport High School Landon Reno '15 Taigue Coughlan '19
Cubs 1 Ronan Krutzkowski '18 Carson Martinson '19
Newport High School Newport High School Jake Tucker '19 [1-4]
Matthew Goschie '19 [5-12]
Matthew Goschie '19 [1-4]
Justyne Oleman '17 [5-12]
Cubs 2 Mckenzie Thomas '19 Jose Bravo '18
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School John Ped '16 [1-12] Elizabeth Diehl '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Hanna Brush '17 [3-4, 7-12]
Aardvarks Claire Siegel-Wilson '18 [1-12] Kat Grealish '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17 [3-4, 7-10]

Conditions — 02/28/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From WSW (244°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1010.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wilson: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.32 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wilson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Wilson: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →